Prediction 3105
| Model | CNNLSTM_DengueForecast_Cases_Climate_Data_Driven_Ensemble |
|---|---|
| Author | Haridas Kumar Das |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
Validation test 2 in CE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 169.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 353.27 | 519.25 | 618.34 | 704.34 |
| 2023-10-15 | 165.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 349.47 | 515.45 | 614.55 | 700.54 |
| 2023-10-22 | 151.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 335.95 | 501.93 | 601.02 | 687.02 |
| 2023-10-29 | 130.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 314.34 | 480.31 | 579.41 | 665.40 |
| 2023-11-05 | 147.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 331.79 | 497.77 | 596.86 | 682.85 |
| 2023-11-12 | 172.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 356.96 | 522.93 | 622.03 | 708.02 |
| 2023-11-19 | 178.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 362.75 | 528.72 | 627.82 | 713.81 |
| 2023-11-26 | 188.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.46 | 372.45 | 538.43 | 637.52 | 723.51 |
| 2023-12-03 | 201.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.70 | 385.68 | 551.66 | 650.75 | 736.75 |
| 2023-12-10 | 208.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.55 | 392.54 | 558.51 | 657.61 | 743.60 |
| 2023-12-17 | 185.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.39 | 369.38 | 535.35 | 634.45 | 720.44 |
| 2023-12-24 | 151.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 335.33 | 501.31 | 600.40 | 686.39 |
| 2023-12-31 | 142.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 326.96 | 492.94 | 592.03 | 678.03 |
| 2024-01-07 | 227.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.65 | 411.64 | 577.61 | 676.71 | 762.70 |
| 2024-01-14 | 289.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 105.52 | 473.51 | 639.49 | 738.58 | 824.57 |
| 2024-01-21 | 352.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.19 | 168.17 | 536.15 | 702.13 | 801.22 | 887.22 |
| 2024-01-28 | 405.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.34 | 221.32 | 589.30 | 755.28 | 854.37 | 940.36 |
| 2024-02-04 | 453.37 | 0.00 | 4.31 | 103.40 | 269.38 | 637.37 | 803.34 | 902.44 | 988.43 |
| 2024-02-11 | 529.59 | 0.00 | 80.53 | 179.62 | 345.60 | 713.59 | 879.56 | 978.66 | 1064.65 |
| 2024-02-18 | 620.92 | 85.86 | 171.85 | 270.95 | 436.93 | 804.91 | 970.89 | 1069.98 | 1155.97 |
| 2024-02-25 | 665.93 | 130.87 | 216.86 | 315.96 | 481.93 | 849.92 | 1015.90 | 1114.99 | 1200.98 |
| 2024-03-03 | 717.91 | 182.86 | 268.85 | 367.94 | 533.92 | 901.91 | 1067.88 | 1166.98 | 1252.97 |
| 2024-03-10 | 838.57 | 303.51 | 389.50 | 488.60 | 654.57 | 1022.56 | 1188.54 | 1287.63 | 1373.62 |
| 2024-03-17 | 963.89 | 428.84 | 514.83 | 613.92 | 779.90 | 1147.89 | 1313.86 | 1412.96 | 1498.95 |
| 2024-03-24 | 950.92 | 415.87 | 501.86 | 600.95 | 766.93 | 1134.92 | 1300.89 | 1399.99 | 1485.98 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1094.90 | 559.85 | 645.84 | 744.93 | 910.91 | 1278.90 | 1444.87 | 1543.97 | 1629.96 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1205.64 | 670.58 | 756.57 | 855.67 | 1021.64 | 1389.63 | 1555.61 | 1654.70 | 1740.69 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1335.84 | 800.79 | 886.78 | 985.87 | 1151.85 | 1519.83 | 1685.81 | 1784.90 | 1870.90 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1391.44 | 856.38 | 942.37 | 1041.47 | 1207.44 | 1575.43 | 1741.41 | 1840.50 | 1926.49 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1488.01 | 952.96 | 1038.95 | 1138.04 | 1304.02 | 1672.01 | 1837.98 | 1937.08 | 2023.07 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1513.17 | 978.11 | 1064.10 | 1163.20 | 1329.17 | 1697.16 | 1863.14 | 1962.23 | 2048.22 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1641.25 | 1106.19 | 1192.18 | 1291.28 | 1457.25 | 1825.24 | 1991.22 | 2090.31 | 2176.30 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1654.20 | 1119.14 | 1205.13 | 1304.23 | 1470.20 | 1838.19 | 2004.16 | 2103.26 | 2189.25 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1370.08 | 835.02 | 921.01 | 1020.11 | 1186.08 | 1554.07 | 1720.05 | 1819.14 | 1905.13 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1166.79 | 631.74 | 717.73 | 816.82 | 982.80 | 1350.78 | 1516.76 | 1615.86 | 1701.85 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1105.69 | 570.64 | 656.63 | 755.72 | 921.70 | 1289.68 | 1455.66 | 1554.75 | 1640.75 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1025.52 | 490.47 | 576.46 | 675.55 | 841.53 | 1209.52 | 1375.49 | 1474.59 | 1560.58 |
| 2024-06-23 | 929.62 | 394.56 | 480.55 | 579.65 | 745.62 | 1113.61 | 1279.59 | 1378.68 | 1464.67 |
| 2024-06-30 | 782.16 | 247.10 | 333.09 | 432.19 | 598.16 | 966.15 | 1132.13 | 1231.22 | 1317.21 |
| 2024-07-07 | 764.60 | 229.54 | 315.54 | 414.63 | 580.61 | 948.59 | 1114.57 | 1213.66 | 1299.65 |
| 2024-07-14 | 716.60 | 181.55 | 267.54 | 366.63 | 532.61 | 900.59 | 1066.57 | 1165.66 | 1251.66 |
| 2024-07-21 | 557.73 | 22.68 | 108.67 | 207.76 | 373.74 | 741.72 | 907.70 | 1006.79 | 1092.79 |
| 2024-07-28 | 510.11 | 0.00 | 61.05 | 160.15 | 326.12 | 694.11 | 860.08 | 959.18 | 1045.17 |
| 2024-08-04 | 534.14 | 0.00 | 85.08 | 184.17 | 350.15 | 718.13 | 884.11 | 983.21 | 1069.20 |
| 2024-08-11 | 493.29 | 0.00 | 44.22 | 143.32 | 309.29 | 677.28 | 843.26 | 942.35 | 1028.34 |
| 2024-08-18 | 462.85 | 0.00 | 13.79 | 112.88 | 278.86 | 646.84 | 812.82 | 911.91 | 997.90 |
| 2024-08-25 | 346.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 162.43 | 530.42 | 696.39 | 795.49 | 881.48 |
| 2024-09-01 | 343.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 159.62 | 527.60 | 693.58 | 792.67 | 878.66 |
| 2024-09-08 | 302.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.54 | 486.52 | 652.50 | 751.60 | 837.59 |
| 2024-09-15 | 203.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.51 | 387.50 | 553.47 | 652.57 | 738.56 |
| 2024-09-22 | 183.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 367.06 | 533.03 | 632.13 | 718.12 |
| 2024-09-29 | 186.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.98 | 370.97 | 536.94 | 636.04 | 722.03 |
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