Prediction 3593
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=RJ (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 552.0 | 102.0 | 144.0 | 204.0 | 336.0 | 876.0 | 1302.0 | 1641.0 | 2002.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 593.0 | 108.0 | 153.0 | 216.0 | 358.0 | 948.0 | 1420.0 | 1800.0 | 2205.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 621.0 | 110.0 | 156.0 | 222.0 | 372.0 | 1001.0 | 1513.0 | 1927.0 | 2371.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 627.0 | 106.0 | 152.0 | 219.0 | 371.0 | 1023.0 | 1559.0 | 1996.0 | 2468.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 682.0 | 115.0 | 165.0 | 237.0 | 402.0 | 1119.0 | 1717.0 | 2208.0 | 2740.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 686.0 | 111.0 | 160.0 | 232.0 | 400.0 | 1137.0 | 1759.0 | 2273.0 | 2832.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 768.0 | 127.0 | 182.0 | 261.0 | 447.0 | 1278.0 | 1989.0 | 2579.0 | 3224.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 817.0 | 134.0 | 191.0 | 275.0 | 473.0 | 1368.0 | 2142.0 | 2789.0 | 3499.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 954.0 | 162.0 | 228.0 | 324.0 | 553.0 | 1601.0 | 2518.0 | 3288.0 | 4137.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 1002.0 | 168.0 | 236.0 | 337.0 | 577.0 | 1692.0 | 2678.0 | 3511.0 | 4433.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 952.0 | 150.0 | 215.0 | 311.0 | 542.0 | 1625.0 | 2593.0 | 3415.0 | 4329.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 1003.0 | 156.0 | 224.0 | 325.0 | 567.0 | 1722.0 | 2763.0 | 3652.0 | 4644.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 1568.0 | 279.0 | 381.0 | 533.0 | 902.0 | 2675.0 | 4290.0 | 5676.0 | 7228.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 1744.0 | 311.0 | 423.0 | 591.0 | 1000.0 | 2992.0 | 4821.0 | 6399.0 | 8173.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 2073.0 | 375.0 | 506.0 | 704.0 | 1187.0 | 3567.0 | 5774.0 | 7686.0 | 9843.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 2188.0 | 390.0 | 528.0 | 736.0 | 1247.0 | 3787.0 | 6164.0 | 8234.0 | 10576.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 2388.0 | 423.0 | 572.0 | 798.0 | 1355.0 | 4154.0 | 6796.0 | 9106.0 | 11729.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 2665.0 | 471.0 | 636.0 | 885.0 | 1506.0 | 4658.0 | 7655.0 | 10290.0 | 13289.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 2868.0 | 502.0 | 678.0 | 946.0 | 1614.0 | 5039.0 | 8324.0 | 11223.0 | 14533.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 3104.0 | 539.0 | 728.0 | 1016.0 | 1739.0 | 5482.0 | 9098.0 | 12303.0 | 15974.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 3396.0 | 585.0 | 790.0 | 1104.0 | 1895.0 | 6025.0 | 10046.0 | 13624.0 | 17735.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 3722.0 | 637.0 | 860.0 | 1203.0 | 2069.0 | 6635.0 | 11113.0 | 15114.0 | 19723.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 4127.0 | 702.0 | 948.0 | 1326.0 | 2286.0 | 7390.0 | 12433.0 | 16955.0 | 22179.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 4256.0 | 714.0 | 966.0 | 1354.0 | 2346.0 | 7660.0 | 12947.0 | 17706.0 | 23219.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 4193.0 | 690.0 | 937.0 | 1319.0 | 2298.0 | 7588.0 | 12887.0 | 17675.0 | 23235.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 4598.0 | 752.0 | 1021.0 | 1438.0 | 2510.0 | 8355.0 | 14249.0 | 19593.0 | 25814.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 4496.0 | 721.0 | 983.0 | 1391.0 | 2441.0 | 8213.0 | 14072.0 | 19401.0 | 25621.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 4158.0 | 650.0 | 892.0 | 1268.0 | 2243.0 | 7639.0 | 13151.0 | 18181.0 | 24067.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 3979.0 | 609.0 | 839.0 | 1199.0 | 2134.0 | 7349.0 | 12707.0 | 17615.0 | 23370.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 3740.0 | 559.0 | 774.0 | 1112.0 | 1993.0 | 6945.0 | 12064.0 | 16767.0 | 22295.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 3557.0 | 519.0 | 724.0 | 1045.0 | 1885.0 | 6640.0 | 11584.0 | 16140.0 | 21508.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 3089.0 | 433.0 | 611.0 | 890.0 | 1623.0 | 5804.0 | 10175.0 | 14215.0 | 18986.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 2480.0 | 326.0 | 469.0 | 695.0 | 1288.0 | 4697.0 | 8281.0 | 11603.0 | 15535.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 2091.0 | 257.0 | 378.0 | 569.0 | 1074.0 | 3989.0 | 7071.0 | 9937.0 | 13335.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 1803.0 | 207.0 | 311.0 | 477.0 | 915.0 | 3467.0 | 6178.0 | 8706.0 | 11710.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 1544.0 | 162.0 | 252.0 | 394.0 | 773.0 | 2993.0 | 5364.0 | 7581.0 | 10220.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 1285.0 | 118.0 | 194.0 | 314.0 | 633.0 | 2517.0 | 4539.0 | 6434.0 | 8695.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 1101.0 | 86.0 | 151.0 | 255.0 | 532.0 | 2180.0 | 3960.0 | 5634.0 | 7637.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 1005.0 | 69.0 | 129.0 | 224.0 | 479.0 | 2010.0 | 3674.0 | 5245.0 | 7129.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 843.0 | 42.0 | 93.0 | 174.0 | 392.0 | 1709.0 | 3152.0 | 4518.0 | 6160.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 747.0 | 26.0 | 71.0 | 144.0 | 340.0 | 1533.0 | 2848.0 | 4097.0 | 5603.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 636.0 | 8.0 | 47.0 | 110.0 | 280.0 | 1326.0 | 2485.0 | 3589.0 | 4924.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 609.0 | 3.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 264.0 | 1279.0 | 2410.0 | 3492.0 | 4802.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 569.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 87.0 | 242.0 | 1207.0 | 2289.0 | 3327.0 | 4587.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 530.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 75.0 | 221.0 | 1136.0 | 2168.0 | 3162.0 | 4370.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 475.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 58.0 | 192.0 | 1034.0 | 1988.0 | 2910.0 | 4032.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 439.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 47.0 | 173.0 | 968.0 | 1874.0 | 2752.0 | 3823.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 412.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 158.0 | 919.0 | 1790.0 | 2637.0 | 3672.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 433.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 167.0 | 963.0 | 1879.0 | 2772.0 | 3866.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 435.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 167.0 | 972.0 | 1904.0 | 2813.0 | 3930.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 405.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 151.0 | 915.0 | 1804.0 | 2674.0 | 3745.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 428.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 162.0 | 966.0 | 1905.0 | 2828.0 | 3965.0 |
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