Prediction 3577
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=AM (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 88.0 | 147.0 | 190.0 | 234.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 93.0 | 154.0 | 200.0 | 247.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 93.0 | 156.0 | 203.0 | 251.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 98.0 | 164.0 | 214.0 | 265.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 111.0 | 182.0 | 237.0 | 292.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 119.0 | 195.0 | 253.0 | 312.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 138.0 | 222.0 | 286.0 | 352.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 72.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 143.0 | 230.0 | 297.0 | 365.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 159.0 | 253.0 | 325.0 | 400.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 170.0 | 270.0 | 347.0 | 427.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 157.0 | 253.0 | 327.0 | 404.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 133.0 | 221.0 | 290.0 | 361.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 57.0 | 224.0 | 349.0 | 446.0 | 547.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 141.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 67.0 | 248.0 | 383.0 | 489.0 | 599.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 157.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 77.0 | 272.0 | 419.0 | 533.0 | 652.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 151.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 23.0 | 73.0 | 264.0 | 410.0 | 523.0 | 642.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 179.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 36.0 | 91.0 | 306.0 | 470.0 | 599.0 | 733.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 187.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 39.0 | 96.0 | 319.0 | 490.0 | 624.0 | 764.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 184.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 37.0 | 94.0 | 317.0 | 489.0 | 623.0 | 765.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 165.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 80.0 | 290.0 | 451.0 | 579.0 | 713.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 183.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 35.0 | 92.0 | 317.0 | 492.0 | 630.0 | 775.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 169.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 28.0 | 82.0 | 298.0 | 466.0 | 598.0 | 738.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 173.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 29.0 | 84.0 | 305.0 | 476.0 | 613.0 | 756.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 159.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 74.0 | 285.0 | 450.0 | 580.0 | 718.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 141.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 62.0 | 258.0 | 413.0 | 535.0 | 665.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 137.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 59.0 | 254.0 | 408.0 | 530.0 | 659.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 126.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 51.0 | 239.0 | 387.0 | 504.0 | 629.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 49.0 | 235.0 | 383.0 | 500.0 | 625.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 204.0 | 338.0 | 445.0 | 559.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 200.0 | 333.0 | 440.0 | 553.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 190.0 | 320.0 | 424.0 | 535.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 86.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 181.0 | 308.0 | 409.0 | 517.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 164.0 | 283.0 | 379.0 | 481.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 152.0 | 266.0 | 357.0 | 455.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 151.0 | 265.0 | 357.0 | 456.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 145.0 | 257.0 | 348.0 | 444.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 140.0 | 250.0 | 339.0 | 434.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125.0 | 228.0 | 312.0 | 402.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 135.0 | 245.0 | 333.0 | 428.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 132.0 | 240.0 | 328.0 | 422.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 125.0 | 231.0 | 316.0 | 408.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 122.0 | 227.0 | 312.0 | 404.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 116.0 | 219.0 | 302.0 | 392.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 105.0 | 202.0 | 281.0 | 367.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 107.0 | 206.0 | 287.0 | 374.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 103.0 | 201.0 | 280.0 | 366.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 111.0 | 212.0 | 295.0 | 385.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 110.0 | 211.0 | 294.0 | 384.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 126.0 | 236.0 | 325.0 | 423.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 122.0 | 230.0 | 318.0 | 414.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 134.0 | 248.0 | 342.0 | 444.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 146.0 | 267.0 | 366.0 | 474.0 |
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