Prediction 2977

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=SE (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 5.40 0.61 0.88 1.30 2.62 11.59 23.10 34.93 48.86
2024-10-13 6.27 0.71 1.02 1.51 3.05 13.46 26.83 40.57 56.75
2024-10-20 7.28 0.83 1.18 1.76 3.54 15.63 31.16 47.11 65.90
2024-10-27 8.46 0.96 1.37 2.04 4.11 18.15 36.19 54.71 76.52
2024-11-03 9.82 1.12 1.60 2.37 4.77 21.07 42.01 63.51 88.84
2024-11-10 11.39 1.30 1.85 2.75 5.54 24.46 48.75 73.71 103.10
2024-11-17 13.22 1.50 2.15 3.19 6.43 28.37 56.56 85.51 119.61
2024-11-24 15.33 1.74 2.49 3.69 7.45 32.90 65.59 99.16 138.70
2024-12-01 17.76 2.02 2.89 4.28 8.63 38.12 76.00 114.90 160.73
2024-12-08 20.56 2.34 3.34 4.96 10.00 44.14 87.99 133.03 186.08
2024-12-15 23.78 2.70 3.86 5.73 11.56 51.04 101.74 153.82 215.17
2024-12-22 27.45 3.12 4.46 6.62 13.34 58.92 117.46 177.58 248.40
2024-12-29 31.62 3.60 5.14 7.62 15.37 67.87 135.31 204.56 286.14
2025-01-05 36.32 4.13 5.90 8.76 17.66 77.96 155.42 234.97 328.67
2025-01-12 41.56 4.73 6.75 10.02 20.20 89.21 177.84 268.88 376.10
2025-01-19 47.32 5.38 7.69 11.41 23.00 101.58 202.50 306.15 428.23
2025-01-26 53.53 6.09 8.70 12.91 26.03 114.92 229.09 346.35 484.47
2025-02-02 60.07 6.83 9.76 14.48 29.20 128.95 257.06 388.63 543.61
2025-02-09 66.71 7.59 10.84 16.08 32.43 143.20 285.47 431.59 603.69
2025-02-16 73.14 8.32 11.89 17.63 35.56 157.01 313.01 473.22 661.93
2025-02-23 78.98 8.98 12.83 19.04 38.40 169.54 337.99 511.00 714.77
2025-03-02 83.78 9.53 13.61 20.20 40.73 179.85 358.53 542.05 758.21
2025-03-09 87.11 9.91 14.16 21.00 42.35 187.00 372.78 563.59 788.34
2025-03-16 88.63 10.08 14.40 21.37 43.09 190.27 379.31 573.46 802.14
2025-03-23 88.19 10.03 14.33 21.26 42.88 189.31 377.40 570.58 798.12
2025-03-30 85.83 9.76 13.95 20.69 41.73 184.24 367.28 555.28 776.72
2025-04-06 81.79 9.30 13.29 19.72 39.76 175.57 350.01 529.16 740.18
2025-04-13 76.47 8.70 12.43 18.43 37.18 164.15 327.24 494.74 692.03
2025-04-20 70.31 8.00 11.43 16.95 34.18 150.93 300.88 454.89 636.29
2025-04-27 63.74 7.25 10.36 15.37 30.99 136.82 272.76 412.38 576.83
2025-05-04 57.11 6.50 9.28 13.77 27.77 122.60 244.41 369.52 516.88
2025-05-11 50.70 5.77 8.24 12.22 24.65 108.84 216.97 328.03 458.85
2025-05-18 44.68 5.08 7.26 10.77 21.72 95.91 191.20 289.06 404.33
2025-05-25 39.14 4.45 6.36 9.44 19.03 84.03 167.52 253.26 354.26
2025-06-01 34.15 3.88 5.55 8.23 16.60 73.30 146.13 220.92 309.02
2025-06-08 29.69 3.38 4.82 7.16 14.43 63.73 127.04 192.07 268.66
2025-06-15 25.74 2.93 4.18 6.21 12.52 55.26 110.17 166.56 232.98
2025-06-22 22.28 2.53 3.62 5.37 10.83 47.83 95.35 144.16 201.65
2025-06-29 19.26 2.19 3.13 4.64 9.36 41.34 82.41 124.60 174.29
2025-07-06 16.63 1.89 2.70 4.01 8.08 35.69 71.16 107.58 150.48
2025-07-13 14.34 1.63 2.33 3.46 6.97 30.79 61.38 92.81 129.81
2025-07-20 12.37 1.41 2.01 2.98 6.01 26.55 52.92 80.01 111.92
2025-07-27 10.66 1.21 1.73 2.57 5.18 22.88 45.61 68.96 96.46
2025-08-03 9.18 1.04 1.49 2.21 4.46 19.71 39.29 59.41 83.10
2025-08-10 7.91 0.90 1.29 1.91 3.84 16.98 33.84 51.17 71.57
2025-08-17 6.81 0.77 1.11 1.64 3.31 14.62 29.15 44.06 61.63
2025-08-24 5.86 0.67 0.95 1.41 2.85 12.59 25.09 37.94 53.07
2025-08-31 5.05 0.57 0.82 1.22 2.45 10.84 21.61 32.66 45.69
2025-09-07 4.35 0.49 0.71 1.05 2.11 9.33 18.60 28.12 39.33
2025-09-14 3.74 0.43 0.61 0.90 1.82 8.03 16.01 24.21 33.86
2025-09-21 3.22 0.37 0.52 0.78 1.57 6.91 13.78 20.84 29.15
2025-09-28 4.65 0.53 0.76 1.12 2.26 9.98 19.89 30.07 42.06
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