Prediction 2974
Model | LNCC-SURGE-2025-1 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=RR (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 1.59 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 0.33 | 0.71 | 3.68 | 7.54 | 11.95 | 17.78 |
2024-10-13 | 1.85 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.39 | 0.82 | 4.27 | 8.75 | 13.88 | 20.66 |
2024-10-20 | 2.15 | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.45 | 0.95 | 4.96 | 10.17 | 16.12 | 23.99 |
2024-10-27 | 2.49 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.52 | 1.11 | 5.76 | 11.81 | 18.72 | 27.87 |
2024-11-03 | 2.89 | 0.26 | 0.38 | 0.61 | 1.29 | 6.69 | 13.71 | 21.74 | 32.36 |
2024-11-10 | 3.36 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 0.70 | 1.49 | 7.77 | 15.92 | 25.24 | 37.57 |
2024-11-17 | 3.90 | 0.35 | 0.51 | 0.82 | 1.73 | 9.02 | 18.48 | 29.30 | 43.61 |
2024-11-24 | 4.53 | 0.40 | 0.59 | 0.95 | 2.01 | 10.46 | 21.45 | 34.00 | 50.61 |
2024-12-01 | 5.25 | 0.47 | 0.69 | 1.10 | 2.33 | 12.14 | 24.88 | 39.44 | 58.70 |
2024-12-08 | 6.09 | 0.54 | 0.80 | 1.27 | 2.70 | 14.07 | 28.84 | 45.72 | 68.05 |
2024-12-15 | 7.05 | 0.63 | 0.92 | 1.48 | 3.13 | 16.30 | 33.41 | 52.96 | 78.83 |
2024-12-22 | 8.16 | 0.73 | 1.07 | 1.71 | 3.62 | 18.86 | 38.66 | 61.28 | 91.22 |
2024-12-29 | 9.43 | 0.84 | 1.24 | 1.97 | 4.19 | 21.79 | 44.68 | 70.82 | 105.42 |
2025-01-05 | 10.88 | 0.97 | 1.43 | 2.28 | 4.83 | 25.14 | 51.54 | 81.69 | 121.60 |
2025-01-12 | 12.52 | 1.11 | 1.64 | 2.62 | 5.56 | 28.93 | 59.30 | 94.00 | 139.92 |
2025-01-19 | 14.36 | 1.28 | 1.88 | 3.00 | 6.38 | 33.18 | 68.02 | 107.82 | 160.49 |
2025-01-26 | 16.40 | 1.46 | 2.15 | 3.43 | 7.28 | 37.89 | 77.69 | 123.14 | 183.30 |
2025-02-02 | 18.63 | 1.66 | 2.44 | 3.90 | 8.27 | 43.04 | 88.24 | 139.87 | 208.20 |
2025-02-09 | 21.01 | 1.87 | 2.75 | 4.39 | 9.33 | 48.54 | 99.52 | 157.74 | 234.81 |
2025-02-16 | 23.48 | 2.09 | 3.08 | 4.91 | 10.42 | 54.25 | 111.22 | 176.29 | 262.42 |
2025-02-23 | 25.94 | 2.31 | 3.40 | 5.43 | 11.52 | 59.95 | 122.91 | 194.81 | 289.99 |
2025-03-02 | 28.28 | 2.52 | 3.71 | 5.92 | 12.56 | 65.34 | 133.96 | 212.33 | 316.07 |
2025-03-09 | 30.32 | 2.70 | 3.98 | 6.34 | 13.46 | 70.06 | 143.64 | 227.68 | 338.91 |
2025-03-16 | 31.91 | 2.84 | 4.18 | 6.67 | 14.17 | 73.73 | 151.16 | 239.59 | 356.64 |
2025-03-23 | 32.89 | 2.93 | 4.31 | 6.88 | 14.60 | 75.99 | 155.80 | 246.94 | 367.59 |
2025-03-30 | 33.16 | 2.95 | 4.35 | 6.94 | 14.72 | 76.61 | 157.08 | 248.97 | 370.61 |
2025-04-06 | 32.69 | 2.91 | 4.29 | 6.84 | 14.51 | 75.53 | 154.86 | 245.46 | 365.38 |
2025-04-13 | 31.53 | 2.81 | 4.13 | 6.60 | 14.00 | 72.86 | 149.38 | 236.78 | 352.45 |
2025-04-20 | 29.81 | 2.65 | 3.91 | 6.24 | 13.23 | 68.87 | 141.20 | 223.81 | 333.16 |
2025-04-27 | 27.67 | 2.46 | 3.63 | 5.79 | 12.28 | 63.93 | 131.07 | 207.76 | 309.26 |
2025-05-04 | 25.28 | 2.25 | 3.32 | 5.29 | 11.23 | 58.42 | 119.78 | 189.86 | 282.62 |
2025-05-11 | 22.80 | 2.03 | 2.99 | 4.77 | 10.13 | 52.70 | 108.04 | 171.24 | 254.91 |
2025-05-18 | 20.35 | 1.81 | 2.67 | 4.26 | 9.04 | 47.03 | 96.41 | 152.82 | 227.48 |
2025-05-25 | 18.01 | 1.60 | 2.36 | 3.77 | 8.00 | 41.61 | 85.31 | 135.22 | 201.28 |
2025-06-01 | 15.83 | 1.41 | 2.08 | 3.31 | 7.03 | 36.57 | 74.98 | 118.85 | 176.92 |
2025-06-08 | 13.84 | 1.23 | 1.81 | 2.90 | 6.15 | 31.98 | 65.57 | 103.93 | 154.71 |
2025-06-15 | 12.05 | 1.07 | 1.58 | 2.52 | 5.35 | 27.86 | 57.11 | 90.52 | 134.75 |
2025-06-22 | 10.47 | 0.93 | 1.37 | 2.19 | 4.65 | 24.19 | 49.60 | 78.61 | 117.02 |
2025-06-29 | 9.07 | 0.81 | 1.19 | 1.90 | 4.03 | 20.96 | 42.97 | 68.11 | 101.39 |
2025-07-06 | 7.85 | 0.70 | 1.03 | 1.64 | 3.48 | 18.13 | 37.17 | 58.92 | 87.70 |
2025-07-13 | 6.78 | 0.60 | 0.89 | 1.42 | 3.01 | 15.66 | 32.11 | 50.90 | 75.76 |
2025-07-20 | 5.85 | 0.52 | 0.77 | 1.22 | 2.60 | 13.52 | 27.71 | 43.93 | 65.39 |
2025-07-27 | 5.05 | 0.45 | 0.66 | 1.06 | 2.24 | 11.66 | 23.90 | 37.89 | 56.40 |
2025-08-03 | 4.35 | 0.39 | 0.57 | 0.91 | 1.93 | 10.05 | 20.60 | 32.66 | 48.61 |
2025-08-10 | 3.75 | 0.33 | 0.49 | 0.78 | 1.66 | 8.66 | 17.75 | 28.14 | 41.89 |
2025-08-17 | 3.23 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.68 | 1.43 | 7.46 | 15.29 | 24.24 | 36.08 |
2025-08-24 | 2.78 | 0.25 | 0.36 | 0.58 | 1.23 | 6.42 | 13.17 | 20.88 | 31.08 |
2025-08-31 | 2.39 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 5.53 | 11.34 | 17.98 | 26.76 |
2025-09-07 | 2.06 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.43 | 0.92 | 4.76 | 9.77 | 15.48 | 23.04 |
2025-09-14 | 1.77 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 0.37 | 0.79 | 4.10 | 8.41 | 13.33 | 19.84 |
2025-09-21 | 1.53 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.32 | 0.68 | 3.53 | 7.24 | 11.47 | 17.08 |
2025-09-28 | 1.37 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.61 | 3.16 | 6.49 | 10.28 | 15.31 |