Prediction 3529
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=GO (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 658.0 | 194.0 | 243.0 | 308.0 | 448.0 | 951.0 | 1579.0 | 1579.0 | 1854.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 724.0 | 214.0 | 267.0 | 338.0 | 491.0 | 1048.0 | 1751.0 | 1751.0 | 2062.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 711.0 | 204.0 | 256.0 | 327.0 | 479.0 | 1037.0 | 1749.0 | 1749.0 | 2065.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 738.0 | 209.0 | 263.0 | 337.0 | 495.0 | 1082.0 | 1836.0 | 1836.0 | 2173.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 869.0 | 252.0 | 314.0 | 400.0 | 584.0 | 1273.0 | 2166.0 | 2166.0 | 2567.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 921.0 | 266.0 | 331.0 | 422.0 | 617.0 | 1353.0 | 2315.0 | 2315.0 | 2748.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 1077.0 | 316.0 | 392.0 | 496.0 | 723.0 | 1582.0 | 2714.0 | 2714.0 | 3226.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 1131.0 | 330.0 | 410.0 | 519.0 | 758.0 | 1668.0 | 2876.0 | 2876.0 | 3424.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 1332.0 | 395.0 | 487.0 | 615.0 | 893.0 | 1964.0 | 3394.0 | 3394.0 | 4045.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 1308.0 | 381.0 | 472.0 | 598.0 | 873.0 | 1938.0 | 3367.0 | 3367.0 | 4020.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 996.0 | 271.0 | 341.0 | 440.0 | 655.0 | 1492.0 | 2623.0 | 2623.0 | 3141.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 751.0 | 185.0 | 240.0 | 316.0 | 484.0 | 1139.0 | 2029.0 | 2029.0 | 2438.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 2029.0 | 607.0 | 744.0 | 936.0 | 1357.0 | 3012.0 | 5271.0 | 5271.0 | 6312.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 2320.0 | 697.0 | 852.0 | 1070.0 | 1551.0 | 3446.0 | 6047.0 | 6047.0 | 7249.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 2679.0 | 808.0 | 986.0 | 1237.0 | 1791.0 | 3984.0 | 7007.0 | 7007.0 | 8408.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 3015.0 | 910.0 | 1110.0 | 1391.0 | 2014.0 | 4490.0 | 7918.0 | 7918.0 | 9509.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 3507.0 | 1061.0 | 1293.0 | 1619.0 | 2342.0 | 5229.0 | 9241.0 | 9241.0 | 11108.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 3750.0 | 1131.0 | 1378.0 | 1726.0 | 2500.0 | 5600.0 | 9926.0 | 9926.0 | 11944.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 3816.0 | 1144.0 | 1396.0 | 1750.0 | 2539.0 | 5711.0 | 10152.0 | 10152.0 | 12228.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 3753.0 | 1116.0 | 1364.0 | 1713.0 | 2491.0 | 5629.0 | 10038.0 | 10038.0 | 12103.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 4203.0 | 1251.0 | 1527.0 | 1917.0 | 2788.0 | 6311.0 | 11278.0 | 11278.0 | 13607.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 4471.0 | 1327.0 | 1621.0 | 2036.0 | 2963.0 | 6724.0 | 12042.0 | 12042.0 | 14541.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 4774.0 | 1414.0 | 1727.0 | 2169.0 | 3159.0 | 7188.0 | 12901.0 | 12901.0 | 15589.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 4714.0 | 1388.0 | 1697.0 | 2134.0 | 3114.0 | 7110.0 | 12793.0 | 12793.0 | 15471.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 4593.0 | 1344.0 | 1645.0 | 2072.0 | 3028.0 | 6941.0 | 12519.0 | 12519.0 | 15151.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 5118.0 | 1499.0 | 1833.0 | 2307.0 | 3373.0 | 7739.0 | 13980.0 | 13980.0 | 16929.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 4953.0 | 1442.0 | 1766.0 | 2225.0 | 3259.0 | 7503.0 | 13584.0 | 13584.0 | 16461.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 4801.0 | 1390.0 | 1704.0 | 2150.0 | 3153.0 | 7283.0 | 13214.0 | 13214.0 | 16024.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 4776.0 | 1376.0 | 1689.0 | 2133.0 | 3132.0 | 7255.0 | 13187.0 | 13187.0 | 16000.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 4714.0 | 1353.0 | 1661.0 | 2099.0 | 3087.0 | 7170.0 | 13057.0 | 13057.0 | 15851.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 4374.0 | 1246.0 | 1533.0 | 1940.0 | 2859.0 | 6665.0 | 12163.0 | 12163.0 | 14776.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 3772.0 | 1061.0 | 1309.0 | 1661.0 | 2458.0 | 5760.0 | 10539.0 | 10539.0 | 12813.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 3065.0 | 846.0 | 1049.0 | 1337.0 | 1989.0 | 4696.0 | 8620.0 | 8620.0 | 10488.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 2776.0 | 757.0 | 941.0 | 1203.0 | 1796.0 | 4262.0 | 7842.0 | 7842.0 | 9548.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 2431.0 | 652.0 | 814.0 | 1045.0 | 1567.0 | 3742.0 | 6904.0 | 6904.0 | 8412.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 2056.0 | 539.0 | 677.0 | 874.0 | 1319.0 | 3176.0 | 5881.0 | 5881.0 | 7172.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 1795.0 | 461.0 | 582.0 | 755.0 | 1146.0 | 2782.0 | 5167.0 | 5167.0 | 6306.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 1402.0 | 341.0 | 437.0 | 574.0 | 885.0 | 2190.0 | 4101.0 | 4101.0 | 5016.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 1157.0 | 267.0 | 347.0 | 462.0 | 723.0 | 1822.0 | 3437.0 | 3437.0 | 4213.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 951.0 | 204.0 | 271.0 | 367.0 | 586.0 | 1509.0 | 2872.0 | 2872.0 | 3527.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 814.0 | 163.0 | 221.0 | 305.0 | 495.0 | 1303.0 | 2498.0 | 2498.0 | 3074.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 672.0 | 121.0 | 170.0 | 241.0 | 402.0 | 1087.0 | 2104.0 | 2104.0 | 2595.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 668.0 | 119.0 | 167.0 | 238.0 | 398.0 | 1083.0 | 2103.0 | 2103.0 | 2596.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 580.0 | 93.0 | 136.0 | 198.0 | 340.0 | 949.0 | 1859.0 | 1859.0 | 2300.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 598.0 | 97.0 | 141.0 | 205.0 | 351.0 | 979.0 | 1919.0 | 1919.0 | 2375.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 513.0 | 72.0 | 111.0 | 167.0 | 296.0 | 850.0 | 1682.0 | 1682.0 | 2086.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 466.0 | 58.0 | 94.0 | 146.0 | 265.0 | 778.0 | 1551.0 | 1551.0 | 1926.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 446.0 | 52.0 | 87.0 | 137.0 | 252.0 | 748.0 | 1498.0 | 1498.0 | 1863.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 475.0 | 59.0 | 96.0 | 149.0 | 270.0 | 795.0 | 1589.0 | 1589.0 | 1975.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 471.0 | 58.0 | 94.0 | 146.0 | 267.0 | 789.0 | 1580.0 | 1580.0 | 1967.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 483.0 | 61.0 | 98.0 | 151.0 | 274.0 | 809.0 | 1623.0 | 1623.0 | 2020.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 516.0 | 69.0 | 108.0 | 164.0 | 295.0 | 861.0 | 1724.0 | 1724.0 | 2146.0 |
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