Prediction 3568
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=RO (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 83.0 | 155.0 | 155.0 | 184.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 91.0 | 167.0 | 167.0 | 198.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 90.0 | 168.0 | 168.0 | 199.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 105.0 | 190.0 | 190.0 | 225.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 64.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 29.0 | 110.0 | 199.0 | 199.0 | 235.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 41.0 | 132.0 | 232.0 | 232.0 | 272.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 51.0 | 149.0 | 257.0 | 257.0 | 301.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 103.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 57.0 | 162.0 | 277.0 | 277.0 | 324.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 51.0 | 153.0 | 265.0 | 265.0 | 311.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 58.0 | 165.0 | 285.0 | 285.0 | 334.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 48.0 | 148.0 | 261.0 | 261.0 | 308.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 22.0 | 55.0 | 161.0 | 281.0 | 281.0 | 331.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 173.0 | 27.0 | 43.0 | 65.0 | 110.0 | 256.0 | 420.0 | 420.0 | 489.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 190.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 75.0 | 122.0 | 278.0 | 455.0 | 455.0 | 529.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 202.0 | 39.0 | 57.0 | 81.0 | 131.0 | 294.0 | 480.0 | 480.0 | 557.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 190.0 | 33.0 | 51.0 | 74.0 | 122.0 | 280.0 | 460.0 | 460.0 | 536.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 194.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 76.0 | 124.0 | 285.0 | 469.0 | 469.0 | 546.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 201.0 | 37.0 | 55.0 | 80.0 | 130.0 | 296.0 | 486.0 | 486.0 | 565.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 197.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 77.0 | 126.0 | 291.0 | 479.0 | 479.0 | 559.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 175.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 63.0 | 109.0 | 262.0 | 438.0 | 438.0 | 511.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 186.0 | 28.0 | 46.0 | 69.0 | 117.0 | 277.0 | 461.0 | 461.0 | 538.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 184.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 115.0 | 275.0 | 459.0 | 459.0 | 536.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 163.0 | 17.0 | 33.0 | 55.0 | 99.0 | 247.0 | 418.0 | 418.0 | 489.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 136.0 | 5.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 79.0 | 212.0 | 366.0 | 366.0 | 431.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 127.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 33.0 | 71.0 | 200.0 | 349.0 | 349.0 | 412.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 24.0 | 60.0 | 181.0 | 321.0 | 321.0 | 379.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 104.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 20.0 | 54.0 | 171.0 | 306.0 | 306.0 | 363.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 43.0 | 151.0 | 277.0 | 277.0 | 331.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 123.0 | 236.0 | 236.0 | 283.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 131.0 | 247.0 | 247.0 | 296.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 125.0 | 239.0 | 239.0 | 287.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 113.0 | 221.0 | 221.0 | 266.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 99.0 | 201.0 | 201.0 | 244.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 93.0 | 191.0 | 191.0 | 233.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 90.0 | 187.0 | 187.0 | 228.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 88.0 | 184.0 | 184.0 | 224.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 83.0 | 177.0 | 177.0 | 216.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 169.0 | 169.0 | 208.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 168.0 | 168.0 | 207.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 159.0 | 159.0 | 197.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 155.0 | 155.0 | 192.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 67.0 | 155.0 | 155.0 | 193.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 63.0 | 150.0 | 150.0 | 187.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57.0 | 141.0 | 141.0 | 177.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 137.0 | 137.0 | 173.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.0 | 132.0 | 132.0 | 167.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 51.0 | 132.0 | 132.0 | 167.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 134.0 | 134.0 | 169.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.0 | 131.0 | 131.0 | 166.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.0 | 139.0 | 139.0 | 175.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 56.0 | 142.0 | 142.0 | 178.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 59.0 | 146.0 | 146.0 | 184.0 |
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