Prediction 3038

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model LNCC-CLiDENGO-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

Validation test 2 for UF=SP (Model3 CLiDENGO)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 2351.0 7.0 10.0 16.0 46.0 2351.0 5199.0 11508.0 24361.0
2023-10-15 20691.0 7.0 9.0 16.0 52.0 20691.0 37361.0 103935.0 204213.0
2023-10-22 11641.0 7.0 11.0 18.0 62.0 11641.0 26227.0 59877.0 105604.0
2023-10-29 6496.0 7.0 10.0 18.0 69.0 6496.0 15882.0 39352.0 53443.0
2023-11-05 5103.0 8.0 10.0 20.0 80.0 5103.0 14100.0 26689.0 41991.0
2023-11-12 4111.0 8.0 11.0 20.0 94.0 4111.0 11220.0 20333.0 31984.0
2023-11-19 3328.0 8.0 11.0 22.0 104.0 3328.0 8145.0 17999.0 26858.0
2023-11-26 2670.0 8.0 11.0 21.0 109.0 2670.0 6477.0 14192.0 20600.0
2023-12-03 2227.0 8.0 12.0 21.0 119.0 2227.0 5604.0 11202.0 16496.0
2023-12-10 1916.0 8.0 12.0 21.0 124.0 1916.0 5263.0 9097.0 15163.0
2023-12-17 1800.0 8.0 12.0 23.0 124.0 1800.0 4994.0 8405.0 13136.0
2023-12-24 1743.0 9.0 14.0 25.0 139.0 1743.0 4924.0 8146.0 12347.0
2023-12-31 1553.0 9.0 14.0 25.0 132.0 1553.0 4060.0 7441.0 10210.0
2024-01-07 1494.0 9.0 14.0 25.0 137.0 1494.0 3955.0 6775.0 10428.0
2024-01-14 1321.0 8.0 14.0 26.0 129.0 1321.0 3720.0 5915.0 9440.0
2024-01-21 1166.0 8.0 14.0 24.0 123.0 1166.0 3171.0 5028.0 7965.0
2024-01-28 1088.0 9.0 14.0 24.0 117.0 1088.0 3011.0 5043.0 7837.0
2024-02-04 986.0 9.0 13.0 24.0 109.0 986.0 2699.0 4690.0 6695.0
2024-02-11 958.0 8.0 15.0 25.0 115.0 958.0 2554.0 4747.0 6413.0
2024-02-18 918.0 8.0 14.0 25.0 106.0 918.0 2491.0 4612.0 5835.0
2024-02-25 915.0 9.0 14.0 26.0 113.0 915.0 2528.0 4475.0 6140.0
2024-03-03 879.0 9.0 15.0 29.0 109.0 879.0 2446.0 4355.0 5761.0
2024-03-10 882.0 9.0 15.0 29.0 110.0 882.0 2373.0 4311.0 6051.0
2024-03-17 842.0 9.0 15.0 30.0 112.0 842.0 2411.0 3921.0 5674.0
2024-03-24 814.0 10.0 17.0 33.0 108.0 814.0 2161.0 3844.0 5646.0
2024-03-31 868.0 11.0 18.0 37.0 117.0 868.0 2319.0 4123.0 6095.0
2024-04-07 800.0 10.0 17.0 36.0 106.0 800.0 2185.0 3752.0 5470.0
2024-04-14 781.0 11.0 18.0 35.0 109.0 781.0 2138.0 3680.0 5343.0
2024-04-21 793.0 12.0 20.0 40.0 109.0 793.0 2239.0 3786.0 5019.0
2024-04-28 722.0 11.0 19.0 36.0 102.0 722.0 2000.0 3299.0 4894.0
2024-05-05 706.0 11.0 19.0 38.0 106.0 706.0 2087.0 3130.0 4826.0
2024-05-12 640.0 10.0 18.0 34.0 93.0 640.0 1937.0 2961.0 4148.0
2024-05-19 596.0 11.0 19.0 33.0 89.0 596.0 1688.0 2848.0 3739.0
2024-05-26 557.0 10.0 17.0 30.0 87.0 557.0 1638.0 2686.0 3524.0
2024-06-02 534.0 10.0 20.0 31.0 83.0 534.0 1552.0 2469.0 3567.0
2024-06-09 541.0 10.0 19.0 34.0 84.0 541.0 1574.0 2563.0 3290.0
2024-06-16 540.0 11.0 20.0 33.0 83.0 540.0 1511.0 2642.0 3463.0
2024-06-23 487.0 10.0 19.0 32.0 76.0 487.0 1333.0 2353.0 3250.0
2024-06-30 511.0 11.0 20.0 32.0 79.0 511.0 1360.0 2480.0 3289.0
2024-07-07 446.0 10.0 18.0 30.0 70.0 446.0 1220.0 2114.0 2924.0
2024-07-14 469.0 12.0 20.0 31.0 77.0 469.0 1300.0 2301.0 3006.0
2024-07-21 434.0 11.0 19.0 32.0 71.0 434.0 1153.0 2183.0 2976.0
2024-07-28 426.0 10.0 19.0 31.0 71.0 426.0 1126.0 2051.0 2638.0
2024-08-04 395.0 11.0 19.0 29.0 66.0 399.0 1071.0 1971.0 2468.0
2024-08-11 376.0 10.0 17.0 27.0 62.0 376.0 951.0 1916.0 2436.0
2024-08-18 380.0 11.0 18.0 28.0 64.0 380.0 1011.0 1778.0 2439.0
2024-08-25 381.0 12.0 19.0 29.0 65.0 390.0 1001.0 1788.0 2530.0
2024-09-01 367.0 10.0 17.0 28.0 62.0 373.0 999.0 1799.0 2285.0
2024-09-08 341.0 10.0 18.0 26.0 57.0 342.0 921.0 1555.0 2240.0
2024-09-15 335.0 10.0 17.0 26.0 58.0 338.0 908.0 1591.0 2115.0
2024-09-22 346.0 10.0 18.0 26.0 61.0 351.0 950.0 1610.0 2073.0
2024-09-29 354.0 12.0 20.0 28.0 60.0 354.0 930.0 1614.0 2360.0
Chat
chatbot