Prediction 3605

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in PR


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 26.61 7.53 8.67 10.48 15.61 47.73 91.52 138.78 275.35
2022-10-16 40.74 6.78 8.04 11.08 18.39 83.92 202.20 360.74 594.55
2022-10-23 49.83 12.10 13.79 17.67 26.30 92.17 180.89 296.79 565.05
2022-10-30 33.98 7.16 8.73 11.25 19.26 75.42 142.56 234.62 414.90
2022-11-06 67.46 9.97 14.00 20.63 34.67 144.00 317.96 590.54 1065.28
2022-11-13 61.12 12.66 15.63 20.86 32.17 118.56 258.97 414.59 604.19
2022-11-20 61.56 13.41 16.49 21.77 35.04 118.08 213.51 354.10 634.58
2022-11-27 62.68 13.24 16.15 19.80 31.31 111.92 233.23 326.20 423.29
2022-12-04 225.58 41.50 50.90 67.41 115.21 428.55 1035.66 1996.60 3392.87
2022-12-11 95.35 21.85 26.10 35.20 55.38 184.60 387.99 677.27 1030.58
2022-12-18 217.47 36.35 50.86 63.84 116.00 457.08 1310.87 2244.73 4818.34
2022-12-25 73.19 13.51 16.64 22.95 37.39 147.73 370.67 579.15 1060.17
2023-01-01 225.01 51.16 72.04 88.92 133.31 403.60 830.10 1433.53 2060.57
2023-01-08 491.51 78.44 97.92 137.82 237.87 1180.36 2292.57 3864.93 7254.99
2023-01-15 360.73 53.97 67.18 98.65 171.11 769.67 1609.65 2785.28 4925.44
2023-01-22 662.55 107.36 141.58 183.85 330.74 1447.72 3715.83 6592.47 16103.70
2023-01-29 700.90 113.61 154.44 227.05 375.97 1423.35 3362.95 6386.19 10575.39
2023-02-05 1249.09 213.58 266.17 340.57 602.39 2523.78 4889.59 8394.43 13973.40
2023-02-12 889.61 154.51 213.03 276.47 462.13 1838.92 3762.25 6051.03 8392.30
2023-02-19 1437.89 256.10 335.05 442.90 798.50 3048.99 6034.21 10073.82 21791.88
2023-02-26 2278.76 422.12 562.11 763.06 1345.37 4168.98 7409.90 12496.40 25711.32
2023-03-05 2197.05 642.00 811.43 957.62 1407.71 3775.31 6045.09 9036.61 15174.62
2023-03-12 2469.44 783.57 948.08 1143.05 1660.33 4197.13 6706.10 11376.74 15939.29
2023-03-19 2327.22 778.61 927.94 1103.13 1461.41 3723.76 6087.65 7884.53 9439.72
2023-03-26 2742.73 1086.96 1286.46 1431.09 1894.73 4151.01 6056.46 7449.56 10340.88
2023-04-02 3096.21 1272.45 1461.34 1668.39 2291.24 4666.17 6784.87 8828.15 10882.30
2023-04-09 3518.30 1313.72 1466.53 1811.60 2632.86 5110.40 7211.97 10172.17 13695.70
2023-04-16 3611.02 1511.05 1718.93 1951.59 2688.07 5354.41 8106.86 10799.55 14183.81
2023-04-23 2980.78 1237.31 1397.60 1696.83 2153.08 4213.56 5791.38 7337.61 8616.91
2023-04-30 2941.32 1163.51 1268.81 1531.06 2044.49 4263.99 6168.87 7756.54 9536.57
2023-05-07 2124.60 836.13 953.41 1064.15 1478.04 2985.01 4381.62 5943.27 7735.35
2023-05-14 1617.13 526.13 599.90 759.08 1085.51 2495.13 4533.40 6967.99 8187.67
2023-05-21 1151.52 376.90 477.83 588.69 800.23 1868.56 2970.11 4027.92 6373.22
2023-05-28 680.35 229.89 262.28 309.89 447.14 1100.25 1739.44 2269.71 2990.96
2023-06-04 476.18 142.21 161.04 193.24 285.11 813.71 1434.29 1941.28 3592.59
2023-06-11 401.81 116.75 132.18 157.02 252.36 718.59 1293.60 1893.43 3150.33
2023-06-18 311.86 77.75 95.84 116.66 180.76 568.15 904.71 1315.11 1828.36
2023-06-25 257.68 67.94 89.09 115.49 167.32 462.10 705.65 1000.08 1278.59
2023-07-02 206.14 50.03 61.66 75.46 113.91 405.33 773.30 1213.75 1680.35
2023-07-09 365.03 71.44 86.92 116.54 179.47 815.49 1692.69 2754.63 4534.01
2023-07-16 264.84 36.49 48.08 65.71 120.18 553.62 1168.58 2103.24 4404.43
2023-07-23 97.90 21.05 25.67 33.29 58.80 180.67 359.45 613.90 961.90
2023-07-30 70.34 22.35 26.65 31.97 44.80 122.70 215.51 354.67 513.21
2023-08-06 50.15 12.01 15.33 19.17 29.27 89.50 166.42 225.01 316.90
2023-08-13 63.61 14.23 17.37 23.31 36.97 126.20 255.02 425.06 644.40
2023-08-20 53.09 11.19 13.93 17.35 29.03 94.78 213.36 410.96 709.62
2023-08-27 34.52 8.44 10.71 12.41 20.25 61.23 107.32 196.70 368.86
2023-09-03 20.88 4.60 5.61 6.95 12.55 37.72 68.95 120.45 210.77
2023-09-10 46.40 9.08 11.15 15.30 24.93 92.35 198.50 296.90 473.86
2023-09-17 32.23 9.58 11.09 13.61 19.98 52.72 106.63 172.21 291.26
2023-09-24 28.50 7.25 8.64 11.37 17.60 50.47 88.30 133.15 194.44
2023-10-01 30.19 7.43 8.87 10.98 17.80 48.66 95.06 141.28 221.54
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