Prediction 3575
Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=AC (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 120.0 | 197.0 | 255.0 | 315.0 |
2024-10-13 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 138.0 | 223.0 | 288.0 | 355.0 |
2024-10-20 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 162.0 | 258.0 | 332.0 | 408.0 |
2024-10-27 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 178.0 | 282.0 | 363.0 | 446.0 |
2024-11-03 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 52.0 | 213.0 | 333.0 | 426.0 | 522.0 |
2024-11-10 | 133.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 62.0 | 236.0 | 368.0 | 470.0 | 577.0 |
2024-11-17 | 152.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 74.0 | 266.0 | 411.0 | 525.0 | 644.0 |
2024-11-24 | 189.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 41.0 | 98.0 | 322.0 | 494.0 | 628.0 | 768.0 |
2024-12-01 | 223.0 | 6.0 | 27.0 | 56.0 | 120.0 | 374.0 | 570.0 | 723.0 | 885.0 |
2024-12-08 | 234.0 | 8.0 | 30.0 | 60.0 | 127.0 | 393.0 | 599.0 | 761.0 | 932.0 |
2024-12-15 | 173.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 29.0 | 84.0 | 305.0 | 476.0 | 612.0 | 756.0 |
2024-12-22 | 150.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 68.0 | 272.0 | 432.0 | 560.0 | 694.0 |
2024-12-29 | 298.0 | 24.0 | 49.0 | 85.0 | 166.0 | 494.0 | 753.0 | 959.0 | 1178.0 |
2025-01-05 | 273.0 | 15.0 | 39.0 | 73.0 | 149.0 | 460.0 | 706.0 | 904.0 | 1113.0 |
2025-01-12 | 301.0 | 22.0 | 47.0 | 84.0 | 166.0 | 503.0 | 773.0 | 988.0 | 1218.0 |
2025-01-19 | 264.0 | 10.0 | 33.0 | 66.0 | 141.0 | 451.0 | 699.0 | 899.0 | 1111.0 |
2025-01-26 | 244.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 56.0 | 127.0 | 422.0 | 660.0 | 852.0 | 1056.0 |
2025-02-02 | 220.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 44.0 | 110.0 | 387.0 | 611.0 | 792.0 | 985.0 |
2025-02-09 | 203.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 36.0 | 98.0 | 363.0 | 578.0 | 752.0 | 939.0 |
2025-02-16 | 184.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 85.0 | 335.0 | 539.0 | 704.0 | 882.0 |
2025-02-23 | 191.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 89.0 | 347.0 | 558.0 | 729.0 | 914.0 |
2025-03-02 | 164.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 71.0 | 307.0 | 501.0 | 659.0 | 829.0 |
2025-03-09 | 157.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 66.0 | 297.0 | 488.0 | 643.0 | 811.0 |
2025-03-16 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 250.0 | 419.0 | 557.0 | 707.0 |
2025-03-23 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 225.0 | 384.0 | 513.0 | 653.0 |
2025-03-30 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 213.0 | 367.0 | 493.0 | 629.0 |
2025-04-06 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 209.0 | 362.0 | 487.0 | 623.0 |
2025-04-13 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 209.0 | 363.0 | 489.0 | 626.0 |
2025-04-20 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 173.0 | 309.0 | 422.0 | 544.0 |
2025-04-27 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 177.0 | 316.0 | 431.0 | 555.0 |
2025-05-04 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 160.0 | 292.0 | 400.0 | 518.0 |
2025-05-11 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 149.0 | 275.0 | 379.0 | 492.0 |
2025-05-18 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 142.0 | 265.0 | 367.0 | 478.0 |
2025-05-25 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 135.0 | 256.0 | 356.0 | 465.0 |
2025-06-01 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 118.0 | 230.0 | 322.0 | 424.0 |
2025-06-08 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 113.0 | 222.0 | 313.0 | 413.0 |
2025-06-15 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 103.0 | 208.0 | 296.0 | 392.0 |
2025-06-22 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 98.0 | 202.0 | 288.0 | 383.0 |
2025-06-29 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.0 | 205.0 | 293.0 | 389.0 |
2025-07-06 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 104.0 | 212.0 | 303.0 | 403.0 |
2025-07-13 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 102.0 | 211.0 | 302.0 | 402.0 |
2025-07-20 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.0 | 206.0 | 297.0 | 396.0 |
2025-07-27 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 109.0 | 223.0 | 319.0 | 426.0 |
2025-08-03 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 102.0 | 213.0 | 307.0 | 411.0 |
2025-08-10 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 102.0 | 213.0 | 308.0 | 412.0 |
2025-08-17 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 102.0 | 214.0 | 309.0 | 414.0 |
2025-08-24 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 115.0 | 234.0 | 336.0 | 449.0 |
2025-08-31 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 108.0 | 225.0 | 325.0 | 436.0 |
2025-09-07 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 128.0 | 257.0 | 367.0 | 489.0 |
2025-09-14 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 139.0 | 274.0 | 390.0 | 519.0 |
2025-09-21 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 132.0 | 265.0 | 379.0 | 505.0 |
2025-09-28 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 155.0 | 301.0 | 426.0 | 566.0 |