Prediction 3604

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in SC


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 15.65 1.99 3.08 4.09 7.30 36.35 82.74 132.90 256.92
2024-10-13 27.71 3.55 4.99 7.01 12.17 57.54 134.63 205.27 328.98
2024-10-20 29.24 5.12 5.85 7.73 14.59 72.47 182.40 292.70 542.62
2024-10-27 33.64 4.00 5.21 7.55 16.44 87.03 226.89 364.08 545.88
2024-11-03 65.11 8.60 12.12 15.98 29.04 140.17 322.89 635.94 1042.27
2024-11-10 62.19 7.51 10.45 15.15 29.14 138.97 332.83 602.86 1020.85
2024-11-17 67.35 9.55 12.05 17.30 32.20 148.69 344.74 533.49 858.34
2024-11-24 88.45 10.63 16.13 23.03 42.39 237.82 532.11 946.88 1667.69
2024-12-01 94.38 16.87 21.90 28.77 48.01 217.32 440.09 821.04 1319.66
2024-12-08 120.56 21.53 26.71 38.08 64.89 296.84 703.67 1284.17 2019.80
2024-12-15 130.92 18.30 24.18 38.41 69.91 293.11 671.01 1067.40 1746.08
2024-12-22 108.74 13.65 18.57 26.02 44.26 265.55 635.94 1104.21 1746.80
2024-12-29 154.56 24.16 31.81 48.69 83.05 312.38 623.79 1135.90 1754.55
2025-01-05 197.94 31.31 38.09 52.34 95.41 405.15 787.64 1261.04 2266.97
2025-01-12 340.29 44.91 61.41 81.16 156.28 700.35 1320.12 2141.82 3377.86
2025-01-19 378.50 51.36 74.74 102.34 175.56 770.39 1528.68 2400.76 4395.24
2025-01-26 467.51 86.17 100.65 134.32 231.26 833.57 1813.72 2875.74 4822.70
2025-02-02 679.50 120.95 153.15 222.58 356.38 1442.10 2830.72 4575.81 8659.71
2025-02-09 975.96 176.01 226.48 311.86 539.91 2224.58 4359.87 6416.40 11180.70
2025-02-16 1587.17 290.36 349.06 510.57 866.56 3146.46 7771.11 12000.78 17671.68
2025-02-23 1962.00 394.71 506.23 610.39 1046.48 3809.81 6913.97 12101.58 18538.37
2025-03-02 2460.69 530.48 628.23 840.91 1385.42 4413.60 8700.74 14688.46 24054.28
2025-03-09 2843.62 637.42 791.90 1076.69 1776.05 5140.64 9505.09 14283.89 18703.76
2025-03-16 3853.70 976.57 1182.37 1516.74 2306.47 7084.04 12730.42 19131.59 28356.88
2025-03-23 5192.81 1264.81 1571.14 1950.02 3095.82 8990.40 15031.65 20477.97 29048.89
2025-03-30 4922.22 1412.23 1625.77 2070.69 3023.97 8338.53 15382.73 21382.81 26008.23
2025-04-06 4874.44 1396.47 1750.32 2015.28 2863.22 8518.05 14872.54 20438.33 28874.93
2025-04-13 5021.51 1430.15 1689.69 2009.53 3083.31 7963.47 13200.70 17196.67 24080.61
2025-04-20 4826.16 1107.44 1425.58 1856.25 2907.78 7815.61 14494.58 21750.31 32363.55
2025-04-27 5278.41 1470.74 1698.88 2065.81 3193.69 8477.62 13927.05 20334.15 28921.51
2025-05-04 4181.83 1059.94 1393.54 1659.26 2363.85 7092.56 12069.30 17843.23 27230.21
2025-05-11 3444.73 776.01 910.12 1309.36 2003.84 6507.31 12829.16 19658.76 32555.54
2025-05-18 2016.61 542.48 621.75 777.90 1216.52 3952.91 7565.17 12185.13 18788.32
2025-05-25 1412.09 277.16 377.41 525.50 798.44 2679.63 4921.50 6647.85 13113.85
2025-06-01 941.15 185.79 225.81 314.58 530.43 1752.02 3226.97 4800.17 7684.93
2025-06-08 775.93 175.43 202.57 272.59 423.07 1452.01 2830.84 3546.83 4754.07
2025-06-15 604.66 129.66 174.45 220.27 351.70 1196.45 2144.23 3398.76 6239.41
2025-06-22 425.59 77.01 101.82 133.01 217.88 843.20 1728.09 3197.22 4290.20
2025-06-29 300.96 42.72 58.67 85.70 155.65 616.27 1185.45 1742.68 3069.51
2025-07-06 228.81 27.24 38.89 54.13 107.94 481.93 964.70 1748.46 3545.17
2025-07-13 111.99 15.43 19.49 28.17 53.27 215.62 403.21 666.90 1110.97
2025-07-20 124.12 18.72 26.12 34.87 61.22 267.14 654.34 1006.09 1456.32
2025-07-27 99.18 14.11 19.39 27.08 50.54 220.37 467.21 946.03 1637.97
2025-08-03 65.79 11.44 13.83 19.28 35.05 157.44 348.08 656.52 1063.27
2025-08-10 56.52 7.51 10.48 15.43 29.14 113.57 266.41 481.03 788.09
2025-08-17 81.27 7.91 10.57 16.19 30.56 197.60 419.53 684.04 1193.04
2025-08-24 36.90 4.54 5.79 8.41 16.56 88.75 219.62 435.25 679.89
2025-08-31 28.14 3.38 4.39 7.15 12.85 58.87 150.71 276.97 496.26
2025-09-07 50.57 5.82 8.00 12.62 24.29 131.68 283.57 533.21 1569.77
2025-09-14 47.62 6.53 7.64 10.69 21.40 129.12 352.20 661.09 1078.05
2025-09-21 42.37 6.19 7.28 10.86 20.57 99.84 206.63 439.32 825.21
2025-09-28 43.37 5.61 7.28 10.71 19.92 93.67 195.92 325.91 701.32
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