Prediction 3523
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=AM (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 172.0 | 172.0 | 213.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 191.0 | 191.0 | 237.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 93.0 | 204.0 | 204.0 | 253.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 102.0 | 222.0 | 222.0 | 274.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 111.0 | 240.0 | 240.0 | 297.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 127.0 | 269.0 | 269.0 | 332.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 138.0 | 289.0 | 289.0 | 357.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 77.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 151.0 | 314.0 | 314.0 | 387.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 168.0 | 346.0 | 346.0 | 426.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 39.0 | 186.0 | 378.0 | 378.0 | 465.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 86.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 168.0 | 352.0 | 352.0 | 435.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 129.0 | 289.0 | 289.0 | 362.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 41.0 | 198.0 | 409.0 | 409.0 | 506.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 53.0 | 226.0 | 461.0 | 461.0 | 569.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 137.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 62.0 | 247.0 | 501.0 | 501.0 | 618.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 131.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 57.0 | 240.0 | 492.0 | 492.0 | 608.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 162.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 78.0 | 287.0 | 578.0 | 578.0 | 713.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 162.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 77.0 | 288.0 | 583.0 | 583.0 | 720.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 175.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 29.0 | 85.0 | 309.0 | 623.0 | 623.0 | 770.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 159.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 74.0 | 286.0 | 587.0 | 587.0 | 728.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 175.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 83.0 | 311.0 | 635.0 | 635.0 | 787.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 174.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 83.0 | 312.0 | 640.0 | 640.0 | 795.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 175.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 82.0 | 314.0 | 647.0 | 647.0 | 805.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 169.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 78.0 | 306.0 | 636.0 | 636.0 | 793.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 153.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 67.0 | 283.0 | 597.0 | 597.0 | 746.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 137.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 56.0 | 261.0 | 559.0 | 559.0 | 701.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 137.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 55.0 | 261.0 | 562.0 | 562.0 | 706.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 48.0 | 245.0 | 535.0 | 535.0 | 674.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 104.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 213.0 | 478.0 | 478.0 | 606.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 207.0 | 470.0 | 470.0 | 597.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 198.0 | 454.0 | 454.0 | 578.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 188.0 | 439.0 | 439.0 | 560.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 178.0 | 421.0 | 421.0 | 539.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 166.0 | 399.0 | 399.0 | 513.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 164.0 | 398.0 | 398.0 | 512.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 156.0 | 385.0 | 385.0 | 496.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 153.0 | 380.0 | 380.0 | 490.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 136.0 | 349.0 | 349.0 | 454.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 141.0 | 362.0 | 362.0 | 471.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 129.0 | 341.0 | 341.0 | 445.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 128.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 444.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 123.0 | 332.0 | 332.0 | 435.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 115.0 | 318.0 | 318.0 | 418.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 108.0 | 307.0 | 307.0 | 406.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 107.0 | 305.0 | 305.0 | 404.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 106.0 | 305.0 | 305.0 | 404.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 110.0 | 315.0 | 315.0 | 418.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 102.0 | 300.0 | 300.0 | 399.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 102.0 | 302.0 | 302.0 | 402.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.0 | 296.0 | 296.0 | 396.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 112.0 | 324.0 | 324.0 | 430.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 124.0 | 349.0 | 349.0 | 462.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
