Prediction 2978

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
Download CSV Dashboard
Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=SP (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 132.39 6.31 9.85 17.54 45.59 406.94 1044.61 1775.06 3028.14
2024-10-13 164.62 7.85 12.24 21.81 56.69 506.01 1298.91 2207.18 3765.30
2024-10-20 204.69 9.76 15.22 27.11 70.49 629.19 1615.10 2744.47 4681.87
2024-10-27 254.51 12.13 18.93 33.71 87.65 782.33 2008.23 3412.49 5821.47
2024-11-03 316.45 15.09 23.53 41.92 108.98 972.74 2496.98 4243.01 7238.27
2024-11-10 393.45 18.76 29.26 52.12 135.50 1209.43 3104.57 5275.45 8999.55
2024-11-17 489.17 23.32 36.38 64.80 168.46 1503.63 3859.78 6558.73 11188.74
2024-11-24 608.10 28.99 45.22 80.55 209.43 1869.23 4798.25 8153.45 13909.21
2024-12-01 755.85 36.04 56.21 100.13 260.31 2323.39 5964.08 10134.49 17288.72
2024-12-08 939.30 44.78 69.85 124.43 323.49 2887.28 7411.57 12594.13 21484.71
2024-12-15 1166.88 55.63 86.78 154.57 401.86 3586.84 9207.30 15645.53 26690.17
2024-12-22 1448.85 69.07 107.75 191.93 498.97 4453.58 11432.22 19426.22 33139.78
2024-12-29 1797.54 85.70 133.68 238.11 619.06 5525.40 14183.52 24101.39 41115.29
2025-01-05 2227.41 106.19 165.64 295.06 767.11 6846.79 17575.49 29865.20 50947.95
2025-01-12 2754.93 131.34 204.87 364.94 948.78 8468.30 21737.87 36938.13 63013.87
2025-01-19 3397.62 161.98 252.67 450.07 1170.12 10443.86 26809.08 45555.40 77714.32
2025-01-26 4172.04 198.90 310.26 552.66 1436.82 12824.32 32919.65 55938.80 95427.69
2025-02-02 5089.48 242.64 378.48 674.19 1752.78 15644.40 40158.69 68239.77 116412.28
2025-02-09 6148.43 293.13 457.23 814.47 2117.48 18899.50 48514.44 82438.30 140633.98
2025-02-16 7323.05 349.13 544.58 970.07 2522.01 22510.12 57782.80 98187.59 167501.16
2025-02-23 8548.72 407.57 635.73 1132.43 2944.12 26277.69 67454.03 114621.44 195536.17
2025-03-02 9711.19 462.99 722.18 1286.42 3344.46 29850.96 76626.52 130207.81 222125.43
2025-03-09 10651.89 507.84 792.14 1411.03 3668.43 32742.55 84049.15 142820.74 243642.20
2025-03-16 11203.08 534.11 833.13 1484.04 3858.26 34436.82 88398.29 150211.03 256249.53
2025-03-23 11248.94 536.30 836.54 1490.12 3874.05 34577.80 88760.16 150825.95 257298.53
2025-03-30 10779.24 513.91 801.61 1427.90 3712.29 33134.00 85053.97 144528.19 246554.99
2025-04-06 9894.44 471.72 735.81 1310.69 3407.57 30414.25 78072.47 132664.85 226316.96
2025-04-13 8758.07 417.55 651.30 1160.16 3016.22 26921.19 69105.88 117428.35 200324.55
2025-04-20 7533.71 359.17 560.25 997.97 2594.55 23157.65 59445.00 101012.08 172319.55
2025-04-27 6344.35 302.47 471.80 840.42 2184.95 19501.73 50060.36 85065.21 145115.30
2025-05-04 5262.67 250.90 391.36 697.13 1812.43 16176.77 41525.29 70561.96 120373.78
2025-05-11 4320.17 205.97 321.27 572.28 1487.83 13279.64 34088.43 57924.85 98815.75
2025-05-18 3521.60 167.89 261.89 466.50 1212.81 10824.96 27787.35 47217.73 80550.14
2025-05-25 2857.25 136.22 212.48 378.49 984.02 8782.83 22545.27 38310.11 65354.38
2025-06-01 2311.10 110.18 171.87 306.15 795.93 7104.03 18235.82 30987.26 52862.11
2025-06-08 1865.57 88.94 138.73 247.13 642.49 5734.53 14720.37 25013.64 42671.52
2025-06-15 1503.95 71.70 111.84 199.22 517.95 4622.96 11867.01 20165.05 34400.16
2025-06-22 1211.40 57.75 90.09 160.47 417.20 3723.67 9558.56 16242.41 27708.41
2025-06-29 975.21 46.49 72.52 129.18 335.85 2997.66 7694.89 13075.57 22306.01
2025-07-06 784.78 37.42 58.36 103.96 270.27 2412.33 6192.37 10522.40 17950.48
2025-07-13 631.40 30.10 46.95 83.64 217.45 1940.84 4982.07 8465.79 14442.05
2025-07-20 507.91 24.22 37.77 67.28 174.92 1561.26 4007.72 6810.13 11617.60
2025-07-27 408.54 19.48 30.38 54.12 140.70 1255.80 3223.61 5477.73 9344.62
2025-08-03 328.59 15.67 24.44 43.53 113.16 1010.04 2592.75 4405.73 7515.87
2025-08-10 264.27 12.60 19.65 35.01 91.01 812.34 2085.26 3543.38 6044.76
2025-08-17 212.54 10.13 15.81 28.15 73.20 653.32 1677.06 2849.75 4861.47
2025-08-24 170.93 8.15 12.71 22.64 58.87 525.42 1348.74 2291.86 3909.75
2025-08-31 137.47 6.55 10.22 18.21 47.34 422.56 1084.69 1843.16 3144.31
2025-09-07 110.55 5.27 8.22 14.64 38.07 339.83 872.33 1482.30 2528.71
2025-09-14 88.91 4.24 6.61 11.78 30.62 273.29 701.54 1192.09 2033.62
2025-09-21 71.50 3.41 5.32 9.47 24.62 219.79 564.18 958.69 1635.46
2025-09-28 106.47 5.08 7.92 14.10 36.67 327.27 840.10 1427.54 2435.28
Chat
chatbot