Prediction 3545
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=SE (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 146.0 | 23.0 | 38.0 | 57.0 | 94.0 | 212.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 391.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 145.0 | 21.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 92.0 | 211.0 | 341.0 | 341.0 | 393.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 163.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 65.0 | 106.0 | 235.0 | 377.0 | 377.0 | 434.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 185.0 | 39.0 | 56.0 | 78.0 | 123.0 | 265.0 | 422.0 | 422.0 | 486.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 192.0 | 41.0 | 59.0 | 82.0 | 128.0 | 276.0 | 439.0 | 439.0 | 505.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 181.0 | 35.0 | 51.0 | 74.0 | 118.0 | 262.0 | 420.0 | 420.0 | 486.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 186.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 122.0 | 269.0 | 433.0 | 433.0 | 501.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 178.0 | 31.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 | 115.0 | 259.0 | 420.0 | 420.0 | 487.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 150.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 53.0 | 93.0 | 224.0 | 370.0 | 370.0 | 431.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 132.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 | 41.0 | 78.0 | 201.0 | 338.0 | 338.0 | 395.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 104.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | 57.0 | 166.0 | 288.0 | 288.0 | 339.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 50.0 | 154.0 | 271.0 | 271.0 | 320.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 51.0 | 156.0 | 276.0 | 276.0 | 326.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 52.0 | 159.0 | 281.0 | 281.0 | 331.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 47.0 | 151.0 | 269.0 | 269.0 | 318.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 50.0 | 156.0 | 278.0 | 278.0 | 328.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 51.0 | 160.0 | 284.0 | 284.0 | 336.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 108.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 24.0 | 59.0 | 173.0 | 303.0 | 303.0 | 358.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 108.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 24.0 | 59.0 | 173.0 | 304.0 | 304.0 | 359.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 52.0 | 163.0 | 290.0 | 290.0 | 343.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 | 57.0 | 172.0 | 303.0 | 303.0 | 358.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 52.0 | 164.0 | 292.0 | 292.0 | 345.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 53.0 | 166.0 | 295.0 | 295.0 | 350.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 53.0 | 166.0 | 296.0 | 296.0 | 350.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 19.0 | 53.0 | 166.0 | 296.0 | 296.0 | 351.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 25.0 | 61.0 | 180.0 | 317.0 | 317.0 | 374.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 26.0 | 62.0 | 182.0 | 321.0 | 321.0 | 379.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 119.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | 66.0 | 189.0 | 331.0 | 331.0 | 391.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 24.0 | 59.0 | 177.0 | 313.0 | 313.0 | 370.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 135.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 38.0 | 78.0 | 210.0 | 363.0 | 363.0 | 428.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 147.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 87.0 | 226.0 | 387.0 | 387.0 | 455.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 155.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 50.0 | 93.0 | 236.0 | 403.0 | 403.0 | 473.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 156.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 51.0 | 94.0 | 239.0 | 406.0 | 406.0 | 477.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 148.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 46.0 | 88.0 | 228.0 | 391.0 | 391.0 | 459.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 147.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 45.0 | 87.0 | 227.0 | 389.0 | 389.0 | 458.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 140.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 41.0 | 81.0 | 218.0 | 375.0 | 375.0 | 442.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 140.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | 41.0 | 81.0 | 218.0 | 376.0 | 376.0 | 442.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 144.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 43.0 | 84.0 | 223.0 | 385.0 | 385.0 | 453.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 151.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 47.0 | 89.0 | 233.0 | 399.0 | 399.0 | 469.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 147.0 | 9.0 | 24.0 | 44.0 | 86.0 | 228.0 | 392.0 | 392.0 | 461.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 133.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 36.0 | 75.0 | 209.0 | 364.0 | 364.0 | 430.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 139.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 80.0 | 217.0 | 376.0 | 376.0 | 444.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 128.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 72.0 | 203.0 | 356.0 | 356.0 | 421.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 128.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 72.0 | 203.0 | 356.0 | 356.0 | 421.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 123.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 30.0 | 68.0 | 196.0 | 346.0 | 346.0 | 410.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 24.0 | 61.0 | 184.0 | 328.0 | 328.0 | 389.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 104.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.0 | 54.0 | 172.0 | 310.0 | 310.0 | 368.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 113.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 24.0 | 60.0 | 183.0 | 327.0 | 327.0 | 388.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 56.0 | 176.0 | 317.0 | 317.0 | 377.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 47.0 | 161.0 | 295.0 | 295.0 | 351.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 38.0 | 145.0 | 270.0 | 270.0 | 323.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 38.0 | 145.0 | 270.0 | 270.0 | 323.0 |
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