Prediction 3603
| Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in SC
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 125.45 | 32.97 | 43.30 | 52.87 | 79.41 | 203.88 | 331.12 | 399.21 | 572.57 |
| 2023-10-15 | 301.91 | 68.89 | 85.13 | 114.43 | 178.81 | 565.98 | 1020.22 | 1601.67 | 2611.70 |
| 2023-10-22 | 152.31 | 45.43 | 52.65 | 66.65 | 98.79 | 245.87 | 368.83 | 576.78 | 823.41 |
| 2023-10-29 | 216.37 | 52.47 | 65.47 | 84.72 | 130.84 | 337.96 | 577.70 | 725.81 | 890.99 |
| 2023-11-05 | 289.36 | 85.80 | 96.22 | 121.23 | 188.60 | 482.58 | 767.83 | 1045.43 | 1459.21 |
| 2023-11-12 | 502.29 | 117.83 | 148.54 | 178.11 | 285.58 | 988.60 | 1544.39 | 2381.76 | 3588.79 |
| 2023-11-19 | 284.70 | 96.29 | 110.49 | 132.18 | 188.29 | 417.91 | 666.84 | 862.04 | 1072.63 |
| 2023-11-26 | 336.07 | 112.50 | 130.76 | 163.09 | 226.23 | 514.13 | 844.04 | 1111.93 | 1435.85 |
| 2023-12-03 | 803.91 | 204.31 | 251.91 | 311.32 | 485.01 | 1379.57 | 2526.93 | 3837.26 | 5453.60 |
| 2023-12-10 | 641.13 | 175.64 | 208.19 | 258.54 | 379.92 | 1037.66 | 1756.61 | 2373.76 | 2965.91 |
| 2023-12-17 | 601.90 | 161.89 | 204.10 | 257.76 | 389.94 | 910.27 | 1473.74 | 1889.12 | 2617.96 |
| 2023-12-24 | 522.68 | 139.92 | 163.53 | 194.22 | 308.13 | 960.25 | 1757.99 | 2545.99 | 3317.76 |
| 2023-12-31 | 806.52 | 172.02 | 237.30 | 310.59 | 487.23 | 1415.09 | 2266.16 | 2980.29 | 4453.10 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1256.42 | 296.02 | 348.48 | 472.95 | 788.58 | 2172.61 | 3894.20 | 5910.75 | 8223.60 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1156.88 | 278.43 | 368.33 | 465.94 | 731.02 | 1959.45 | 3339.90 | 4917.37 | 7089.47 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1332.69 | 410.11 | 441.94 | 555.42 | 854.11 | 2298.98 | 3573.36 | 4612.57 | 5997.00 |
| 2024-01-28 | 1488.25 | 398.05 | 465.63 | 591.57 | 934.42 | 2446.97 | 3854.62 | 5596.38 | 7533.96 |
| 2024-02-04 | 2017.32 | 554.91 | 650.06 | 832.73 | 1226.24 | 3430.58 | 6038.50 | 8549.12 | 11631.23 |
| 2024-02-11 | 2556.50 | 735.73 | 823.13 | 1022.36 | 1622.82 | 4339.74 | 7203.03 | 9390.97 | 12001.26 |
| 2024-02-18 | 2579.53 | 695.20 | 835.79 | 1119.50 | 1627.43 | 4153.65 | 6345.93 | 9568.21 | 13991.04 |
| 2024-02-25 | 3135.78 | 1025.66 | 1155.24 | 1460.00 | 2089.86 | 4777.76 | 7150.63 | 9401.83 | 11360.23 |
| 2024-03-03 | 4475.79 | 1708.35 | 1940.17 | 2405.62 | 3020.59 | 6376.13 | 9454.87 | 12825.55 | 14740.00 |
| 2024-03-10 | 4665.97 | 1800.45 | 2035.04 | 2360.28 | 3329.42 | 6744.65 | 10171.72 | 12700.01 | 14177.39 |
| 2024-03-17 | 4723.49 | 2032.93 | 2200.86 | 2680.04 | 3488.80 | 6377.70 | 8104.96 | 9883.00 | 10609.68 |
| 2024-03-24 | 6554.12 | 3073.02 | 3258.03 | 3728.53 | 4824.11 | 9065.79 | 12677.82 | 15468.53 | 20293.71 |
| 2024-03-31 | 6960.48 | 3057.51 | 3674.85 | 4260.22 | 5342.14 | 9590.82 | 12252.97 | 14556.72 | 18551.42 |
| 2024-04-07 | 8008.94 | 3455.20 | 3802.63 | 4378.34 | 5984.57 | 10585.94 | 13297.49 | 15822.82 | 18562.48 |
| 2024-04-14 | 7661.59 | 3541.99 | 3979.97 | 4510.32 | 5771.73 | 9985.30 | 13481.45 | 15981.20 | 18964.57 |
| 2024-04-21 | 7945.14 | 3729.87 | 4144.36 | 4821.18 | 5900.57 | 10286.15 | 13584.59 | 15352.05 | 17674.08 |
| 2024-04-28 | 7760.84 | 3023.65 | 3556.03 | 4325.58 | 5622.24 | 10670.36 | 14495.35 | 17478.96 | 20637.95 |
| 2024-05-05 | 7087.81 | 2941.57 | 3505.43 | 4030.07 | 5347.09 | 9810.63 | 12765.99 | 15329.93 | 17109.11 |
| 2024-05-12 | 6293.70 | 2613.46 | 3031.14 | 3576.32 | 4626.05 | 8724.39 | 11685.01 | 15658.97 | 19653.63 |
| 2024-05-19 | 4748.89 | 1979.45 | 2283.95 | 2644.75 | 3369.66 | 6699.79 | 9387.13 | 11264.46 | 12845.99 |
| 2024-05-26 | 4266.87 | 1631.68 | 1915.37 | 2303.56 | 3058.22 | 6150.78 | 9134.10 | 11751.15 | 14460.64 |
| 2024-06-02 | 2620.45 | 1097.98 | 1233.23 | 1423.82 | 1949.93 | 3888.63 | 5611.12 | 7334.83 | 8742.61 |
| 2024-06-09 | 2562.36 | 955.70 | 1092.22 | 1306.23 | 1870.54 | 3585.64 | 5299.21 | 6894.69 | 9521.80 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1428.29 | 440.90 | 581.30 | 692.89 | 930.17 | 2114.75 | 3273.41 | 4143.27 | 5059.80 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1173.12 | 316.64 | 404.17 | 513.97 | 747.86 | 1921.89 | 3180.46 | 4385.41 | 5086.43 |
| 2024-06-30 | 1021.04 | 308.39 | 372.63 | 469.98 | 665.60 | 1526.66 | 2307.60 | 3117.46 | 4150.27 |
| 2024-07-07 | 579.80 | 189.02 | 219.98 | 273.61 | 394.09 | 924.38 | 1338.36 | 1721.58 | 2234.91 |
| 2024-07-14 | 555.17 | 150.34 | 188.49 | 236.65 | 335.93 | 898.29 | 1539.60 | 2250.39 | 2870.99 |
| 2024-07-21 | 487.86 | 140.96 | 162.33 | 206.67 | 303.85 | 841.57 | 1334.42 | 1951.57 | 2627.45 |
| 2024-07-28 | 360.15 | 124.62 | 145.14 | 167.48 | 241.73 | 605.03 | 930.48 | 1153.64 | 1549.68 |
| 2024-08-04 | 238.37 | 74.97 | 85.10 | 104.76 | 150.24 | 382.57 | 597.13 | 815.48 | 1048.80 |
| 2024-08-11 | 249.43 | 65.60 | 83.49 | 107.32 | 163.50 | 407.91 | 659.38 | 872.64 | 1139.35 |
| 2024-08-18 | 198.03 | 67.93 | 75.95 | 86.18 | 125.49 | 327.16 | 534.10 | 750.14 | 1041.12 |
| 2024-08-25 | 190.73 | 43.64 | 60.21 | 77.27 | 118.27 | 324.15 | 569.34 | 743.51 | 971.22 |
| 2024-09-01 | 290.96 | 64.99 | 79.65 | 104.73 | 167.48 | 511.89 | 805.88 | 1153.62 | 1563.30 |
| 2024-09-08 | 242.03 | 63.49 | 80.24 | 102.47 | 148.74 | 411.60 | 672.49 | 824.17 | 1242.95 |
| 2024-09-15 | 223.07 | 69.77 | 81.66 | 103.02 | 146.50 | 377.16 | 587.67 | 736.16 | 1038.31 |
| 2024-09-22 | 240.63 | 57.81 | 69.15 | 85.96 | 137.72 | 389.06 | 611.41 | 855.28 | 1143.18 |
| 2024-09-29 | 273.38 | 68.57 | 86.94 | 104.57 | 163.79 | 449.72 | 738.21 | 1040.34 | 1329.08 |
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