Prediction 2968

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Pernambuco

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=PE (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 57.08 9.98 13.42 18.31 31.24 102.82 176.39 251.04 335.77
2024-10-13 66.30 11.59 15.58 21.26 36.29 119.43 204.88 291.59 390.00
2024-10-20 77.00 13.46 18.10 24.69 42.14 138.70 237.95 338.64 452.94
2024-10-27 89.42 15.63 21.02 28.67 48.94 161.06 276.31 393.24 525.96
2024-11-03 103.82 18.14 24.40 33.29 56.82 187.00 320.80 456.56 610.65
2024-11-10 120.50 21.06 28.32 38.64 65.95 217.05 372.36 529.95 708.80
2024-11-17 139.82 24.44 32.87 44.84 76.53 251.86 432.07 614.92 822.46
2024-11-24 162.17 28.34 38.12 52.00 88.76 292.11 501.13 713.20 953.91
2024-12-01 187.98 32.85 44.19 60.28 102.88 338.60 580.87 826.70 1105.71
2024-12-08 217.72 38.05 51.18 69.82 119.16 392.16 672.77 957.48 1280.63
2024-12-15 251.89 44.02 59.21 80.77 137.86 453.71 778.36 1107.76 1481.63
2024-12-22 291.00 50.85 68.40 93.32 159.27 524.16 899.22 1279.77 1711.70
2024-12-29 335.54 58.64 78.87 107.60 183.64 604.39 1036.85 1475.64 1973.68
2025-01-05 385.90 67.44 90.71 123.75 211.21 695.11 1192.48 1697.14 2269.92
2025-01-12 442.33 77.30 103.97 141.84 242.09 796.74 1366.83 1945.27 2601.80
2025-01-19 504.75 88.21 118.64 161.86 276.25 909.17 1559.71 2219.78 2968.96
2025-01-26 572.65 100.07 134.60 183.63 313.41 1031.48 1769.53 2518.39 3368.36
2025-02-02 644.86 112.69 151.58 206.79 352.94 1161.55 1992.68 2835.98 3793.13
2025-02-09 719.36 125.71 169.09 230.68 393.71 1295.74 2222.89 3163.61 4231.33
2025-02-16 793.10 138.60 186.42 254.33 434.07 1428.57 2450.77 3487.93 4665.11
2025-02-23 862.05 150.65 202.63 276.43 471.80 1552.75 2663.80 3791.12 5070.63
2025-03-02 921.37 161.01 216.57 295.46 504.27 1659.61 2847.11 4052.00 5419.57
2025-03-09 966.07 168.83 227.08 309.79 528.74 1740.13 2985.25 4248.60 5682.51
2025-03-16 991.83 173.33 233.13 318.05 542.84 1786.53 3064.86 4361.90 5834.05
2025-03-23 995.94 174.05 234.10 319.37 545.09 1793.93 3077.55 4379.97 5858.22
2025-03-30 977.95 170.90 229.87 313.60 535.24 1761.52 3021.95 4300.83 5752.38
2025-04-06 939.78 164.23 220.90 301.36 514.35 1692.78 2904.02 4132.99 5527.89
2025-04-13 885.28 154.71 208.09 283.88 484.52 1594.60 2735.60 3893.30 5207.29
2025-04-20 819.29 143.18 192.58 262.72 448.41 1475.75 2531.70 3603.11 4819.17
2025-04-27 746.80 130.51 175.54 239.48 408.73 1345.16 2307.68 3284.28 4392.73
2025-05-04 672.17 117.46 158.00 215.54 367.88 1210.74 2077.06 2956.07 3953.75
2025-05-11 598.82 104.65 140.76 192.03 327.74 1078.63 1850.43 2633.52 3522.34
2025-05-18 529.16 92.47 124.38 169.69 289.61 953.14 1635.15 2327.14 3112.56
2025-05-25 464.63 81.20 109.21 148.99 254.30 836.91 1435.75 2043.36 2733.00
2025-06-01 405.97 70.95 95.43 130.18 222.19 731.26 1254.49 1785.39 2387.97
2025-06-08 353.39 61.76 83.07 113.32 193.41 636.55 1092.02 1554.15 2078.69
2025-06-15 306.75 53.61 72.10 98.37 167.89 552.53 947.88 1349.02 1804.32
2025-06-22 265.69 46.43 62.45 85.20 145.41 478.57 821.01 1168.46 1562.82
2025-06-29 229.76 40.15 54.01 73.68 125.75 413.85 709.98 1010.44 1351.46
2025-07-06 198.45 34.68 46.65 63.64 108.61 357.45 613.22 872.73 1167.28
2025-07-13 171.25 29.93 40.25 54.91 93.73 308.46 529.18 753.12 1007.30
2025-07-20 147.68 25.81 34.71 47.36 80.83 266.01 456.34 649.47 868.67
2025-07-27 127.29 22.24 29.92 40.82 69.67 229.28 393.34 559.80 748.74
2025-08-03 109.68 19.17 25.78 35.17 60.03 197.55 338.91 482.34 645.13
2025-08-10 94.47 16.51 22.21 30.30 51.71 170.17 291.93 415.48 555.70
2025-08-17 81.36 14.22 19.12 26.09 44.53 146.55 251.42 357.81 478.58
2025-08-24 70.06 12.24 16.47 22.47 38.34 126.19 216.49 308.11 412.09
2025-08-31 60.32 10.54 14.18 19.34 33.01 108.65 186.39 265.28 354.81
2025-09-07 51.93 9.08 12.21 16.65 28.42 93.54 160.47 228.38 305.46
2025-09-14 44.70 7.81 10.51 14.34 24.47 80.52 138.14 196.60 262.96
2025-09-21 38.48 6.73 9.05 12.34 21.06 69.32 118.91 169.24 226.36
2025-09-28 49.14 8.59 11.55 15.76 26.90 88.52 151.86 216.12 289.06
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