Prediction 3547
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=TO (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 120.0 | 7.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 71.0 | 181.0 | 302.0 | 302.0 | 351.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 126.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | 191.0 | 319.0 | 319.0 | 371.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 134.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 44.0 | 81.0 | 203.0 | 338.0 | 338.0 | 394.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 136.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 81.0 | 206.0 | 346.0 | 346.0 | 404.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 144.0 | 13.0 | 28.0 | 47.0 | 87.0 | 218.0 | 367.0 | 367.0 | 428.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 157.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 54.0 | 96.0 | 237.0 | 396.0 | 396.0 | 463.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 175.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 109.0 | 261.0 | 435.0 | 435.0 | 508.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 203.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 79.0 | 130.0 | 300.0 | 495.0 | 495.0 | 577.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 208.0 | 37.0 | 56.0 | 81.0 | 133.0 | 308.0 | 510.0 | 510.0 | 595.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 219.0 | 41.0 | 60.0 | 87.0 | 141.0 | 324.0 | 536.0 | 536.0 | 626.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 190.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 69.0 | 118.0 | 286.0 | 482.0 | 482.0 | 565.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 193.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 69.0 | 119.0 | 291.0 | 491.0 | 491.0 | 576.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 260.0 | 55.0 | 77.0 | 107.0 | 169.0 | 382.0 | 632.0 | 632.0 | 738.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 292.0 | 67.0 | 92.0 | 125.0 | 192.0 | 426.0 | 701.0 | 701.0 | 819.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 304.0 | 71.0 | 97.0 | 131.0 | 201.0 | 443.0 | 730.0 | 730.0 | 853.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 329.0 | 81.0 | 108.0 | 144.0 | 219.0 | 478.0 | 787.0 | 787.0 | 919.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 348.0 | 88.0 | 116.0 | 154.0 | 232.0 | 505.0 | 830.0 | 830.0 | 970.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 373.0 | 97.0 | 127.0 | 167.0 | 250.0 | 540.0 | 887.0 | 887.0 | 1036.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 374.0 | 96.0 | 126.0 | 166.0 | 250.0 | 542.0 | 893.0 | 893.0 | 1044.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 349.0 | 85.0 | 113.0 | 152.0 | 231.0 | 509.0 | 845.0 | 845.0 | 990.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 347.0 | 83.0 | 111.0 | 149.0 | 229.0 | 507.0 | 844.0 | 844.0 | 990.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 353.0 | 85.0 | 113.0 | 152.0 | 232.0 | 516.0 | 860.0 | 860.0 | 1009.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 357.0 | 86.0 | 115.0 | 154.0 | 235.0 | 523.0 | 873.0 | 873.0 | 1025.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 345.0 | 80.0 | 108.0 | 146.0 | 226.0 | 507.0 | 850.0 | 850.0 | 999.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 318.0 | 68.0 | 95.0 | 131.0 | 206.0 | 471.0 | 795.0 | 795.0 | 936.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 330.0 | 73.0 | 100.0 | 137.0 | 214.0 | 489.0 | 825.0 | 825.0 | 972.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 323.0 | 69.0 | 96.0 | 133.0 | 209.0 | 480.0 | 813.0 | 813.0 | 958.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 310.0 | 63.0 | 89.0 | 125.0 | 199.0 | 462.0 | 786.0 | 786.0 | 927.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 303.0 | 60.0 | 86.0 | 120.0 | 193.0 | 454.0 | 774.0 | 774.0 | 914.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 302.0 | 59.0 | 85.0 | 120.0 | 192.0 | 453.0 | 774.0 | 774.0 | 915.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 284.0 | 52.0 | 76.0 | 109.0 | 179.0 | 428.0 | 737.0 | 737.0 | 872.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 267.0 | 44.0 | 68.0 | 99.0 | 166.0 | 405.0 | 701.0 | 701.0 | 830.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 229.0 | 29.0 | 50.0 | 79.0 | 138.0 | 353.0 | 620.0 | 620.0 | 737.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 201.0 | 18.0 | 37.0 | 63.0 | 118.0 | 315.0 | 560.0 | 560.0 | 668.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 172.0 | 6.0 | 24.0 | 47.0 | 97.0 | 276.0 | 499.0 | 499.0 | 596.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 151.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 36.0 | 81.0 | 247.0 | 453.0 | 453.0 | 543.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 22.0 | 63.0 | 213.0 | 399.0 | 399.0 | 481.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 51.0 | 190.0 | 364.0 | 364.0 | 440.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 40.0 | 170.0 | 331.0 | 331.0 | 402.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 157.0 | 311.0 | 311.0 | 378.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 149.0 | 299.0 | 299.0 | 365.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 135.0 | 276.0 | 276.0 | 339.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 72.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 140.0 | 284.0 | 284.0 | 348.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 131.0 | 270.0 | 270.0 | 332.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 131.0 | 271.0 | 271.0 | 332.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 121.0 | 256.0 | 256.0 | 315.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 113.0 | 242.0 | 242.0 | 299.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 108.0 | 235.0 | 235.0 | 290.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 110.0 | 238.0 | 238.0 | 295.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 109.0 | 237.0 | 237.0 | 293.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 106.0 | 233.0 | 233.0 | 289.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 106.0 | 232.0 | 232.0 | 288.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
