Prediction 3541
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=RO (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 103.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 63.0 | 153.0 | 247.0 | 247.0 | 284.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 104.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 64.0 | 156.0 | 252.0 | 252.0 | 291.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 107.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 65.0 | 159.0 | 260.0 | 260.0 | 300.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 116.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 39.0 | 71.0 | 171.0 | 278.0 | 278.0 | 321.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 118.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 40.0 | 72.0 | 175.0 | 285.0 | 285.0 | 329.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 146.0 | 23.0 | 38.0 | 57.0 | 94.0 | 211.0 | 337.0 | 337.0 | 388.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 145.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 55.0 | 93.0 | 211.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 391.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 158.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 63.0 | 103.0 | 229.0 | 366.0 | 366.0 | 422.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 162.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 65.0 | 105.0 | 235.0 | 376.0 | 376.0 | 434.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 156.0 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 227.0 | 367.0 | 367.0 | 424.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 136.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 47.0 | 84.0 | 202.0 | 332.0 | 332.0 | 386.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 120.0 | 6.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 71.0 | 183.0 | 306.0 | 306.0 | 357.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 198.0 | 43.0 | 61.0 | 84.0 | 131.0 | 284.0 | 452.0 | 452.0 | 521.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 216.0 | 51.0 | 70.0 | 95.0 | 145.0 | 308.0 | 488.0 | 488.0 | 563.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 229.0 | 56.0 | 76.0 | 102.0 | 155.0 | 326.0 | 515.0 | 515.0 | 594.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 211.0 | 47.0 | 66.0 | 91.0 | 141.0 | 303.0 | 484.0 | 484.0 | 559.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 233.0 | 56.0 | 77.0 | 103.0 | 157.0 | 331.0 | 526.0 | 526.0 | 607.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 232.0 | 56.0 | 76.0 | 102.0 | 156.0 | 332.0 | 528.0 | 528.0 | 609.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 252.0 | 64.0 | 86.0 | 114.0 | 171.0 | 357.0 | 567.0 | 567.0 | 653.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 226.0 | 51.0 | 71.0 | 97.0 | 150.0 | 324.0 | 519.0 | 519.0 | 600.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 230.0 | 53.0 | 73.0 | 99.0 | 153.0 | 329.0 | 528.0 | 528.0 | 611.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 226.0 | 51.0 | 70.0 | 97.0 | 150.0 | 325.0 | 523.0 | 523.0 | 605.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 220.0 | 47.0 | 67.0 | 93.0 | 145.0 | 318.0 | 513.0 | 513.0 | 595.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 196.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 78.0 | 127.0 | 287.0 | 469.0 | 469.0 | 545.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 188.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 73.0 | 120.0 | 277.0 | 455.0 | 455.0 | 529.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 181.0 | 28.0 | 46.0 | 68.0 | 115.0 | 268.0 | 442.0 | 442.0 | 515.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 168.0 | 22.0 | 39.0 | 60.0 | 105.0 | 251.0 | 418.0 | 418.0 | 488.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 149.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 48.0 | 90.0 | 226.0 | 381.0 | 381.0 | 446.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 126.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 35.0 | 72.0 | 196.0 | 338.0 | 338.0 | 397.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 129.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 74.0 | 200.0 | 344.0 | 344.0 | 405.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 123.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 70.0 | 193.0 | 334.0 | 334.0 | 393.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 | 59.0 | 175.0 | 308.0 | 308.0 | 364.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 49.0 | 158.0 | 282.0 | 282.0 | 335.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 45.0 | 151.0 | 273.0 | 273.0 | 324.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 39.0 | 141.0 | 258.0 | 258.0 | 307.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 32.0 | 129.0 | 241.0 | 241.0 | 288.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 32.0 | 130.0 | 243.0 | 243.0 | 290.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 29.0 | 125.0 | 236.0 | 236.0 | 282.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 123.0 | 233.0 | 233.0 | 279.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 114.0 | 220.0 | 220.0 | 265.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 110.0 | 214.0 | 214.0 | 258.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 108.0 | 212.0 | 212.0 | 256.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 107.0 | 210.0 | 210.0 | 253.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 99.0 | 199.0 | 199.0 | 241.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 94.0 | 192.0 | 192.0 | 233.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 89.0 | 184.0 | 184.0 | 224.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 89.0 | 184.0 | 184.0 | 224.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 87.0 | 181.0 | 181.0 | 221.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 83.0 | 176.0 | 176.0 | 215.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 88.0 | 183.0 | 183.0 | 223.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 88.0 | 184.0 | 184.0 | 225.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 89.0 | 186.0 | 186.0 | 227.0 |
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