Prediction 3539
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=RJ (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 190.0 | 529.0 | 529.0 | 710.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 207.0 | 584.0 | 584.0 | 787.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 222.0 | 633.0 | 633.0 | 857.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 224.0 | 652.0 | 652.0 | 889.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 253.0 | 734.0 | 734.0 | 1003.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 281.0 | 817.0 | 817.0 | 1120.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 122.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 313.0 | 910.0 | 910.0 | 1250.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 145.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 361.0 | 1043.0 | 1043.0 | 1435.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 177.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 425.0 | 1218.0 | 1218.0 | 1677.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 181.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.0 | 437.0 | 1264.0 | 1264.0 | 1746.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 169.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 418.0 | 1229.0 | 1229.0 | 1705.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 170.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 423.0 | 1253.0 | 1253.0 | 1742.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 267.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 88.0 | 615.0 | 1765.0 | 1765.0 | 2447.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 308.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 109.0 | 700.0 | 2004.0 | 2004.0 | 2780.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 362.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 135.0 | 808.0 | 2305.0 | 2305.0 | 3200.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 372.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 139.0 | 833.0 | 2385.0 | 2385.0 | 3316.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 413.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 159.0 | 917.0 | 2623.0 | 2623.0 | 3649.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 424.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 163.0 | 942.0 | 2705.0 | 2705.0 | 3768.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 468.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 53.0 | 185.0 | 1033.0 | 2962.0 | 2962.0 | 4128.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 503.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 61.0 | 201.0 | 1106.0 | 3169.0 | 3169.0 | 4420.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 567.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 78.0 | 233.0 | 1238.0 | 3541.0 | 3541.0 | 4940.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 663.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 103.0 | 280.0 | 1433.0 | 4083.0 | 4083.0 | 5695.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 743.0 | 10.0 | 53.0 | 123.0 | 319.0 | 1597.0 | 4542.0 | 4542.0 | 6337.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 801.0 | 18.0 | 63.0 | 138.0 | 347.0 | 1717.0 | 4882.0 | 4882.0 | 6813.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 869.0 | 26.0 | 75.0 | 155.0 | 380.0 | 1856.0 | 5275.0 | 5275.0 | 7363.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 966.0 | 38.0 | 92.0 | 180.0 | 428.0 | 2055.0 | 5832.0 | 5832.0 | 8141.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 926.0 | 32.0 | 84.0 | 169.0 | 407.0 | 1975.0 | 5620.0 | 5620.0 | 7851.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 920.0 | 31.0 | 82.0 | 167.0 | 404.0 | 1966.0 | 5603.0 | 5603.0 | 7830.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 930.0 | 32.0 | 84.0 | 169.0 | 408.0 | 1987.0 | 5668.0 | 5668.0 | 7924.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 900.0 | 28.0 | 78.0 | 161.0 | 393.0 | 1928.0 | 5511.0 | 5511.0 | 7708.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 895.0 | 27.0 | 77.0 | 159.0 | 390.0 | 1919.0 | 5491.0 | 5491.0 | 7682.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 783.0 | 13.0 | 57.0 | 130.0 | 335.0 | 1694.0 | 4871.0 | 4871.0 | 6822.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 638.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 92.0 | 263.0 | 1399.0 | 4057.0 | 4057.0 | 5689.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 566.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 73.0 | 227.0 | 1253.0 | 3654.0 | 3654.0 | 5129.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 470.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 48.0 | 181.0 | 1060.0 | 3120.0 | 3120.0 | 4385.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 403.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 147.0 | 924.0 | 2743.0 | 2743.0 | 3861.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 326.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 110.0 | 768.0 | 2310.0 | 2310.0 | 3258.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 295.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 94.0 | 704.0 | 2135.0 | 2135.0 | 3016.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 267.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 648.0 | 1981.0 | 1981.0 | 2802.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 227.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 566.0 | 1755.0 | 1755.0 | 2487.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 191.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 493.0 | 1553.0 | 1553.0 | 2206.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 166.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 443.0 | 1416.0 | 1416.0 | 2015.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 147.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 405.0 | 1309.0 | 1309.0 | 1867.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 144.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 398.0 | 1293.0 | 1293.0 | 1845.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 129.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 368.0 | 1208.0 | 1208.0 | 1727.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 344.0 | 1144.0 | 1144.0 | 1639.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 304.0 | 1033.0 | 1033.0 | 1483.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 303.0 | 1030.0 | 1030.0 | 1479.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 300.0 | 1024.0 | 1024.0 | 1471.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 311.0 | 1055.0 | 1055.0 | 1515.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 300.0 | 1025.0 | 1025.0 | 1473.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 308.0 | 1046.0 | 1046.0 | 1503.0 |
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