Prediction 2972

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Norte

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=RN (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 33.18 5.54 7.44 10.49 18.49 60.32 103.98 145.33 194.34
2024-10-13 38.55 6.43 8.64 12.18 21.48 70.06 120.79 168.82 225.75
2024-10-20 44.77 7.47 10.04 14.15 24.95 81.38 140.31 196.09 262.22
2024-10-27 52.00 8.68 11.66 16.44 28.98 94.52 162.96 227.75 304.56
2024-11-03 60.39 10.08 13.54 19.09 33.66 109.77 189.25 264.50 353.70
2024-11-10 70.13 11.70 15.73 22.16 39.08 127.47 219.75 307.12 410.70
2024-11-17 81.41 13.59 18.26 25.73 45.37 147.98 255.12 356.55 476.79
2024-11-24 94.49 15.77 21.19 29.86 52.66 171.75 296.09 413.82 553.37
2024-12-01 109.62 18.30 24.58 34.65 61.09 199.26 343.52 480.10 642.01
2024-12-08 127.12 21.22 28.51 40.18 70.84 231.06 398.35 556.74 744.49
2024-12-15 147.31 24.59 33.03 46.56 82.10 267.77 461.63 645.17 862.75
2024-12-22 170.56 28.47 38.25 53.91 95.05 310.03 534.48 746.99 998.91
2024-12-29 197.25 32.92 44.23 62.34 109.92 358.53 618.10 863.85 1155.17
2025-01-05 227.74 38.01 51.07 71.97 126.92 413.95 713.65 997.39 1333.76
2025-01-12 262.39 43.79 58.84 82.93 146.23 476.93 822.23 1149.14 1536.68
2025-01-19 301.46 50.31 67.60 95.27 168.00 547.94 944.65 1320.24 1765.48
2025-01-26 345.06 57.59 77.37 109.05 192.30 627.19 1081.28 1511.19 2020.82
2025-02-02 393.04 65.60 88.13 124.22 219.04 714.41 1231.65 1721.34 2301.85
2025-02-09 444.88 74.25 99.76 140.60 247.93 808.64 1394.09 1948.37 2605.44
2025-02-16 499.50 83.37 112.01 157.86 278.37 907.92 1565.25 2187.58 2925.33
2025-02-23 555.14 92.65 124.48 175.45 309.38 1009.06 1739.61 2431.27 3251.20
2025-03-02 609.28 101.69 136.62 192.56 339.55 1107.46 1909.26 2668.37 3568.26
2025-03-09 658.67 109.93 147.70 208.17 367.07 1197.23 2064.02 2884.66 3857.49
2025-03-16 699.60 116.76 156.88 221.10 389.89 1271.64 2192.30 3063.95 4097.24
2025-03-23 728.45 121.58 163.35 230.22 405.97 1324.08 2282.71 3190.31 4266.21
2025-03-30 742.34 123.90 166.46 234.61 413.70 1349.31 2326.21 3251.10 4347.51
2025-04-06 739.76 123.47 165.88 233.79 412.26 1344.63 2318.13 3239.81 4332.41
2025-04-13 721.00 120.34 161.68 227.87 401.81 1310.53 2259.35 3157.66 4222.55
2025-04-20 688.04 114.83 154.29 217.45 383.44 1250.63 2156.08 3013.32 4029.54
2025-04-27 644.08 107.50 144.43 203.56 358.95 1170.72 2018.32 2820.80 3772.09
2025-05-04 592.84 98.95 132.94 187.36 330.39 1077.58 1857.75 2596.38 3471.99
2025-05-11 537.92 89.78 120.62 170.01 299.78 977.76 1685.65 2355.85 3150.35
2025-05-18 482.36 80.51 108.16 152.45 268.82 876.77 1511.55 2112.53 2824.96
2025-05-25 428.45 71.51 96.08 135.41 238.77 778.78 1342.61 1876.42 2509.23
2025-06-01 377.72 63.04 84.70 119.38 210.50 686.57 1183.64 1654.24 2212.12
2025-06-08 331.06 55.25 74.24 104.63 184.50 601.75 1037.42 1449.89 1938.85
2025-06-15 288.86 48.21 64.77 91.29 160.98 525.05 905.19 1265.09 1691.73
2025-06-22 251.18 41.92 56.33 79.38 139.98 456.57 787.12 1100.07 1471.07
2025-06-29 217.86 36.36 48.85 68.85 121.41 395.99 682.68 954.12 1275.88
2025-07-06 188.58 31.47 42.29 59.60 105.10 342.78 590.96 825.92 1104.45
2025-07-13 163.01 27.21 36.55 51.52 90.84 296.29 510.81 713.90 954.66
2025-07-20 140.75 23.49 31.56 44.48 78.44 255.83 441.05 616.40 824.28
2025-07-27 121.43 20.27 27.23 38.38 67.67 220.71 380.50 531.79 711.13
2025-08-03 104.69 17.47 23.48 33.09 58.35 190.30 328.07 458.51 613.14
2025-08-10 90.23 15.06 20.23 28.52 50.28 164.00 282.74 395.16 528.42
2025-08-17 77.73 12.97 17.43 24.57 43.32 141.29 243.59 340.44 455.25
2025-08-24 66.95 11.17 15.01 21.16 37.31 121.70 209.81 293.23 392.12
2025-08-31 57.66 9.62 12.93 18.22 32.13 104.80 180.68 252.52 337.68
2025-09-07 49.65 8.29 11.13 15.69 27.67 90.24 155.57 217.43 290.75
2025-09-14 42.74 7.13 9.58 13.51 23.82 77.69 133.94 187.20 250.33
2025-09-21 36.80 6.14 8.25 11.63 20.51 66.89 115.31 161.16 215.50
2025-09-28 28.56 4.77 6.41 9.03 15.92 51.92 89.51 125.10 167.29
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