Prediction 3596
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=RR (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 | 54.0 | 60.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 47.0 | 53.0 | 59.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 | 50.0 | 56.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 53.0 | 59.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 36.0 | 47.0 | 54.0 | 60.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 | 55.0 | 62.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 35.0 | 47.0 | 54.0 | 60.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 54.0 | 60.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 | 59.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 54.0 | 60.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 35.0 | 47.0 | 54.0 | 60.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 28.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 | 52.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 48.0 | 54.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 51.0 | 58.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 51.0 | 58.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 33.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 | 59.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 51.0 | 58.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 51.0 | 57.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 49.0 | 55.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 47.0 | 54.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 28.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 | 53.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 49.0 | 55.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 31.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 | 57.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 31.0 | 42.0 | 50.0 | 57.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 47.0 | 54.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 48.0 | 54.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 51.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 52.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 26.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 51.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 28.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 53.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 48.0 | 55.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 33.0 | 45.0 | 53.0 | 60.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 50.0 | 57.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 52.0 | 59.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 33.0 | 46.0 | 53.0 | 61.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 50.0 | 57.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 50.0 | 57.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 49.0 | 56.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 31.0 | 43.0 | 51.0 | 58.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 52.0 | 59.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 48.0 | 55.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 52.0 | 59.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 52.0 | 59.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 35.0 | 47.0 | 55.0 | 63.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 31.0 | 43.0 | 51.0 | 58.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 | 58.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 50.0 | 57.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 31.0 | 43.0 | 51.0 | 58.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 31.0 | 43.0 | 51.0 | 59.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 49.0 | 56.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 54.0 |
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