Prediction 3537
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=PI (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 185.0 | 30.0 | 48.0 | 71.0 | 118.0 | 274.0 | 451.0 | 451.0 | 525.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 183.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 115.0 | 272.0 | 452.0 | 452.0 | 528.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 172.0 | 21.0 | 38.0 | 60.0 | 106.0 | 260.0 | 438.0 | 438.0 | 514.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 174.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 60.0 | 106.0 | 264.0 | 447.0 | 447.0 | 525.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 171.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 57.0 | 104.0 | 262.0 | 448.0 | 448.0 | 526.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 172.0 | 16.0 | 33.0 | 56.0 | 103.0 | 264.0 | 454.0 | 454.0 | 534.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 166.0 | 13.0 | 30.0 | 52.0 | 98.0 | 258.0 | 447.0 | 447.0 | 528.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 168.0 | 12.0 | 29.0 | 52.0 | 99.0 | 261.0 | 454.0 | 454.0 | 537.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 164.0 | 10.0 | 26.0 | 49.0 | 95.0 | 257.0 | 450.0 | 450.0 | 534.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 160.0 | 7.0 | 24.0 | 46.0 | 92.0 | 253.0 | 447.0 | 447.0 | 530.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 148.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 38.0 | 82.0 | 237.0 | 424.0 | 424.0 | 505.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 135.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 30.0 | 72.0 | 220.0 | 400.0 | 400.0 | 478.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 172.0 | 10.0 | 27.0 | 50.0 | 99.0 | 272.0 | 482.0 | 482.0 | 574.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 183.0 | 14.0 | 32.0 | 56.0 | 107.0 | 288.0 | 509.0 | 509.0 | 606.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 194.0 | 17.0 | 36.0 | 61.0 | 114.0 | 303.0 | 536.0 | 536.0 | 637.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 203.0 | 20.0 | 40.0 | 66.0 | 121.0 | 317.0 | 559.0 | 559.0 | 665.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 223.0 | 27.0 | 48.0 | 76.0 | 134.0 | 345.0 | 605.0 | 605.0 | 719.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 229.0 | 29.0 | 50.0 | 78.0 | 138.0 | 354.0 | 621.0 | 621.0 | 738.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 241.0 | 33.0 | 55.0 | 85.0 | 147.0 | 372.0 | 651.0 | 651.0 | 774.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 246.0 | 35.0 | 57.0 | 87.0 | 150.0 | 380.0 | 666.0 | 666.0 | 791.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 270.0 | 43.0 | 67.0 | 99.0 | 167.0 | 413.0 | 721.0 | 721.0 | 856.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 307.0 | 57.0 | 83.0 | 118.0 | 193.0 | 465.0 | 805.0 | 805.0 | 955.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 355.0 | 75.0 | 104.0 | 144.0 | 228.0 | 533.0 | 917.0 | 917.0 | 1086.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 374.0 | 81.0 | 111.0 | 153.0 | 240.0 | 559.0 | 960.0 | 960.0 | 1137.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 368.0 | 79.0 | 108.0 | 149.0 | 236.0 | 552.0 | 951.0 | 951.0 | 1127.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 417.0 | 97.0 | 130.0 | 175.0 | 271.0 | 622.0 | 1065.0 | 1065.0 | 1261.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 456.0 | 111.0 | 146.0 | 195.0 | 298.0 | 677.0 | 1156.0 | 1156.0 | 1368.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 484.0 | 121.0 | 158.0 | 209.0 | 318.0 | 716.0 | 1220.0 | 1220.0 | 1444.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 493.0 | 123.0 | 161.0 | 213.0 | 324.0 | 729.0 | 1244.0 | 1244.0 | 1472.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 507.0 | 128.0 | 167.0 | 220.0 | 333.0 | 749.0 | 1278.0 | 1278.0 | 1513.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 526.0 | 135.0 | 175.0 | 230.0 | 346.0 | 777.0 | 1324.0 | 1324.0 | 1568.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 522.0 | 133.0 | 173.0 | 227.0 | 343.0 | 772.0 | 1318.0 | 1318.0 | 1561.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 447.0 | 104.0 | 139.0 | 187.0 | 290.0 | 668.0 | 1150.0 | 1150.0 | 1364.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 429.0 | 97.0 | 131.0 | 178.0 | 277.0 | 643.0 | 1111.0 | 1111.0 | 1319.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 376.0 | 77.0 | 108.0 | 150.0 | 239.0 | 569.0 | 992.0 | 992.0 | 1180.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 326.0 | 58.0 | 86.0 | 123.0 | 203.0 | 499.0 | 878.0 | 878.0 | 1047.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 288.0 | 44.0 | 69.0 | 103.0 | 176.0 | 446.0 | 793.0 | 793.0 | 947.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 252.0 | 30.0 | 53.0 | 84.0 | 150.0 | 395.0 | 711.0 | 711.0 | 851.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 237.0 | 24.0 | 46.0 | 75.0 | 139.0 | 375.0 | 678.0 | 678.0 | 813.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 202.0 | 11.0 | 30.0 | 57.0 | 114.0 | 326.0 | 599.0 | 599.0 | 721.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 190.0 | 6.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 105.0 | 309.0 | 572.0 | 572.0 | 689.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 180.0 | 3.0 | 21.0 | 45.0 | 98.0 | 296.0 | 551.0 | 551.0 | 665.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 160.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 35.0 | 84.0 | 268.0 | 506.0 | 506.0 | 613.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 144.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 26.0 | 72.0 | 245.0 | 468.0 | 468.0 | 568.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 122.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 57.0 | 215.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 510.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 53.0 | 207.0 | 407.0 | 407.0 | 496.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 175.0 | 355.0 | 355.0 | 435.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 159.0 | 329.0 | 329.0 | 405.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 141.0 | 299.0 | 299.0 | 370.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 67.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 136.0 | 291.0 | 291.0 | 361.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 129.0 | 279.0 | 279.0 | 346.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 123.0 | 270.0 | 270.0 | 336.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
