Prediction 2973

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Rondônia

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=RO (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 2.83 0.35 0.49 0.72 1.38 5.79 11.40 16.94 22.89
2024-10-13 3.42 0.43 0.59 0.87 1.67 7.00 13.76 20.45 27.63
2024-10-20 4.13 0.52 0.71 1.06 2.02 8.45 16.61 24.69 33.36
2024-10-27 4.98 0.62 0.86 1.27 2.44 10.20 20.06 29.81 40.28
2024-11-03 6.01 0.75 1.04 1.54 2.94 12.31 24.22 35.99 48.63
2024-11-10 7.26 0.91 1.25 1.86 3.55 14.86 29.24 43.44 58.71
2024-11-17 8.77 1.10 1.51 2.24 4.29 17.94 35.29 52.45 70.87
2024-11-24 10.58 1.32 1.82 2.71 5.18 21.66 42.60 63.31 85.55
2024-12-01 12.77 1.60 2.20 3.27 6.25 26.15 51.43 76.42 103.27
2024-12-08 15.42 1.93 2.66 3.94 7.54 31.56 62.07 92.23 124.63
2024-12-15 18.60 2.33 3.20 4.76 9.10 38.08 74.90 111.30 150.40
2024-12-22 22.44 2.81 3.87 5.74 10.98 45.94 90.36 134.28 181.45
2024-12-29 27.07 3.38 4.66 6.92 13.24 55.41 108.98 161.95 218.83
2025-01-05 32.63 4.08 5.62 8.35 15.96 66.79 131.37 195.21 263.79
2025-01-12 39.30 4.91 6.77 10.05 19.22 80.45 158.24 235.14 317.74
2025-01-19 47.29 5.91 8.15 12.10 23.13 96.80 190.40 282.94 382.34
2025-01-26 56.82 7.10 9.79 14.54 27.79 116.30 228.76 339.94 459.36
2025-02-02 68.11 8.52 11.73 17.43 33.31 139.42 274.24 407.52 550.68
2025-02-09 81.40 10.18 14.02 20.82 39.81 166.61 327.72 487.00 658.07
2025-02-16 96.83 12.11 16.68 24.77 47.35 198.21 389.86 579.35 782.86
2025-02-23 114.46 14.31 19.71 29.28 55.98 234.29 460.84 684.82 925.38
2025-03-02 134.10 16.77 23.10 34.31 65.58 274.49 539.90 802.32 1084.15
2025-03-09 155.20 19.40 26.73 39.71 75.90 317.69 624.86 928.56 1254.75
2025-03-16 176.71 22.09 30.44 45.21 86.42 361.72 711.48 1057.28 1428.68
2025-03-23 197.00 24.63 33.93 50.40 96.34 403.26 793.18 1178.69 1592.74
2025-03-30 213.95 26.75 36.85 54.74 104.63 437.96 861.43 1280.11 1729.78
2025-04-06 225.32 28.17 38.81 57.65 110.19 461.22 907.17 1348.09 1821.64
2025-04-13 229.33 28.67 39.50 58.67 112.15 469.43 923.33 1372.09 1854.08
2025-04-20 225.32 28.17 38.81 57.65 110.19 461.22 907.17 1348.09 1821.64
2025-04-27 213.95 26.75 36.85 54.74 104.63 437.96 861.43 1280.11 1729.78
2025-05-04 197.00 24.63 33.93 50.40 96.34 403.26 793.18 1178.69 1592.74
2025-05-11 176.71 22.09 30.44 45.21 86.42 361.72 711.48 1057.28 1428.68
2025-05-18 155.20 19.40 26.73 39.71 75.90 317.69 624.86 928.56 1254.75
2025-05-25 134.10 16.77 23.10 34.31 65.58 274.49 539.90 802.32 1084.15
2025-06-01 114.46 14.31 19.71 29.28 55.98 234.29 460.84 684.82 925.38
2025-06-08 96.83 12.11 16.68 24.77 47.35 198.21 389.86 579.35 782.85
2025-06-15 81.40 10.18 14.02 20.82 39.81 166.61 327.72 487.00 658.07
2025-06-22 68.11 8.52 11.73 17.43 33.31 139.42 274.24 407.52 550.68
2025-06-29 56.82 7.10 9.79 14.54 27.79 116.30 228.76 339.94 459.36
2025-07-06 47.29 5.91 8.15 12.10 23.13 96.80 190.40 282.94 382.34
2025-07-13 39.30 4.91 6.77 10.05 19.22 80.45 158.24 235.14 317.74
2025-07-20 32.63 4.08 5.62 8.35 15.96 66.79 131.37 195.21 263.79
2025-07-27 27.07 3.38 4.66 6.92 13.24 55.41 108.98 161.95 218.83
2025-08-03 22.44 2.81 3.87 5.74 10.98 45.94 90.36 134.28 181.45
2025-08-10 18.60 2.33 3.20 4.76 9.10 38.08 74.90 111.30 150.40
2025-08-17 15.42 1.93 2.66 3.94 7.54 31.56 62.07 92.23 124.63
2025-08-24 12.77 1.60 2.20 3.27 6.25 26.15 51.43 76.42 103.27
2025-08-31 10.58 1.32 1.82 2.71 5.18 21.66 42.60 63.31 85.55
2025-09-07 8.77 1.10 1.51 2.24 4.29 17.94 35.29 52.45 70.87
2025-09-14 7.26 0.91 1.25 1.86 3.55 14.86 29.24 43.44 58.71
2025-09-21 6.01 0.75 1.04 1.54 2.94 12.31 24.22 35.99 48.63
2025-09-28 2.34 0.29 0.40 0.60 1.15 4.80 9.44 14.03 18.96
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