Prediction 3602

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in SC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 6.76 0.92 1.25 1.73 3.24 14.69 29.10 54.99 88.85
2022-10-16 9.02 0.96 1.38 1.93 3.90 23.19 63.56 106.89 150.06
2022-10-23 11.83 1.46 2.00 2.99 5.09 27.83 64.26 112.25 179.41
2022-10-30 9.46 1.01 1.60 2.24 4.28 21.27 50.53 93.07 148.21
2022-11-06 15.37 1.68 2.12 3.32 6.92 40.75 101.52 186.65 251.32
2022-11-13 14.38 2.11 2.56 3.61 7.06 30.90 81.68 145.17 201.91
2022-11-20 14.19 2.31 2.86 3.78 7.16 31.53 80.15 154.63 280.20
2022-11-27 14.20 2.00 2.56 3.56 6.50 30.80 73.44 102.09 176.19
2022-12-04 41.41 5.41 7.01 9.99 19.61 110.94 275.66 521.84 990.89
2022-12-11 26.86 3.79 4.79 6.16 11.92 57.13 136.57 208.85 280.98
2022-12-18 43.43 4.69 6.26 9.01 19.59 114.04 292.98 479.26 737.37
2022-12-25 17.04 2.06 2.77 3.60 7.97 41.49 96.35 186.56 269.17
2023-01-01 55.74 8.58 10.99 14.20 26.40 126.78 267.90 528.17 992.42
2023-01-08 119.66 12.81 18.06 24.35 48.81 336.95 873.68 2013.76 3799.02
2023-01-15 72.86 8.63 12.00 15.41 32.49 177.49 508.83 1014.49 1859.00
2023-01-22 160.30 16.87 22.99 35.03 67.32 354.73 1005.85 1907.89 3606.32
2023-01-29 146.19 19.26 28.02 38.71 74.87 313.47 863.88 1400.10 2510.43
2023-02-05 235.81 33.71 41.56 62.40 111.91 638.51 1636.47 3144.90 5552.38
2023-02-12 208.38 34.68 41.98 55.21 92.58 432.99 1017.78 1824.89 2655.21
2023-02-19 286.87 48.91 70.44 97.95 171.13 647.33 1490.98 3784.27 7697.63
2023-02-26 500.31 77.28 97.89 138.41 255.65 1051.23 2631.13 3771.11 7819.17
2023-03-05 530.36 107.60 143.43 196.64 289.30 951.38 1898.51 3182.66 5415.81
2023-03-12 684.47 130.40 174.05 237.07 394.76 1266.47 2317.35 3161.19 4100.21
2023-03-19 599.88 143.46 167.40 224.22 352.68 1106.54 1868.81 2744.23 3655.13
2023-03-26 796.27 234.12 265.62 348.67 491.23 1300.66 2353.22 3039.97 3700.16
2023-04-02 857.17 223.55 288.62 345.18 522.89 1371.37 2169.77 2740.89 4205.19
2023-04-09 953.22 292.99 350.16 429.41 624.63 1452.87 2286.03 2976.82 4647.69
2023-04-16 1084.90 316.70 360.50 470.31 679.25 1714.96 2436.54 3346.45 3999.26
2023-04-23 854.79 266.78 308.32 357.36 565.08 1248.24 1831.66 2414.02 3320.33
2023-04-30 827.29 253.96 291.78 346.28 516.41 1262.64 2205.68 2797.62 3630.59
2023-05-07 600.12 178.62 201.24 241.66 396.83 1020.15 1608.31 2286.58 2887.02
2023-05-14 511.64 112.52 138.55 173.22 294.93 815.27 1562.63 2350.31 3317.68
2023-05-21 340.74 53.64 73.80 102.60 177.90 629.59 1224.59 1942.86 3140.12
2023-05-28 176.77 43.76 56.73 73.42 109.04 299.18 566.35 808.98 1092.59
2023-06-04 123.68 24.43 29.82 36.32 64.13 224.77 378.16 637.07 927.62
2023-06-11 105.92 17.87 22.77 31.33 53.44 194.70 406.10 679.63 892.70
2023-06-18 76.42 14.36 17.46 22.93 42.71 152.38 300.67 474.34 811.31
2023-06-25 66.28 12.09 16.07 21.20 35.93 116.11 234.63 322.96 385.62
2023-07-02 49.75 8.88 10.92 14.61 26.34 93.88 189.95 279.10 458.09
2023-07-09 93.00 9.60 13.77 20.76 41.89 223.42 603.22 1025.64 1751.44
2023-07-16 57.45 5.65 8.00 11.96 22.61 145.55 423.75 810.84 1785.67
2023-07-23 25.60 3.97 5.12 7.09 12.22 58.13 117.20 192.68 372.21
2023-07-30 18.10 3.60 4.75 6.77 10.44 34.40 66.73 93.80 110.48
2023-08-06 11.33 1.89 2.58 3.63 6.04 22.91 48.69 85.68 159.67
2023-08-13 14.45 1.95 2.64 4.00 7.30 33.23 74.03 132.79 185.61
2023-08-20 12.06 1.90 2.52 3.34 6.19 28.59 64.40 126.92 225.39
2023-08-27 8.09 1.42 1.84 2.37 4.42 18.37 38.93 61.88 92.78
2023-09-03 5.35 0.78 0.97 1.40 2.55 11.03 25.05 37.67 53.00
2023-09-10 10.56 1.27 1.79 2.54 4.87 25.24 48.01 78.03 107.17
2023-09-17 8.76 1.67 1.97 2.83 4.55 19.15 34.57 51.65 82.32
2023-09-24 6.32 1.12 1.33 1.89 3.36 13.66 28.99 43.07 77.31
2023-10-01 6.70 1.20 1.49 1.96 3.69 14.03 33.98 58.12 114.25
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