Prediction 3595
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=RO (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 | 73.0 | 96.0 | 119.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 88.0 | 114.0 | 140.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 87.0 | 113.0 | 139.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.0 | 93.0 | 120.0 | 147.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 57.0 | 96.0 | 124.0 | 152.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 68.0 | 110.0 | 141.0 | 171.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 72.0 | 117.0 | 149.0 | 180.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 86.0 | 134.0 | 169.0 | 203.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 92.0 | 143.0 | 179.0 | 215.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 89.0 | 139.0 | 175.0 | 211.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 72.0 | 118.0 | 151.0 | 184.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.0 | 109.0 | 141.0 | 172.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 40.0 | 139.0 | 204.0 | 251.0 | 298.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 48.0 | 153.0 | 222.0 | 272.0 | 322.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 116.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 30.0 | 65.0 | 183.0 | 261.0 | 317.0 | 373.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 63.0 | 180.0 | 258.0 | 314.0 | 370.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 128.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 36.0 | 74.0 | 200.0 | 283.0 | 344.0 | 404.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 139.0 | 8.0 | 23.0 | 42.0 | 82.0 | 214.0 | 302.0 | 366.0 | 429.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 165.0 | 19.0 | 35.0 | 57.0 | 101.0 | 248.0 | 346.0 | 417.0 | 487.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 176.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 110.0 | 264.0 | 366.0 | 441.0 | 515.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 190.0 | 30.0 | 48.0 | 72.0 | 120.0 | 282.0 | 390.0 | 469.0 | 547.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 188.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 70.0 | 118.0 | 280.0 | 388.0 | 467.0 | 545.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 177.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 110.0 | 266.0 | 371.0 | 447.0 | 522.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 151.0 | 12.0 | 27.0 | 48.0 | 90.0 | 232.0 | 326.0 | 395.0 | 464.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 116.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 27.0 | 63.0 | 185.0 | 267.0 | 326.0 | 386.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | 66.0 | 191.0 | 275.0 | 336.0 | 397.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 51.0 | 165.0 | 242.0 | 297.0 | 353.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 48.0 | 160.0 | 235.0 | 290.0 | 344.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 37.0 | 140.0 | 209.0 | 260.0 | 311.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 74.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 130.0 | 197.0 | 246.0 | 294.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 127.0 | 192.0 | 240.0 | 288.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 111.0 | 172.0 | 217.0 | 261.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 94.0 | 151.0 | 192.0 | 233.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 46.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 93.0 | 150.0 | 191.0 | 232.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 86.0 | 140.0 | 180.0 | 220.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 83.0 | 136.0 | 175.0 | 214.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.0 | 129.0 | 167.0 | 205.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 120.0 | 157.0 | 193.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 68.0 | 118.0 | 154.0 | 191.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 64.0 | 112.0 | 148.0 | 184.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 59.0 | 107.0 | 142.0 | 177.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 59.0 | 107.0 | 143.0 | 178.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.0 | 102.0 | 136.0 | 171.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.0 | 95.0 | 128.0 | 162.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 91.0 | 124.0 | 157.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 85.0 | 118.0 | 150.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 85.0 | 117.0 | 150.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.0 | 88.0 | 121.0 | 154.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.0 | 86.0 | 119.0 | 152.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.0 | 95.0 | 129.0 | 163.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 96.0 | 130.0 | 165.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 100.0 | 136.0 | 171.0 |
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