Prediction 3598
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=SC (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 303.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 58.0 | 146.0 | 561.0 | 930.0 | 1244.0 | 1592.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 337.0 | 1.0 | 28.0 | 68.0 | 164.0 | 623.0 | 1037.0 | 1392.0 | 1788.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 301.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 51.0 | 140.0 | 570.0 | 963.0 | 1301.0 | 1681.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 304.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 50.0 | 140.0 | 582.0 | 990.0 | 1344.0 | 1743.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 383.0 | 3.0 | 32.0 | 76.0 | 184.0 | 720.0 | 1222.0 | 1660.0 | 2154.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 357.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 64.0 | 167.0 | 682.0 | 1170.0 | 1597.0 | 2082.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 570.0 | 37.0 | 77.0 | 138.0 | 288.0 | 1056.0 | 1789.0 | 2434.0 | 3170.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 767.0 | 74.0 | 125.0 | 203.0 | 399.0 | 1406.0 | 2376.0 | 3234.0 | 4216.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 938.0 | 105.0 | 166.0 | 259.0 | 494.0 | 1716.0 | 2903.0 | 3958.0 | 5170.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 1140.0 | 140.0 | 212.0 | 324.0 | 605.0 | 2082.0 | 3529.0 | 4820.0 | 6306.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1068.0 | 122.0 | 190.0 | 295.0 | 560.0 | 1968.0 | 3356.0 | 4601.0 | 6038.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 642.0 | 39.0 | 82.0 | 148.0 | 317.0 | 1220.0 | 2117.0 | 2924.0 | 3858.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 813.0 | 69.0 | 121.0 | 202.0 | 411.0 | 1533.0 | 2657.0 | 3671.0 | 4848.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 903.0 | 82.0 | 140.0 | 229.0 | 458.0 | 1702.0 | 2955.0 | 4090.0 | 5410.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 1253.0 | 143.0 | 220.0 | 340.0 | 649.0 | 2344.0 | 4059.0 | 5618.0 | 7437.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 1686.0 | 217.0 | 318.0 | 476.0 | 885.0 | 3140.0 | 5436.0 | 7529.0 | 9976.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 2548.0 | 364.0 | 514.0 | 748.0 | 1354.0 | 4723.0 | 8172.0 | 11325.0 | 15018.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 4341.0 | 669.0 | 920.0 | 1311.0 | 2329.0 | 8019.0 | 13876.0 | 19243.0 | 25542.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 6427.0 | 1018.0 | 1385.0 | 1960.0 | 3457.0 | 11878.0 | 20587.0 | 28589.0 | 37998.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 9057.0 | 1453.0 | 1966.0 | 2770.0 | 4872.0 | 16764.0 | 29117.0 | 40495.0 | 53896.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 12221.0 | 1969.0 | 2657.0 | 3737.0 | 6568.0 | 22666.0 | 39461.0 | 54967.0 | 73260.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 15180.0 | 2443.0 | 3293.0 | 4630.0 | 8144.0 | 28223.0 | 49258.0 | 68720.0 | 91718.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 20150.0 | 3241.0 | 4363.0 | 6133.0 | 10792.0 | 37548.0 | 65685.0 | 91774.0 | 122647.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 28153.0 | 4523.0 | 6084.0 | 8550.0 | 15054.0 | 52576.0 | 92182.0 | 128975.0 | 172579.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 31411.0 | 5015.0 | 6752.0 | 9498.0 | 16755.0 | 58810.0 | 103353.0 | 144812.0 | 194010.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 35042.0 | 5563.0 | 7494.0 | 10552.0 | 18650.0 | 65767.0 | 115839.0 | 162525.0 | 217998.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 37317.0 | 5886.0 | 7938.0 | 11189.0 | 19815.0 | 70200.0 | 123914.0 | 174080.0 | 233761.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 36387.0 | 5699.0 | 7694.0 | 10860.0 | 19275.0 | 68612.0 | 121365.0 | 170713.0 | 229488.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 31612.0 | 4908.0 | 6638.0 | 9386.0 | 16702.0 | 59751.0 | 105910.0 | 149155.0 | 200719.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 27905.0 | 4296.0 | 5820.0 | 8244.0 | 14707.0 | 52866.0 | 93892.0 | 132384.0 | 178328.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 29280.0 | 4485.0 | 6081.0 | 8621.0 | 15404.0 | 55577.0 | 98880.0 | 139564.0 | 188171.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 24900.0 | 3780.0 | 5135.0 | 7294.0 | 13068.0 | 47366.0 | 84426.0 | 119290.0 | 160983.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 13265.0 | 1963.0 | 2686.0 | 3839.0 | 6927.0 | 25320.0 | 45241.0 | 64004.0 | 86463.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 8954.0 | 1291.0 | 1780.0 | 2560.0 | 4652.0 | 17150.0 | 30715.0 | 43507.0 | 58831.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 6679.0 | 937.0 | 1302.0 | 1886.0 | 3452.0 | 12836.0 | 23043.0 | 32679.0 | 44232.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 6214.0 | 861.0 | 1201.0 | 1744.0 | 3204.0 | 11969.0 | 21521.0 | 30549.0 | 41381.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 4636.0 | 618.0 | 872.0 | 1279.0 | 2374.0 | 8965.0 | 16161.0 | 22969.0 | 31143.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 3693.0 | 450.0 | 650.0 | 973.0 | 1851.0 | 7271.0 | 13306.0 | 19076.0 | 26058.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 3022.0 | 329.0 | 491.0 | 753.0 | 1477.0 | 6078.0 | 11321.0 | 16396.0 | 22593.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 1979.0 | 172.0 | 278.0 | 450.0 | 933.0 | 4084.0 | 7753.0 | 11347.0 | 15771.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 1310.0 | 77.0 | 147.0 | 262.0 | 590.0 | 2784.0 | 5389.0 | 7968.0 | 11169.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 882.0 | 18.0 | 66.0 | 145.0 | 373.0 | 1938.0 | 3831.0 | 5723.0 | 8089.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 857.0 | 10.0 | 56.0 | 133.0 | 355.0 | 1913.0 | 3830.0 | 5765.0 | 8201.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 625.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 72.0 | 241.0 | 1445.0 | 2953.0 | 4488.0 | 6432.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 631.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 70.0 | 239.0 | 1475.0 | 3046.0 | 4658.0 | 6712.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 474.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 163.0 | 1152.0 | 2426.0 | 3745.0 | 5434.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 446.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 148.0 | 1104.0 | 2351.0 | 3651.0 | 5326.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 444.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 145.0 | 1112.0 | 2390.0 | 3731.0 | 5467.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 476.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 156.0 | 1195.0 | 2583.0 | 4049.0 | 5957.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 459.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 147.0 | 1167.0 | 2546.0 | 4012.0 | 5928.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 396.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 117.0 | 1033.0 | 2285.0 | 3623.0 | 5378.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 322.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.0 | 872.0 | 1960.0 | 3129.0 | 4670.0 |
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