Prediction 2979

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model LNCC-SURGE-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Tocantins

Description:

Validation test 3 for UF=TO (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 10.66 2.37 2.99 3.95 6.34 17.39 27.00 35.79 46.06
2024-10-13 12.38 2.75 3.47 4.59 7.36 20.20 31.36 41.58 53.50
2024-10-20 14.38 3.20 4.03 5.33 8.55 23.47 36.43 48.30 62.15
2024-10-27 16.71 3.71 4.68 6.19 9.94 27.26 42.32 56.11 72.20
2024-11-03 19.41 4.31 5.44 7.19 11.54 31.66 49.16 65.17 83.86
2024-11-10 22.54 5.01 6.32 8.36 13.40 36.77 57.10 75.69 97.40
2024-11-17 26.17 5.82 7.34 9.70 15.57 42.70 66.30 87.90 113.10
2024-11-24 30.39 6.75 8.52 11.27 18.07 49.58 76.98 102.06 131.33
2024-12-01 35.28 7.84 9.89 13.08 20.98 57.55 89.37 118.48 152.45
2024-12-08 40.94 9.10 11.48 15.18 24.35 66.79 103.71 137.49 176.91
2024-12-15 47.49 10.56 13.31 17.61 28.24 77.48 120.30 159.49 205.22
2024-12-22 55.06 12.24 15.43 20.41 32.74 89.83 139.47 184.91 237.92
2024-12-29 63.79 14.18 17.88 23.65 37.93 104.07 161.59 214.22 275.64
2025-01-05 73.82 16.41 20.69 27.37 43.90 120.44 187.02 247.94 319.02
2025-01-12 85.33 18.97 23.92 31.64 50.75 139.22 216.16 286.58 368.75
2025-01-19 98.46 21.88 27.60 36.50 58.55 160.63 249.42 330.66 425.47
2025-01-26 113.34 25.19 31.77 42.02 67.40 184.91 287.11 380.63 489.77
2025-02-02 130.06 28.91 36.46 48.22 77.35 212.19 329.47 436.79 562.03
2025-02-09 148.64 33.04 41.67 55.11 88.40 242.50 376.54 499.20 642.33
2025-02-16 168.97 37.56 47.37 62.65 100.49 275.68 428.05 567.49 730.20
2025-02-23 190.77 42.40 53.48 70.73 113.45 311.23 483.26 640.68 824.38
2025-03-02 213.49 47.45 59.85 79.15 126.96 348.31 540.83 717.00 922.58
2025-03-09 236.31 52.53 66.24 87.62 140.54 385.54 598.64 793.65 1021.20
2025-03-16 258.09 57.37 72.35 95.69 153.48 421.06 653.80 866.77 1115.29
2025-03-23 277.39 61.66 77.76 102.84 164.96 452.56 702.70 931.59 1198.71
2025-03-30 292.68 65.06 82.04 108.51 174.06 477.51 741.44 982.95 1264.79
2025-04-06 302.54 67.25 84.81 112.17 179.92 493.59 766.42 1016.07 1307.40
2025-04-13 305.95 68.01 85.76 113.43 181.95 499.16 775.05 1027.52 1322.14
2025-04-20 302.54 67.25 84.81 112.17 179.92 493.59 766.42 1016.07 1307.40
2025-04-27 292.68 65.06 82.04 108.51 174.06 477.51 741.44 982.95 1264.79
2025-05-04 277.39 61.66 77.76 102.84 164.96 452.56 702.70 931.59 1198.71
2025-05-11 258.09 57.37 72.35 95.69 153.48 421.06 653.80 866.77 1115.29
2025-05-18 236.31 52.53 66.24 87.62 140.54 385.54 598.64 793.65 1021.20
2025-05-25 213.49 47.45 59.85 79.15 126.96 348.31 540.83 717.00 922.58
2025-06-01 190.77 42.40 53.48 70.73 113.45 311.23 483.26 640.68 824.38
2025-06-08 168.97 37.56 47.37 62.65 100.49 275.68 428.05 567.49 730.20
2025-06-15 148.64 33.04 41.67 55.11 88.40 242.50 376.54 499.20 642.33
2025-06-22 130.06 28.91 36.46 48.22 77.35 212.19 329.47 436.79 562.03
2025-06-29 113.34 25.19 31.77 42.02 67.40 184.91 287.11 380.63 489.77
2025-07-06 98.46 21.88 27.60 36.50 58.55 160.63 249.42 330.66 425.47
2025-07-13 85.33 18.97 23.92 31.64 50.75 139.22 216.16 286.58 368.75
2025-07-20 73.82 16.41 20.69 27.37 43.90 120.44 187.02 247.94 319.02
2025-07-27 63.79 14.18 17.88 23.65 37.93 104.07 161.59 214.22 275.64
2025-08-03 55.06 12.24 15.43 20.41 32.74 89.83 139.47 184.91 237.92
2025-08-10 47.49 10.56 13.31 17.61 28.24 77.48 120.30 159.49 205.22
2025-08-17 40.94 9.10 11.48 15.18 24.35 66.79 103.71 137.49 176.91
2025-08-24 35.28 7.84 9.89 13.08 20.98 57.55 89.37 118.48 152.45
2025-08-31 30.39 6.75 8.52 11.27 18.07 49.58 76.98 102.06 131.33
2025-09-07 26.17 5.82 7.34 9.70 15.57 42.70 66.30 87.90 113.10
2025-09-14 22.54 5.01 6.32 8.36 13.40 36.77 57.10 75.69 97.40
2025-09-21 19.41 4.31 5.44 7.19 11.54 31.66 49.16 65.17 83.86
2025-09-28 9.17 2.04 2.57 3.40 5.46 14.97 23.24 30.81 39.64
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