Prediction 3589
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=PB (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 95.0 | 153.0 | 195.0 | 238.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 86.0 | 143.0 | 184.0 | 226.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 131.0 | 171.0 | 212.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 132.0 | 173.0 | 214.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 135.0 | 177.0 | 220.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 136.0 | 179.0 | 223.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 76.0 | 134.0 | 177.0 | 222.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 144.0 | 190.0 | 236.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 97.0 | 163.0 | 213.0 | 264.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 89.0 | 153.0 | 201.0 | 251.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 82.0 | 145.0 | 193.0 | 241.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.0 | 123.0 | 167.0 | 211.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 93.0 | 160.0 | 211.0 | 264.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 104.0 | 176.0 | 231.0 | 287.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 115.0 | 192.0 | 250.0 | 310.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 136.0 | 221.0 | 286.0 | 352.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 164.0 | 260.0 | 332.0 | 408.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 41.0 | 181.0 | 284.0 | 362.0 | 442.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 58.0 | 217.0 | 332.0 | 421.0 | 513.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 147.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 27.0 | 74.0 | 250.0 | 379.0 | 477.0 | 579.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 180.0 | 1.0 | 19.0 | 44.0 | 97.0 | 297.0 | 443.0 | 556.0 | 673.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 201.0 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 54.0 | 112.0 | 328.0 | 487.0 | 609.0 | 736.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 232.0 | 19.0 | 41.0 | 70.0 | 133.0 | 373.0 | 550.0 | 686.0 | 826.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 240.0 | 21.0 | 43.0 | 73.0 | 139.0 | 385.0 | 566.0 | 707.0 | 852.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 238.0 | 20.0 | 42.0 | 72.0 | 137.0 | 383.0 | 565.0 | 705.0 | 851.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 277.0 | 34.0 | 58.0 | 91.0 | 164.0 | 438.0 | 642.0 | 799.0 | 962.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 300.0 | 41.0 | 67.0 | 103.0 | 180.0 | 472.0 | 689.0 | 857.0 | 1031.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 313.0 | 46.0 | 72.0 | 109.0 | 188.0 | 491.0 | 717.0 | 891.0 | 1072.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 314.0 | 45.0 | 72.0 | 109.0 | 189.0 | 493.0 | 720.0 | 895.0 | 1077.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 340.0 | 54.0 | 82.0 | 121.0 | 206.0 | 531.0 | 773.0 | 960.0 | 1154.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 356.0 | 59.0 | 89.0 | 129.0 | 217.0 | 554.0 | 806.0 | 1001.0 | 1204.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 369.0 | 64.0 | 94.0 | 136.0 | 227.0 | 574.0 | 835.0 | 1036.0 | 1246.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 331.0 | 50.0 | 77.0 | 116.0 | 199.0 | 519.0 | 759.0 | 945.0 | 1138.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 319.0 | 45.0 | 72.0 | 110.0 | 191.0 | 503.0 | 737.0 | 919.0 | 1108.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 294.0 | 36.0 | 62.0 | 97.0 | 174.0 | 468.0 | 688.0 | 860.0 | 1038.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 266.0 | 26.0 | 50.0 | 82.0 | 154.0 | 427.0 | 632.0 | 792.0 | 958.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 235.0 | 16.0 | 37.0 | 67.0 | 132.0 | 383.0 | 572.0 | 719.0 | 871.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 221.0 | 10.0 | 31.0 | 60.0 | 122.0 | 364.0 | 545.0 | 687.0 | 834.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 216.0 | 8.0 | 29.0 | 57.0 | 119.0 | 356.0 | 536.0 | 675.0 | 821.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 204.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 51.0 | 110.0 | 340.0 | 513.0 | 648.0 | 789.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 190.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 44.0 | 100.0 | 320.0 | 486.0 | 616.0 | 751.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 171.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 34.0 | 87.0 | 293.0 | 449.0 | 570.0 | 697.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 157.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 77.0 | 273.0 | 421.0 | 537.0 | 658.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 141.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 66.0 | 250.0 | 390.0 | 499.0 | 613.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 138.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 64.0 | 246.0 | 384.0 | 492.0 | 605.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 44.0 | 204.0 | 326.0 | 421.0 | 520.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 46.0 | 209.0 | 332.0 | 429.0 | 530.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 37.0 | 189.0 | 305.0 | 396.0 | 491.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 170.0 | 278.0 | 363.0 | 452.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 161.0 | 266.0 | 348.0 | 435.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 67.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 143.0 | 241.0 | 318.0 | 399.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 145.0 | 244.0 | 321.0 | 403.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
