Prediction 3534
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=PA (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 30.0 | 110.0 | 196.0 | 196.0 | 231.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 102.0 | 186.0 | 186.0 | 221.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 98.0 | 182.0 | 182.0 | 217.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 32.0 | 117.0 | 211.0 | 211.0 | 249.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 41.0 | 133.0 | 234.0 | 234.0 | 276.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 54.0 | 155.0 | 268.0 | 268.0 | 314.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 115.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 32.0 | 67.0 | 178.0 | 302.0 | 302.0 | 353.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 124.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 73.0 | 189.0 | 320.0 | 320.0 | 374.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 137.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 45.0 | 83.0 | 208.0 | 347.0 | 347.0 | 405.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 127.0 | 6.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 75.0 | 195.0 | 330.0 | 330.0 | 386.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 42.0 | 141.0 | 251.0 | 251.0 | 298.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 118.0 | 220.0 | 220.0 | 262.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 152.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 52.0 | 93.0 | 230.0 | 383.0 | 383.0 | 447.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 186.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 72.0 | 119.0 | 274.0 | 450.0 | 450.0 | 523.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 223.0 | 48.0 | 68.0 | 94.0 | 147.0 | 322.0 | 521.0 | 521.0 | 604.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 246.0 | 58.0 | 79.0 | 107.0 | 164.0 | 353.0 | 568.0 | 568.0 | 658.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 284.0 | 75.0 | 99.0 | 130.0 | 193.0 | 404.0 | 644.0 | 644.0 | 744.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 265.0 | 66.0 | 88.0 | 118.0 | 178.0 | 379.0 | 608.0 | 608.0 | 704.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 294.0 | 78.0 | 103.0 | 135.0 | 200.0 | 417.0 | 665.0 | 665.0 | 769.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 253.0 | 60.0 | 81.0 | 110.0 | 169.0 | 364.0 | 588.0 | 588.0 | 681.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 273.0 | 68.0 | 91.0 | 121.0 | 183.0 | 390.0 | 627.0 | 627.0 | 726.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 285.0 | 74.0 | 97.0 | 129.0 | 193.0 | 407.0 | 653.0 | 653.0 | 756.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 290.0 | 75.0 | 100.0 | 131.0 | 197.0 | 414.0 | 664.0 | 664.0 | 769.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 238.0 | 52.0 | 73.0 | 100.0 | 156.0 | 345.0 | 562.0 | 562.0 | 653.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 214.0 | 41.0 | 60.0 | 86.0 | 139.0 | 315.0 | 517.0 | 517.0 | 602.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 221.0 | 44.0 | 64.0 | 90.0 | 144.0 | 324.0 | 531.0 | 531.0 | 618.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 211.0 | 39.0 | 58.0 | 84.0 | 136.0 | 310.0 | 511.0 | 511.0 | 596.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 189.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 71.0 | 119.0 | 282.0 | 470.0 | 470.0 | 548.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 161.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 54.0 | 98.0 | 245.0 | 415.0 | 415.0 | 486.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 179.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 111.0 | 268.0 | 450.0 | 450.0 | 526.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 167.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 57.0 | 102.0 | 253.0 | 426.0 | 426.0 | 500.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 142.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 42.0 | 83.0 | 220.0 | 377.0 | 377.0 | 444.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 | 59.0 | 177.0 | 314.0 | 314.0 | 372.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 51.0 | 164.0 | 295.0 | 295.0 | 351.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 40.0 | 145.0 | 266.0 | 266.0 | 317.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 36.0 | 138.0 | 256.0 | 256.0 | 306.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 125.0 | 237.0 | 237.0 | 284.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 67.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 121.0 | 231.0 | 231.0 | 277.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 115.0 | 223.0 | 223.0 | 268.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 102.0 | 204.0 | 204.0 | 247.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 101.0 | 202.0 | 202.0 | 244.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 105.0 | 208.0 | 208.0 | 252.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 111.0 | 217.0 | 217.0 | 262.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 118.0 | 228.0 | 228.0 | 274.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 115.0 | 224.0 | 224.0 | 270.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 114.0 | 222.0 | 222.0 | 268.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 108.0 | 214.0 | 214.0 | 259.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 101.0 | 203.0 | 203.0 | 247.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 105.0 | 210.0 | 210.0 | 254.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 101.0 | 204.0 | 204.0 | 247.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 106.0 | 211.0 | 211.0 | 255.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 99.0 | 201.0 | 201.0 | 244.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
