Prediction 3528
Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | EspĂrito Santo |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=ES (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 68.0 |
2022-10-16 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 74.0 |
2022-10-23 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 77.0 |
2022-10-30 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 57.0 | 57.0 | 88.0 |
2022-11-06 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 71.0 | 71.0 | 105.0 |
2022-11-13 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 75.0 | 75.0 | 110.0 |
2022-11-20 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 92.0 | 92.0 | 132.0 |
2022-11-27 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 126.0 | 126.0 | 174.0 |
2022-12-04 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 151.0 | 151.0 | 205.0 |
2022-12-11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 182.0 | 182.0 | 244.0 |
2022-12-18 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.0 | 181.0 | 181.0 | 244.0 |
2022-12-25 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 58.0 | 197.0 | 197.0 | 264.0 |
2023-01-01 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 280.0 | 280.0 | 368.0 |
2023-01-08 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 123.0 | 328.0 | 328.0 | 428.0 |
2023-01-15 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 144.0 | 370.0 | 370.0 | 482.0 |
2023-01-22 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 153.0 | 393.0 | 393.0 | 512.0 |
2023-01-29 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 150.0 | 390.0 | 390.0 | 510.0 |
2023-02-05 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 160.0 | 414.0 | 414.0 | 542.0 |
2023-02-12 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 184.0 | 468.0 | 468.0 | 611.0 |
2023-02-19 | 77.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 188.0 | 479.0 | 479.0 | 626.0 |
2023-02-26 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 213.0 | 535.0 | 535.0 | 698.0 |
2023-03-05 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 245.0 | 604.0 | 604.0 | 787.0 |
2023-03-12 | 119.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 262.0 | 644.0 | 644.0 | 840.0 |
2023-03-19 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 255.0 | 636.0 | 636.0 | 833.0 |
2023-03-26 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 263.0 | 657.0 | 657.0 | 861.0 |
2023-04-02 | 132.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 289.0 | 717.0 | 717.0 | 940.0 |
2023-04-09 | 130.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 287.0 | 719.0 | 719.0 | 944.0 |
2023-04-16 | 130.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 288.0 | 727.0 | 727.0 | 956.0 |
2023-04-23 | 125.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 282.0 | 718.0 | 718.0 | 948.0 |
2023-04-30 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 277.0 | 712.0 | 712.0 | 942.0 |
2023-05-07 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 274.0 | 711.0 | 711.0 | 943.0 |
2023-05-14 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 241.0 | 644.0 | 644.0 | 858.0 |
2023-05-21 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 217.0 | 595.0 | 595.0 | 797.0 |
2023-05-28 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 217.0 | 599.0 | 599.0 | 804.0 |
2023-06-04 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 205.0 | 577.0 | 577.0 | 776.0 |
2023-06-11 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 175.0 | 513.0 | 513.0 | 695.0 |
2023-06-18 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 163.0 | 489.0 | 489.0 | 666.0 |
2023-06-25 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 146.0 | 455.0 | 455.0 | 622.0 |
2023-07-02 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 134.0 | 431.0 | 431.0 | 592.0 |
2023-07-09 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 111.0 | 382.0 | 382.0 | 530.0 |
2023-07-16 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.0 | 342.0 | 342.0 | 480.0 |
2023-07-23 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 328.0 | 328.0 | 462.0 |
2023-07-30 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 82.0 | 324.0 | 324.0 | 458.0 |
2023-08-06 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 72.0 | 303.0 | 303.0 | 431.0 |
2023-08-13 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 68.0 | 296.0 | 296.0 | 423.0 |
2023-08-20 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57.0 | 272.0 | 272.0 | 392.0 |
2023-08-27 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 250.0 | 250.0 | 364.0 |
2023-09-03 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 232.0 | 232.0 | 340.0 |
2023-09-10 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 270.0 | 270.0 | 392.0 |
2023-09-17 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.0 | 259.0 | 259.0 | 378.0 |
2023-09-24 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 239.0 | 239.0 | 352.0 |
2023-10-01 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 256.0 | 256.0 | 376.0 |