Prediction 3106
| Model | CNNLSTM_DengueForecast_Cases_Climate_Data_Driven_Ensemble |
|---|---|
| Author | Haridas Kumar Das |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
Validation test 3 in CE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 177.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 355.50 | 516.41 | 612.48 | 695.84 |
| 2024-10-13 | 169.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 347.88 | 508.79 | 604.86 | 688.22 |
| 2024-10-20 | 156.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 334.94 | 495.85 | 591.92 | 675.29 |
| 2024-10-27 | 136.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 314.90 | 475.81 | 571.87 | 655.24 |
| 2024-11-03 | 149.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 328.13 | 489.03 | 585.10 | 668.47 |
| 2024-11-10 | 178.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 356.79 | 517.70 | 613.77 | 697.13 |
| 2024-11-17 | 186.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.56 | 365.32 | 526.22 | 622.29 | 705.66 |
| 2024-11-24 | 199.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.98 | 377.73 | 538.64 | 634.71 | 718.07 |
| 2024-12-01 | 213.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.43 | 392.18 | 553.09 | 649.16 | 732.52 |
| 2024-12-08 | 219.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.60 | 398.35 | 559.26 | 655.33 | 738.70 |
| 2024-12-15 | 198.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.33 | 377.08 | 537.99 | 634.06 | 717.43 |
| 2024-12-22 | 169.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 348.14 | 509.05 | 605.12 | 688.49 |
| 2024-12-29 | 153.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 332.25 | 493.16 | 589.22 | 672.59 |
| 2025-01-05 | 254.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75.76 | 432.51 | 593.42 | 689.48 | 772.85 |
| 2025-01-12 | 311.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.66 | 489.41 | 650.32 | 746.39 | 829.76 |
| 2025-01-19 | 382.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.59 | 204.50 | 561.25 | 722.16 | 818.23 | 901.59 |
| 2025-01-26 | 441.75 | 0.00 | 6.39 | 102.46 | 263.37 | 620.12 | 781.03 | 877.10 | 960.46 |
| 2025-02-02 | 501.84 | 0.00 | 66.49 | 162.56 | 323.46 | 680.22 | 841.12 | 937.19 | 1020.56 |
| 2025-02-09 | 576.02 | 57.30 | 140.66 | 236.73 | 397.64 | 754.39 | 915.30 | 1011.37 | 1094.74 |
| 2025-02-16 | 678.59 | 159.87 | 243.24 | 339.30 | 500.21 | 856.96 | 1017.87 | 1113.94 | 1197.31 |
| 2025-02-23 | 723.73 | 205.01 | 288.38 | 384.45 | 545.35 | 902.10 | 1063.01 | 1159.08 | 1242.45 |
| 2025-03-02 | 765.75 | 247.03 | 330.39 | 426.46 | 587.37 | 944.12 | 1105.03 | 1201.10 | 1284.46 |
| 2025-03-09 | 897.06 | 378.34 | 461.71 | 557.78 | 718.69 | 1075.44 | 1236.35 | 1332.41 | 1415.78 |
| 2025-03-16 | 1023.29 | 504.57 | 587.94 | 684.01 | 844.91 | 1201.67 | 1362.57 | 1458.64 | 1542.01 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1027.14 | 508.42 | 591.79 | 687.85 | 848.76 | 1205.51 | 1366.42 | 1462.49 | 1545.86 |
| 2025-03-30 | 1169.94 | 651.23 | 734.59 | 830.66 | 991.57 | 1348.32 | 1509.23 | 1605.30 | 1688.66 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1352.05 | 833.33 | 916.69 | 1012.76 | 1173.67 | 1530.42 | 1691.33 | 1787.40 | 1870.76 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1463.12 | 944.41 | 1027.77 | 1123.84 | 1284.75 | 1641.50 | 1802.41 | 1898.48 | 1981.84 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1543.44 | 1024.72 | 1108.08 | 1204.15 | 1365.06 | 1721.81 | 1882.72 | 1978.79 | 2062.15 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1646.02 | 1127.30 | 1210.67 | 1306.74 | 1467.64 | 1824.40 | 1985.30 | 2081.37 | 2164.74 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1676.17 | 1157.45 | 1240.82 | 1336.88 | 1497.79 | 1854.54 | 2015.45 | 2111.52 | 2194.89 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1825.14 | 1306.43 | 1389.79 | 1485.86 | 1646.77 | 2003.52 | 2164.43 | 2260.50 | 2343.86 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1819.68 | 1300.96 | 1384.32 | 1480.39 | 1641.30 | 1998.05 | 2158.96 | 2255.03 | 2338.39 |
| 2025-05-25 | 1472.89 | 954.17 | 1037.54 | 1133.61 | 1294.51 | 1651.26 | 1812.17 | 1908.24 | 1991.61 |
| 2025-06-01 | 1254.16 | 735.44 | 818.80 | 914.87 | 1075.78 | 1432.53 | 1593.44 | 1689.51 | 1772.87 |
| 2025-06-08 | 1191.42 | 672.70 | 756.07 | 852.14 | 1013.05 | 1369.80 | 1530.71 | 1626.77 | 1710.14 |
| 2025-06-15 | 1104.09 | 585.37 | 668.74 | 764.81 | 925.71 | 1282.47 | 1443.37 | 1539.44 | 1622.81 |
| 2025-06-22 | 1002.93 | 484.22 | 567.58 | 663.65 | 824.56 | 1181.31 | 1342.22 | 1438.29 | 1521.65 |
| 2025-06-29 | 862.43 | 343.71 | 427.08 | 523.15 | 684.06 | 1040.81 | 1201.72 | 1297.78 | 1381.15 |
| 2025-07-06 | 832.27 | 313.55 | 396.92 | 492.98 | 653.89 | 1010.64 | 1171.55 | 1267.62 | 1350.99 |
| 2025-07-13 | 777.84 | 259.12 | 342.49 | 438.56 | 599.47 | 956.22 | 1117.13 | 1213.20 | 1296.56 |
| 2025-07-20 | 621.58 | 102.86 | 186.22 | 282.29 | 443.20 | 799.95 | 960.86 | 1056.93 | 1140.30 |
| 2025-07-27 | 552.06 | 33.35 | 116.71 | 212.78 | 373.69 | 730.44 | 891.35 | 987.42 | 1070.78 |
| 2025-08-03 | 568.16 | 49.44 | 132.80 | 228.87 | 389.78 | 746.53 | 907.44 | 1003.51 | 1086.87 |
| 2025-08-10 | 530.78 | 12.06 | 95.43 | 191.50 | 352.41 | 709.16 | 870.07 | 966.14 | 1049.50 |
| 2025-08-17 | 489.63 | 0.00 | 54.27 | 150.34 | 311.25 | 668.00 | 828.91 | 924.98 | 1008.35 |
| 2025-08-24 | 371.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.58 | 193.49 | 550.24 | 711.14 | 807.21 | 890.58 |
| 2025-08-31 | 296.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 117.96 | 474.71 | 635.62 | 731.69 | 815.06 |
| 2025-09-07 | 272.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.06 | 450.81 | 611.72 | 707.79 | 791.16 |
| 2025-09-14 | 212.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.24 | 390.99 | 551.90 | 647.97 | 731.34 |
| 2025-09-21 | 201.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.22 | 379.97 | 540.88 | 636.95 | 720.31 |
| 2025-09-28 | 170.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 348.76 | 509.67 | 605.74 | 689.10 |
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