Prediction 3542
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=RR (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 38.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 38.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 36.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 33.0 | 39.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 44.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 44.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 31.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 40.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 41.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 40.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 41.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 44.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 46.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 44.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 42.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 42.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 42.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 49.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 47.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 41.0 | 41.0 | 48.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 46.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 47.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 47.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 48.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 51.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 51.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 41.0 | 41.0 | 48.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 53.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 51.0 |
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