Prediction 3003
| Model | LNCC-CLiDENGO-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=PR (Model3 CLiDENGO)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 21.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 49.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 53.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 41.0 | 62.0 | 85.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | 45.0 | 71.0 | 101.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 | 52.0 | 89.0 | 131.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 25.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 26.0 | 60.0 | 102.0 | 140.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 65.0 | 115.0 | 175.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 30.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 30.0 | 71.0 | 133.0 | 181.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 33.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 33.0 | 82.0 | 145.0 | 193.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 39.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 39.0 | 100.0 | 164.0 | 259.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 43.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 43.0 | 105.0 | 191.0 | 270.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 49.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 49.0 | 126.0 | 212.0 | 315.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 49.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 49.0 | 120.0 | 215.0 | 356.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 51.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 51.0 | 124.0 | 228.0 | 325.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 55.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 55.0 | 144.0 | 231.0 | 377.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 61.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 61.0 | 149.0 | 298.0 | 458.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 65.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 65.0 | 168.0 | 322.0 | 453.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 73.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 73.0 | 181.0 | 341.0 | 576.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 78.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 78.0 | 192.0 | 373.0 | 546.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 84.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 84.0 | 208.0 | 389.0 | 648.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 89.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 89.0 | 222.0 | 389.0 | 649.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 94.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 94.0 | 248.0 | 439.0 | 653.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 117.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 117.0 | 274.0 | 566.0 | 994.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 118.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 118.0 | 283.0 | 543.0 | 960.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 130.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 130.0 | 316.0 | 613.0 | 949.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 136.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 136.0 | 345.0 | 637.0 | 976.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 133.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 133.0 | 349.0 | 632.0 | 1127.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 127.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 127.0 | 321.0 | 656.0 | 949.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 157.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 157.0 | 414.0 | 760.0 | 1153.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 148.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 148.0 | 379.0 | 729.0 | 1183.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 149.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 149.0 | 390.0 | 700.0 | 1194.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 150.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 150.0 | 396.0 | 763.0 | 1244.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 164.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 164.0 | 425.0 | 852.0 | 1395.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 160.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 160.0 | 414.0 | 789.0 | 1319.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 171.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 171.0 | 407.0 | 852.0 | 1557.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 161.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 161.0 | 438.0 | 816.0 | 1305.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 176.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 176.0 | 467.0 | 872.0 | 1532.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 171.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 171.0 | 432.0 | 864.0 | 1502.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 180.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 180.0 | 490.0 | 869.0 | 1530.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 175.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 175.0 | 441.0 | 917.0 | 1450.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 173.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 173.0 | 483.0 | 845.0 | 1513.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 184.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 184.0 | 535.0 | 861.0 | 1558.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 189.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 189.0 | 531.0 | 920.0 | 1621.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 199.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 199.0 | 571.0 | 1070.0 | 1577.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 180.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 180.0 | 526.0 | 934.0 | 1372.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 208.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 208.0 | 597.0 | 1119.0 | 1725.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 188.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 188.0 | 522.0 | 955.0 | 1500.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 183.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 183.0 | 537.0 | 943.0 | 1545.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 204.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 204.0 | 595.0 | 1117.0 | 1616.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 206.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 206.0 | 540.0 | 1117.0 | 1654.0 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
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