Prediction 3521
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=AC (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 157.0 | 374.0 | 374.0 | 478.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 176.0 | 415.0 | 415.0 | 531.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 180.0 | 429.0 | 429.0 | 551.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 186.0 | 447.0 | 447.0 | 574.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 191.0 | 461.0 | 461.0 | 594.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 206.0 | 494.0 | 494.0 | 637.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 86.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 197.0 | 480.0 | 480.0 | 620.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 106.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 229.0 | 546.0 | 546.0 | 705.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 243.0 | 577.0 | 577.0 | 743.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 123.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 257.0 | 606.0 | 606.0 | 781.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 217.0 | 528.0 | 528.0 | 684.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 172.0 | 440.0 | 440.0 | 575.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 103.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 226.0 | 548.0 | 548.0 | 710.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 103.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 227.0 | 549.0 | 549.0 | 712.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 241.0 | 579.0 | 579.0 | 748.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 225.0 | 546.0 | 546.0 | 708.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 106.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 231.0 | 559.0 | 559.0 | 723.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 245.0 | 586.0 | 586.0 | 757.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 233.0 | 562.0 | 562.0 | 728.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 103.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 227.0 | 550.0 | 550.0 | 713.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 245.0 | 586.0 | 586.0 | 758.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 242.0 | 581.0 | 581.0 | 752.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 239.0 | 574.0 | 574.0 | 743.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 116.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 249.0 | 595.0 | 595.0 | 769.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 231.0 | 560.0 | 560.0 | 725.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 238.0 | 575.0 | 575.0 | 745.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 252.0 | 602.0 | 602.0 | 779.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 252.0 | 604.0 | 604.0 | 781.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 115.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 248.0 | 598.0 | 598.0 | 774.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 254.0 | 611.0 | 611.0 | 791.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 257.0 | 616.0 | 616.0 | 798.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 115.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 250.0 | 604.0 | 604.0 | 783.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 240.0 | 586.0 | 586.0 | 761.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 111.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 244.0 | 593.0 | 593.0 | 771.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 228.0 | 563.0 | 563.0 | 733.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 225.0 | 558.0 | 558.0 | 728.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 224.0 | 556.0 | 556.0 | 725.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 227.0 | 563.0 | 563.0 | 735.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 221.0 | 550.0 | 550.0 | 718.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 217.0 | 542.0 | 542.0 | 707.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 215.0 | 538.0 | 538.0 | 702.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 213.0 | 535.0 | 535.0 | 698.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 213.0 | 533.0 | 533.0 | 697.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 210.0 | 529.0 | 529.0 | 691.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 208.0 | 525.0 | 525.0 | 686.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 208.0 | 524.0 | 524.0 | 685.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 210.0 | 528.0 | 528.0 | 691.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 205.0 | 519.0 | 519.0 | 679.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 206.0 | 521.0 | 521.0 | 681.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 206.0 | 522.0 | 522.0 | 683.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 208.0 | 526.0 | 526.0 | 688.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 209.0 | 528.0 | 528.0 | 691.0 |
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