Prediction 3548
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=AC (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 120.0 | 300.0 | 300.0 | 386.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 127.0 | 317.0 | 317.0 | 408.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 135.0 | 336.0 | 336.0 | 432.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 142.0 | 353.0 | 353.0 | 455.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 149.0 | 368.0 | 368.0 | 475.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 157.0 | 386.0 | 386.0 | 498.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 164.0 | 401.0 | 401.0 | 518.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 73.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 171.0 | 416.0 | 416.0 | 536.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 178.0 | 432.0 | 432.0 | 556.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 186.0 | 446.0 | 446.0 | 574.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 86.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 192.0 | 460.0 | 460.0 | 591.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 198.0 | 472.0 | 472.0 | 606.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 205.0 | 484.0 | 484.0 | 622.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 211.0 | 496.0 | 496.0 | 637.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 217.0 | 507.0 | 507.0 | 650.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 222.0 | 518.0 | 518.0 | 663.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 228.0 | 528.0 | 528.0 | 676.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 233.0 | 537.0 | 537.0 | 687.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 237.0 | 546.0 | 546.0 | 698.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 241.0 | 554.0 | 554.0 | 708.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 119.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 245.0 | 563.0 | 563.0 | 719.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 248.0 | 569.0 | 569.0 | 727.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 123.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 251.0 | 576.0 | 576.0 | 736.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 123.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 252.0 | 579.0 | 579.0 | 741.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 253.0 | 582.0 | 582.0 | 745.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 125.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 256.0 | 589.0 | 589.0 | 753.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 257.0 | 593.0 | 593.0 | 759.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 258.0 | 595.0 | 595.0 | 762.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 259.0 | 598.0 | 598.0 | 766.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 259.0 | 599.0 | 599.0 | 769.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 125.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 259.0 | 600.0 | 600.0 | 770.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 257.0 | 599.0 | 599.0 | 769.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 257.0 | 599.0 | 599.0 | 770.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 123.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 256.0 | 599.0 | 599.0 | 770.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 253.0 | 595.0 | 595.0 | 765.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 253.0 | 594.0 | 594.0 | 765.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 249.0 | 588.0 | 588.0 | 757.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 116.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 246.0 | 583.0 | 583.0 | 751.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 243.0 | 578.0 | 578.0 | 746.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 240.0 | 573.0 | 573.0 | 739.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 238.0 | 568.0 | 568.0 | 734.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 236.0 | 564.0 | 564.0 | 729.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 108.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 234.0 | 561.0 | 561.0 | 724.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 229.0 | 552.0 | 552.0 | 713.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 225.0 | 545.0 | 545.0 | 705.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 224.0 | 542.0 | 542.0 | 702.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 221.0 | 537.0 | 537.0 | 695.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 217.0 | 529.0 | 529.0 | 685.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 216.0 | 526.0 | 526.0 | 682.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 214.0 | 522.0 | 522.0 | 677.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 212.0 | 519.0 | 519.0 | 673.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 212.0 | 518.0 | 518.0 | 671.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
