Prediction 3101
| Model | CNNLSTM_DengueForecast_Cases_Climate_Data_Driven_Ensemble |
|---|---|
| Author | Haridas Kumar Das |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Validation test 2 in RN
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 122.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.79 | 225.23 | 317.89 | 373.21 | 421.22 |
| 2023-10-15 | 114.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.53 | 216.96 | 309.62 | 364.94 | 412.95 |
| 2023-10-22 | 116.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.11 | 219.54 | 312.20 | 367.52 | 415.53 |
| 2023-10-29 | 102.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 204.97 | 297.63 | 352.95 | 400.96 |
| 2023-11-05 | 96.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 198.87 | 291.53 | 346.86 | 394.86 |
| 2023-11-12 | 104.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.08 | 207.52 | 300.18 | 355.50 | 403.51 |
| 2023-11-19 | 102.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 205.12 | 297.78 | 353.10 | 401.11 |
| 2023-11-26 | 103.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.06 | 206.50 | 299.16 | 354.48 | 402.48 |
| 2023-12-03 | 106.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.02 | 209.45 | 302.11 | 357.43 | 405.44 |
| 2023-12-10 | 106.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.09 | 209.53 | 302.19 | 357.51 | 405.52 |
| 2023-12-17 | 109.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.22 | 212.66 | 305.32 | 360.64 | 408.65 |
| 2023-12-24 | 103.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.62 | 206.06 | 298.72 | 354.04 | 402.05 |
| 2023-12-31 | 99.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 202.27 | 294.93 | 350.25 | 398.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | 154.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.43 | 256.87 | 349.53 | 404.85 | 452.86 |
| 2024-01-14 | 201.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.86 | 98.52 | 303.95 | 396.61 | 451.94 | 499.94 |
| 2024-01-21 | 245.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.34 | 143.00 | 348.43 | 441.09 | 496.42 | 544.42 |
| 2024-01-28 | 315.69 | 16.98 | 64.99 | 120.31 | 212.97 | 418.40 | 511.06 | 566.39 | 614.39 |
| 2024-02-04 | 393.16 | 94.45 | 142.46 | 197.78 | 290.44 | 495.87 | 588.53 | 643.86 | 691.86 |
| 2024-02-11 | 491.05 | 192.34 | 240.35 | 295.67 | 388.33 | 593.77 | 686.43 | 741.75 | 789.75 |
| 2024-02-18 | 634.66 | 335.95 | 383.96 | 439.28 | 531.94 | 737.38 | 830.04 | 885.36 | 933.36 |
| 2024-02-25 | 683.69 | 384.99 | 432.99 | 488.31 | 580.97 | 786.41 | 879.07 | 934.39 | 982.40 |
| 2024-03-03 | 766.75 | 468.04 | 516.05 | 571.37 | 664.03 | 869.47 | 962.13 | 1017.45 | 1065.45 |
| 2024-03-10 | 766.04 | 467.33 | 515.34 | 570.66 | 663.32 | 868.76 | 961.42 | 1016.74 | 1064.74 |
| 2024-03-17 | 791.12 | 492.41 | 540.42 | 595.74 | 688.40 | 893.83 | 986.49 | 1041.82 | 1089.82 |
| 2024-03-24 | 727.65 | 428.95 | 476.95 | 532.27 | 624.93 | 830.37 | 923.03 | 978.35 | 1026.36 |
| 2024-03-31 | 727.70 | 428.99 | 477.00 | 532.32 | 624.98 | 830.42 | 923.08 | 978.40 | 1026.41 |
| 2024-04-07 | 770.88 | 472.18 | 520.18 | 575.51 | 668.17 | 873.60 | 966.26 | 1021.58 | 1069.59 |
| 2024-04-14 | 892.81 | 594.10 | 642.11 | 697.43 | 790.09 | 995.52 | 1088.18 | 1143.50 | 1191.51 |
| 2024-04-21 | 881.52 | 582.82 | 630.82 | 686.14 | 778.80 | 984.24 | 1076.90 | 1132.22 | 1180.23 |
| 2024-04-28 | 880.48 | 581.77 | 629.78 | 685.10 | 777.76 | 983.19 | 1075.85 | 1131.18 | 1179.18 |
| 2024-05-05 | 876.63 | 577.92 | 625.93 | 681.25 | 773.91 | 979.35 | 1072.01 | 1127.33 | 1175.34 |
| 2024-05-12 | 835.73 | 537.03 | 585.03 | 640.35 | 733.01 | 938.45 | 1031.11 | 1086.43 | 1134.44 |
| 2024-05-19 | 859.19 | 560.49 | 608.49 | 663.82 | 756.48 | 961.91 | 1054.57 | 1109.89 | 1157.90 |
| 2024-05-26 | 782.59 | 483.89 | 531.89 | 587.21 | 679.87 | 885.31 | 977.97 | 1033.29 | 1081.30 |
| 2024-06-02 | 753.89 | 455.18 | 503.19 | 558.51 | 651.17 | 856.61 | 949.27 | 1004.59 | 1052.60 |
| 2024-06-09 | 694.38 | 395.67 | 443.68 | 499.00 | 591.66 | 797.10 | 889.76 | 945.08 | 993.08 |
| 2024-06-16 | 612.30 | 313.59 | 361.60 | 416.92 | 509.58 | 715.02 | 807.68 | 863.00 | 911.00 |
| 2024-06-23 | 562.36 | 263.66 | 311.66 | 366.99 | 459.64 | 665.08 | 757.74 | 813.06 | 861.07 |
| 2024-06-30 | 486.33 | 187.63 | 235.63 | 290.96 | 383.61 | 589.05 | 681.71 | 737.03 | 785.04 |
| 2024-07-07 | 494.95 | 196.25 | 244.26 | 299.58 | 392.24 | 597.67 | 690.33 | 745.65 | 793.66 |
| 2024-07-14 | 462.31 | 163.61 | 211.61 | 266.93 | 359.59 | 565.03 | 657.69 | 713.01 | 761.02 |
| 2024-07-21 | 403.20 | 104.49 | 152.50 | 207.82 | 300.48 | 505.91 | 598.57 | 653.90 | 701.90 |
| 2024-07-28 | 346.24 | 47.54 | 95.54 | 150.86 | 243.52 | 448.96 | 541.62 | 596.94 | 644.95 |
| 2024-08-04 | 323.55 | 24.85 | 72.86 | 128.18 | 220.84 | 426.27 | 518.93 | 574.25 | 622.26 |
| 2024-08-11 | 324.76 | 26.06 | 74.06 | 129.39 | 222.05 | 427.48 | 520.14 | 575.46 | 623.47 |
| 2024-08-18 | 269.31 | 0.00 | 18.61 | 73.93 | 166.59 | 372.03 | 464.69 | 520.01 | 568.02 |
| 2024-08-25 | 230.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.76 | 127.42 | 332.86 | 425.52 | 480.84 | 528.84 |
| 2024-09-01 | 188.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.98 | 291.41 | 384.07 | 439.39 | 487.40 |
| 2024-09-08 | 168.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.84 | 271.28 | 363.94 | 419.26 | 467.27 |
| 2024-09-15 | 158.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.46 | 260.90 | 353.56 | 408.88 | 456.89 |
| 2024-09-22 | 141.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.25 | 244.69 | 337.35 | 392.67 | 440.68 |
| 2024-09-29 | 111.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.41 | 213.84 | 306.50 | 361.83 | 409.83 |
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