Prediction 3597
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=RS (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 234.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 101.0 | 455.0 | 776.0 | 1052.0 | 1359.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 233.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 99.0 | 459.0 | 790.0 | 1076.0 | 1397.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 240.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 101.0 | 475.0 | 824.0 | 1127.0 | 1469.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 256.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 108.0 | 508.0 | 884.0 | 1213.0 | 1586.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 271.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 116.0 | 539.0 | 943.0 | 1298.0 | 1702.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 271.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 114.0 | 544.0 | 959.0 | 1325.0 | 1743.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 302.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 39.0 | 130.0 | 602.0 | 1061.0 | 1469.0 | 1937.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 366.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 59.0 | 165.0 | 721.0 | 1266.0 | 1752.0 | 2312.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 414.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 73.0 | 190.0 | 810.0 | 1423.0 | 1972.0 | 2607.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 567.0 | 25.0 | 63.0 | 123.0 | 274.0 | 1089.0 | 1900.0 | 2630.0 | 3476.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 562.0 | 22.0 | 60.0 | 119.0 | 269.0 | 1086.0 | 1905.0 | 2645.0 | 3506.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 419.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 70.0 | 188.0 | 836.0 | 1489.0 | 2082.0 | 2772.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 410.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 65.0 | 182.0 | 823.0 | 1474.0 | 2067.0 | 2760.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 517.0 | 9.0 | 44.0 | 98.0 | 239.0 | 1022.0 | 1823.0 | 2553.0 | 3408.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 587.0 | 19.0 | 58.0 | 119.0 | 276.0 | 1155.0 | 2058.0 | 2886.0 | 3856.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 759.0 | 48.0 | 96.0 | 171.0 | 368.0 | 1475.0 | 2618.0 | 3668.0 | 4902.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 979.0 | 83.0 | 144.0 | 239.0 | 486.0 | 1887.0 | 3340.0 | 4679.0 | 6255.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 1638.0 | 192.0 | 289.0 | 442.0 | 841.0 | 3111.0 | 5478.0 | 7663.0 | 10240.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1660.0 | 193.0 | 291.0 | 445.0 | 850.0 | 3162.0 | 5583.0 | 7823.0 | 10470.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 2032.0 | 252.0 | 370.0 | 556.0 | 1047.0 | 3863.0 | 6824.0 | 9569.0 | 12818.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 2236.0 | 282.0 | 411.0 | 615.0 | 1153.0 | 4255.0 | 7530.0 | 10572.0 | 14177.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 2843.0 | 378.0 | 540.0 | 796.0 | 1474.0 | 5402.0 | 9561.0 | 13432.0 | 18027.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 4065.0 | 571.0 | 800.0 | 1163.0 | 2123.0 | 7706.0 | 13640.0 | 19172.0 | 25744.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 5736.0 | 834.0 | 1154.0 | 1662.0 | 3007.0 | 10864.0 | 19238.0 | 27058.0 | 36360.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 7222.0 | 1065.0 | 1465.0 | 2101.0 | 3789.0 | 13685.0 | 24261.0 | 34152.0 | 45931.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 9753.0 | 1458.0 | 1996.0 | 2850.0 | 5123.0 | 18486.0 | 32806.0 | 46217.0 | 62204.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 11105.0 | 1662.0 | 2273.0 | 3243.0 | 5829.0 | 21076.0 | 37454.0 | 52813.0 | 71138.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 11926.0 | 1782.0 | 2436.0 | 3477.0 | 6253.0 | 22668.0 | 40339.0 | 56929.0 | 76741.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 9732.0 | 1432.0 | 1965.0 | 2815.0 | 5085.0 | 18542.0 | 33058.0 | 46702.0 | 63007.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 10206.0 | 1499.0 | 2058.0 | 2948.0 | 5328.0 | 19470.0 | 34753.0 | 49131.0 | 66327.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 9809.0 | 1432.0 | 1968.0 | 2823.0 | 5112.0 | 18740.0 | 33492.0 | 47384.0 | 64009.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 10332.0 | 1507.0 | 2071.0 | 2970.0 | 5380.0 | 19758.0 | 35344.0 | 50034.0 | 67623.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 5164.0 | 708.0 | 992.0 | 1446.0 | 2662.0 | 9930.0 | 17819.0 | 25259.0 | 34173.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 4400.0 | 589.0 | 832.0 | 1219.0 | 2259.0 | 8482.0 | 15246.0 | 21629.0 | 29279.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 3082.0 | 386.0 | 558.0 | 831.0 | 1567.0 | 5973.0 | 10767.0 | 15293.0 | 20721.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 3976.0 | 522.0 | 741.0 | 1092.0 | 2034.0 | 7686.0 | 13841.0 | 19656.0 | 26630.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 2405.0 | 281.0 | 416.0 | 631.0 | 1210.0 | 4690.0 | 8484.0 | 12071.0 | 16375.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 2153.0 | 230.0 | 350.0 | 542.0 | 1064.0 | 4262.0 | 7805.0 | 11184.0 | 15264.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 2271.0 | 232.0 | 356.0 | 556.0 | 1106.0 | 4564.0 | 8473.0 | 12242.0 | 16829.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 1382.0 | 99.0 | 175.0 | 299.0 | 642.0 | 2858.0 | 5410.0 | 7895.0 | 10943.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 804.0 | 17.0 | 62.0 | 137.0 | 347.0 | 1728.0 | 3348.0 | 4941.0 | 6906.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 736.0 | 4.0 | 45.0 | 114.0 | 308.0 | 1614.0 | 3170.0 | 4714.0 | 6631.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 694.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 99.0 | 283.0 | 1548.0 | 3078.0 | 4607.0 | 6519.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 705.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 97.0 | 284.0 | 1588.0 | 3188.0 | 4801.0 | 6828.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 547.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 55.0 | 205.0 | 1272.0 | 2598.0 | 3943.0 | 5643.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 410.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 138.0 | 992.0 | 2067.0 | 3165.0 | 4560.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 414.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 138.0 | 1010.0 | 2120.0 | 3262.0 | 4718.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 305.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 86.0 | 783.0 | 1680.0 | 2607.0 | 3796.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 376.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 117.0 | 947.0 | 2026.0 | 3149.0 | 4593.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 337.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 97.0 | 867.0 | 1877.0 | 2934.0 | 4299.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 318.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 87.0 | 831.0 | 1817.0 | 2853.0 | 4195.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 344.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 98.0 | 897.0 | 1965.0 | 3092.0 | 4558.0 |
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