Prediction 3583
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=GO (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 1117.0 | 360.0 | 438.0 | 544.0 | 771.0 | 1601.0 | 2199.0 | 2653.0 | 3119.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 1202.0 | 382.0 | 466.0 | 580.0 | 825.0 | 1732.0 | 2391.0 | 2895.0 | 3413.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 1147.0 | 353.0 | 433.0 | 543.0 | 780.0 | 1665.0 | 2315.0 | 2813.0 | 3327.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1129.0 | 339.0 | 418.0 | 527.0 | 763.0 | 1651.0 | 2308.0 | 2814.0 | 3339.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 1365.0 | 415.0 | 509.0 | 640.0 | 922.0 | 1999.0 | 2801.0 | 3422.0 | 4066.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 1393.0 | 417.0 | 513.0 | 646.0 | 937.0 | 2051.0 | 2888.0 | 3537.0 | 4213.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 1575.0 | 471.0 | 579.0 | 729.0 | 1057.0 | 2324.0 | 3283.0 | 4029.0 | 4808.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 1659.0 | 492.0 | 605.0 | 763.0 | 1109.0 | 2458.0 | 3485.0 | 4287.0 | 5126.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1758.0 | 517.0 | 637.0 | 804.0 | 1172.0 | 2615.0 | 3720.0 | 4586.0 | 5494.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 1640.0 | 471.0 | 583.0 | 740.0 | 1086.0 | 2453.0 | 3505.0 | 4333.0 | 5202.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1209.0 | 325.0 | 409.0 | 527.0 | 788.0 | 1828.0 | 2633.0 | 3267.0 | 3935.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 1220.0 | 324.0 | 408.0 | 528.0 | 793.0 | 1852.0 | 2676.0 | 3328.0 | 4015.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 3095.0 | 914.0 | 1120.0 | 1409.0 | 2053.0 | 4641.0 | 6664.0 | 8267.0 | 9962.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 3445.0 | 1015.0 | 1243.0 | 1564.0 | 2281.0 | 5179.0 | 7455.0 | 9262.0 | 11177.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 4044.0 | 1191.0 | 1457.0 | 1833.0 | 2674.0 | 6091.0 | 8785.0 | 10930.0 | 13205.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 4669.0 | 1372.0 | 1679.0 | 2112.0 | 3083.0 | 7047.0 | 10186.0 | 12690.0 | 15350.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 5719.0 | 1681.0 | 2055.0 | 2583.0 | 3772.0 | 8645.0 | 12518.0 | 15615.0 | 18909.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 6033.0 | 1763.0 | 2156.0 | 2714.0 | 3970.0 | 9143.0 | 13270.0 | 16575.0 | 20097.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 6148.0 | 1783.0 | 2183.0 | 2752.0 | 4035.0 | 9341.0 | 13588.0 | 16996.0 | 20632.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 6247.0 | 1799.0 | 2206.0 | 2783.0 | 4090.0 | 9514.0 | 13871.0 | 17372.0 | 21113.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 6794.0 | 1949.0 | 2390.0 | 3018.0 | 4440.0 | 10367.0 | 15143.0 | 18988.0 | 23100.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 7009.0 | 1999.0 | 2453.0 | 3101.0 | 4572.0 | 10718.0 | 15686.0 | 19691.0 | 23980.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 7364.0 | 2090.0 | 2567.0 | 3248.0 | 4794.0 | 11283.0 | 16542.0 | 20789.0 | 25341.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 7417.0 | 2093.0 | 2573.0 | 3259.0 | 4819.0 | 11388.0 | 16726.0 | 21043.0 | 25675.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 6927.0 | 1938.0 | 2387.0 | 3028.0 | 4489.0 | 10658.0 | 15685.0 | 19756.0 | 24128.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 7365.0 | 2054.0 | 2530.0 | 3212.0 | 4767.0 | 11351.0 | 16730.0 | 21091.0 | 25780.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 7345.0 | 2037.0 | 2512.0 | 3192.0 | 4745.0 | 11340.0 | 16740.0 | 21124.0 | 25841.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 7078.0 | 1950.0 | 2408.0 | 3063.0 | 4564.0 | 10948.0 | 16188.0 | 20447.0 | 25033.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 6792.0 | 1859.0 | 2298.0 | 2928.0 | 4370.0 | 10524.0 | 15585.0 | 19703.0 | 24141.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 6776.0 | 1846.0 | 2284.0 | 2912.0 | 4353.0 | 10516.0 | 15594.0 | 19731.0 | 24192.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 6216.0 | 1680.0 | 2082.0 | 2660.0 | 3985.0 | 9666.0 | 14356.0 | 18181.0 | 22309.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 5311.0 | 1419.0 | 1763.0 | 2258.0 | 3395.0 | 8278.0 | 12317.0 | 15614.0 | 19175.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 4224.0 | 1109.0 | 1384.0 | 1780.0 | 2689.0 | 6604.0 | 9848.0 | 12499.0 | 15363.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 3545.0 | 916.0 | 1147.0 | 1481.0 | 2248.0 | 5559.0 | 8306.0 | 10553.0 | 12982.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 3054.0 | 776.0 | 976.0 | 1265.0 | 1929.0 | 4802.0 | 7190.0 | 9144.0 | 11258.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 2614.0 | 651.0 | 824.0 | 1072.0 | 1644.0 | 4123.0 | 6187.0 | 7877.0 | 9707.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 2156.0 | 522.0 | 665.0 | 872.0 | 1348.0 | 3414.0 | 5136.0 | 6547.0 | 8076.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 1685.0 | 388.0 | 501.0 | 665.0 | 1042.0 | 2688.0 | 4065.0 | 5196.0 | 6422.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 1385.0 | 303.0 | 397.0 | 533.0 | 848.0 | 2226.0 | 3383.0 | 4335.0 | 5369.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 1196.0 | 249.0 | 331.0 | 450.0 | 725.0 | 1934.0 | 2952.0 | 3792.0 | 4704.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 1041.0 | 206.0 | 278.0 | 382.0 | 625.0 | 1695.0 | 2600.0 | 3347.0 | 4160.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 883.0 | 162.0 | 224.0 | 314.0 | 523.0 | 1450.0 | 2236.0 | 2886.0 | 3594.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 878.0 | 159.0 | 221.0 | 310.0 | 519.0 | 1446.0 | 2234.0 | 2887.0 | 3599.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 796.0 | 136.0 | 192.0 | 274.0 | 466.0 | 1319.0 | 2047.0 | 2650.0 | 3308.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 817.0 | 140.0 | 197.0 | 281.0 | 478.0 | 1354.0 | 2103.0 | 2725.0 | 3405.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 727.0 | 115.0 | 167.0 | 243.0 | 420.0 | 1214.0 | 1894.0 | 2459.0 | 3078.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 703.0 | 108.0 | 158.0 | 232.0 | 404.0 | 1178.0 | 1842.0 | 2395.0 | 3001.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 684.0 | 102.0 | 151.0 | 223.0 | 392.0 | 1151.0 | 1803.0 | 2347.0 | 2944.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 736.0 | 115.0 | 167.0 | 244.0 | 424.0 | 1236.0 | 1936.0 | 2520.0 | 3161.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 743.0 | 115.0 | 168.0 | 245.0 | 427.0 | 1248.0 | 1958.0 | 2550.0 | 3200.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 722.0 | 109.0 | 161.0 | 236.0 | 413.0 | 1217.0 | 1913.0 | 2494.0 | 3133.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 784.0 | 124.0 | 179.0 | 260.0 | 451.0 | 1318.0 | 2070.0 | 2698.0 | 3390.0 |
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