Prediction 3569
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=RR (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 33.0 | 38.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 39.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 40.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 41.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 43.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 42.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 42.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 32.0 | 32.0 | 37.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 40.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 44.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 44.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 45.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 41.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 40.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 41.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 44.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 46.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 44.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 42.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 41.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 43.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 43.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 44.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 22.0 | 41.0 | 41.0 | 47.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 46.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 41.0 | 41.0 | 48.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 47.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 41.0 | 41.0 | 47.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 45.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 51.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 49.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 49.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 47.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 48.0 |
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