Prediction 3601
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Validation test 3 for UF=TO (Model SARIMAX)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 97.0 | 124.0 | 150.0 |
| 2024-10-13 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 72.0 | 112.0 | 141.0 | 170.0 |
| 2024-10-20 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 83.0 | 127.0 | 159.0 | 190.0 |
| 2024-10-27 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 93.0 | 141.0 | 175.0 | 208.0 |
| 2024-11-03 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 26.0 | 107.0 | 158.0 | 195.0 | 232.0 |
| 2024-11-10 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 43.0 | 136.0 | 196.0 | 239.0 | 281.0 |
| 2024-11-17 | 106.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 27.0 | 60.0 | 166.0 | 234.0 | 283.0 | 332.0 |
| 2024-11-24 | 138.0 | 13.0 | 27.0 | 46.0 | 84.0 | 208.0 | 287.0 | 345.0 | 402.0 |
| 2024-12-01 | 151.0 | 18.0 | 34.0 | 54.0 | 94.0 | 226.0 | 311.0 | 373.0 | 434.0 |
| 2024-12-08 | 163.0 | 23.0 | 39.0 | 60.0 | 103.0 | 242.0 | 333.0 | 399.0 | 463.0 |
| 2024-12-15 | 125.0 | 5.0 | 18.0 | 37.0 | 73.0 | 193.0 | 272.0 | 329.0 | 385.0 |
| 2024-12-22 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 47.0 | 150.0 | 218.0 | 267.0 | 315.0 |
| 2024-12-29 | 189.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 | 74.0 | 121.0 | 278.0 | 380.0 | 455.0 | 529.0 |
| 2025-01-05 | 204.0 | 39.0 | 58.0 | 82.0 | 132.0 | 298.0 | 408.0 | 487.0 | 566.0 |
| 2025-01-12 | 213.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 | 139.0 | 310.0 | 424.0 | 506.0 | 588.0 |
| 2025-01-19 | 234.0 | 51.0 | 72.0 | 99.0 | 154.0 | 338.0 | 460.0 | 549.0 | 637.0 |
| 2025-01-26 | 249.0 | 57.0 | 79.0 | 107.0 | 165.0 | 358.0 | 487.0 | 580.0 | 673.0 |
| 2025-02-02 | 260.0 | 62.0 | 84.0 | 113.0 | 173.0 | 374.0 | 507.0 | 604.0 | 701.0 |
| 2025-02-09 | 262.0 | 62.0 | 85.0 | 114.0 | 175.0 | 378.0 | 513.0 | 612.0 | 710.0 |
| 2025-02-16 | 237.0 | 50.0 | 71.0 | 99.0 | 155.0 | 345.0 | 472.0 | 564.0 | 656.0 |
| 2025-02-23 | 239.0 | 51.0 | 72.0 | 99.0 | 156.0 | 348.0 | 476.0 | 569.0 | 662.0 |
| 2025-03-02 | 244.0 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 102.0 | 160.0 | 356.0 | 487.0 | 582.0 | 677.0 |
| 2025-03-09 | 246.0 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 103.0 | 161.0 | 359.0 | 491.0 | 587.0 | 684.0 |
| 2025-03-16 | 244.0 | 52.0 | 73.0 | 101.0 | 160.0 | 356.0 | 488.0 | 585.0 | 681.0 |
| 2025-03-23 | 237.0 | 48.0 | 69.0 | 97.0 | 154.0 | 348.0 | 477.0 | 572.0 | 667.0 |
| 2025-03-30 | 253.0 | 55.0 | 77.0 | 106.0 | 166.0 | 369.0 | 505.0 | 605.0 | 705.0 |
| 2025-04-06 | 253.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 105.0 | 165.0 | 369.0 | 506.0 | 606.0 | 706.0 |
| 2025-04-13 | 247.0 | 51.0 | 73.0 | 102.0 | 161.0 | 361.0 | 497.0 | 596.0 | 695.0 |
| 2025-04-20 | 244.0 | 50.0 | 71.0 | 100.0 | 158.0 | 357.0 | 492.0 | 590.0 | 689.0 |
| 2025-04-27 | 252.0 | 53.0 | 75.0 | 104.0 | 164.0 | 369.0 | 506.0 | 608.0 | 709.0 |
| 2025-05-04 | 242.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 | 98.0 | 157.0 | 356.0 | 490.0 | 589.0 | 688.0 |
| 2025-05-11 | 228.0 | 42.0 | 63.0 | 90.0 | 146.0 | 337.0 | 466.0 | 561.0 | 657.0 |
| 2025-05-18 | 197.0 | 28.0 | 47.0 | 72.0 | 123.0 | 296.0 | 414.0 | 500.0 | 586.0 |
| 2025-05-25 | 177.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 60.0 | 107.0 | 269.0 | 379.0 | 459.0 | 540.0 |
| 2025-06-01 | 151.0 | 8.0 | 24.0 | 45.0 | 88.0 | 235.0 | 334.0 | 407.0 | 481.0 |
| 2025-06-08 | 131.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 | 73.0 | 208.0 | 300.0 | 368.0 | 436.0 |
| 2025-06-15 | 108.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 55.0 | 177.0 | 260.0 | 321.0 | 382.0 |
| 2025-06-22 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 44.0 | 158.0 | 235.0 | 292.0 | 349.0 |
| 2025-06-29 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 33.0 | 138.0 | 209.0 | 261.0 | 314.0 |
| 2025-07-06 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 125.0 | 192.0 | 242.0 | 292.0 |
| 2025-07-13 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 117.0 | 182.0 | 230.0 | 278.0 |
| 2025-07-20 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 105.0 | 167.0 | 213.0 | 258.0 |
| 2025-07-27 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 111.0 | 175.0 | 221.0 | 268.0 |
| 2025-08-03 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 97.0 | 156.0 | 200.0 | 244.0 |
| 2025-08-10 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 101.0 | 162.0 | 206.0 | 251.0 |
| 2025-08-17 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 89.0 | 146.0 | 189.0 | 231.0 |
| 2025-08-24 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 82.0 | 137.0 | 177.0 | 218.0 |
| 2025-08-31 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 128.0 | 166.0 | 206.0 |
| 2025-09-07 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 134.0 | 174.0 | 214.0 |
| 2025-09-14 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 132.0 | 172.0 | 212.0 |
| 2025-09-21 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | 135.0 | 175.0 | 215.0 |
| 2025-09-28 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 74.0 | 127.0 | 166.0 | 206.0 |
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