Prediction 3573
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=SP (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 569.0 | 89.0 | 132.0 | 193.0 | 333.0 | 932.0 | 1828.0 | 1828.0 | 2261.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 601.0 | 92.0 | 137.0 | 201.0 | 349.0 | 994.0 | 1976.0 | 1976.0 | 2457.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 619.0 | 91.0 | 137.0 | 202.0 | 356.0 | 1034.0 | 2084.0 | 2084.0 | 2603.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 659.0 | 96.0 | 144.0 | 213.0 | 376.0 | 1109.0 | 2264.0 | 2264.0 | 2838.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 742.0 | 112.0 | 164.0 | 241.0 | 424.0 | 1255.0 | 2586.0 | 2586.0 | 3254.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 795.0 | 119.0 | 174.0 | 256.0 | 451.0 | 1353.0 | 2818.0 | 2818.0 | 3560.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 898.0 | 138.0 | 200.0 | 291.0 | 509.0 | 1535.0 | 3226.0 | 3226.0 | 4088.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 1016.0 | 160.0 | 228.0 | 330.0 | 576.0 | 1744.0 | 3697.0 | 3697.0 | 4701.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 1205.0 | 196.0 | 276.0 | 395.0 | 684.0 | 2073.0 | 4427.0 | 4427.0 | 5646.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 1356.0 | 223.0 | 312.0 | 444.0 | 768.0 | 2345.0 | 5050.0 | 5050.0 | 6459.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 1313.0 | 207.0 | 293.0 | 421.0 | 736.0 | 2290.0 | 4990.0 | 4990.0 | 6405.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 1242.0 | 186.0 | 266.0 | 388.0 | 688.0 | 2186.0 | 4819.0 | 4819.0 | 6208.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 2192.0 | 378.0 | 515.0 | 722.0 | 1236.0 | 3832.0 | 8443.0 | 8443.0 | 10892.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 2676.0 | 468.0 | 633.0 | 883.0 | 1508.0 | 4693.0 | 10415.0 | 10415.0 | 13472.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 3404.0 | 603.0 | 810.0 | 1126.0 | 1916.0 | 5989.0 | 13386.0 | 13386.0 | 17359.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 4155.0 | 738.0 | 989.0 | 1371.0 | 2333.0 | 7341.0 | 16528.0 | 16528.0 | 21490.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 5368.0 | 959.0 | 1278.0 | 1769.0 | 3008.0 | 9520.0 | 21586.0 | 21586.0 | 28137.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 6459.0 | 1149.0 | 1530.0 | 2117.0 | 3606.0 | 11508.0 | 26289.0 | 26289.0 | 34354.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 7468.0 | 1317.0 | 1755.0 | 2431.0 | 4152.0 | 13369.0 | 30770.0 | 30770.0 | 40311.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 8233.0 | 1436.0 | 1916.0 | 2658.0 | 4556.0 | 14812.0 | 34346.0 | 34346.0 | 45108.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 9716.0 | 1682.0 | 2244.0 | 3116.0 | 5356.0 | 17560.0 | 41006.0 | 41006.0 | 53982.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 10787.0 | 1847.0 | 2468.0 | 3433.0 | 5921.0 | 19586.0 | 46061.0 | 46061.0 | 60778.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 12109.0 | 2052.0 | 2745.0 | 3824.0 | 6618.0 | 22086.0 | 52294.0 | 52294.0 | 69159.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 12772.0 | 2138.0 | 2865.0 | 4000.0 | 6950.0 | 23405.0 | 55792.0 | 55792.0 | 73949.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 12954.0 | 2139.0 | 2873.0 | 4022.0 | 7016.0 | 23848.0 | 57227.0 | 57227.0 | 76015.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 13857.0 | 2263.0 | 3043.0 | 4269.0 | 7474.0 | 25618.0 | 61866.0 | 61866.0 | 82347.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 14456.0 | 2333.0 | 3144.0 | 4419.0 | 7765.0 | 26839.0 | 65216.0 | 65216.0 | 86981.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 13958.0 | 2221.0 | 3001.0 | 4230.0 | 7463.0 | 26028.0 | 63634.0 | 63634.0 | 85040.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 12237.0 | 1913.0 | 2594.0 | 3670.0 | 6511.0 | 22924.0 | 56395.0 | 56395.0 | 75513.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 10882.0 | 1671.0 | 2275.0 | 3231.0 | 5761.0 | 20476.0 | 50679.0 | 50679.0 | 67989.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 9055.0 | 1360.0 | 1861.0 | 2657.0 | 4767.0 | 17120.0 | 42632.0 | 42632.0 | 57303.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 7492.0 | 1098.0 | 1512.0 | 2170.0 | 3921.0 | 14234.0 | 35662.0 | 35662.0 | 48023.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 5096.0 | 711.0 | 993.0 | 1443.0 | 2642.0 | 9745.0 | 24590.0 | 24590.0 | 33181.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 3834.0 | 508.0 | 721.0 | 1060.0 | 1969.0 | 7379.0 | 18753.0 | 18753.0 | 25355.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 2889.0 | 357.0 | 518.0 | 776.0 | 1467.0 | 5603.0 | 14347.0 | 14347.0 | 19436.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 2328.0 | 268.0 | 398.0 | 607.0 | 1168.0 | 4548.0 | 11731.0 | 11731.0 | 15924.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1728.0 | 174.0 | 272.0 | 429.0 | 852.0 | 3411.0 | 8878.0 | 8878.0 | 12078.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1369.0 | 117.0 | 195.0 | 321.0 | 661.0 | 2737.0 | 7212.0 | 7212.0 | 9843.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 979.0 | 57.0 | 114.0 | 206.0 | 456.0 | 1996.0 | 5348.0 | 5348.0 | 7329.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 847.0 | 35.0 | 85.0 | 165.0 | 385.0 | 1750.0 | 4746.0 | 4746.0 | 6525.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 718.0 | 15.0 | 58.0 | 127.0 | 317.0 | 1506.0 | 4141.0 | 4141.0 | 5713.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 624.0 | 0.0 | 38.0 | 99.0 | 267.0 | 1330.0 | 3704.0 | 3704.0 | 5127.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 561.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 80.0 | 233.0 | 1212.0 | 3415.0 | 3415.0 | 4741.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 494.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 60.0 | 198.0 | 1083.0 | 3094.0 | 3094.0 | 4309.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 427.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41.0 | 163.0 | 956.0 | 2770.0 | 2770.0 | 3871.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 402.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 150.0 | 911.0 | 2667.0 | 2667.0 | 3736.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 355.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 125.0 | 820.0 | 2434.0 | 2434.0 | 3421.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 332.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 113.0 | 778.0 | 2331.0 | 2331.0 | 3285.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 365.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 128.0 | 848.0 | 2541.0 | 2541.0 | 3584.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 366.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 128.0 | 854.0 | 2575.0 | 2575.0 | 3639.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 354.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 121.0 | 833.0 | 2532.0 | 2532.0 | 3585.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 368.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 127.0 | 865.0 | 2635.0 | 2635.0 | 3737.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
