Prediction 3607

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in PR


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 34.71 6.56 8.40 10.85 18.77 64.66 119.12 199.60 251.08
2024-10-13 62.15 13.08 15.93 21.53 37.15 124.77 234.37 437.42 707.40
2024-10-20 73.86 14.76 19.12 27.16 41.70 157.22 303.26 561.10 765.74
2024-10-27 84.77 18.06 21.67 28.76 44.45 186.72 425.27 751.20 1347.94
2024-11-03 134.90 29.17 34.73 43.91 75.90 253.53 488.55 844.70 1252.60
2024-11-10 142.37 29.76 35.20 45.43 72.96 290.40 641.15 1173.17 2205.94
2024-11-17 142.42 31.77 40.25 51.84 78.30 269.35 534.45 959.38 1604.34
2024-11-24 205.40 50.61 67.06 82.45 119.42 338.08 659.21 1092.34 1820.04
2024-12-01 198.94 50.66 62.57 73.00 112.80 340.10 602.80 944.83 1406.30
2024-12-08 291.18 75.50 89.43 111.87 173.63 539.67 952.82 1362.38 2042.38
2024-12-15 293.68 76.53 88.18 115.95 179.46 525.19 947.53 1297.24 1808.35
2024-12-22 242.57 53.92 63.67 83.31 143.63 446.92 904.21 1482.21 2435.38
2024-12-29 383.98 88.82 117.49 150.17 236.23 652.71 1291.38 1768.45 2290.30
2025-01-05 406.17 91.32 115.17 152.00 249.79 733.16 1326.87 1894.51 2724.50
2025-01-12 587.30 145.55 185.20 237.31 360.22 1068.56 2118.13 3346.82 5390.45
2025-01-19 802.06 197.06 242.19 319.20 441.82 1387.41 2693.67 3823.02 7274.71
2025-01-26 941.66 257.51 334.86 389.27 593.99 1550.18 2812.95 4052.60 6436.04
2025-02-02 1270.17 377.39 475.44 581.19 818.20 2326.75 4124.08 6469.74 8513.14
2025-02-09 2026.16 569.89 683.78 813.46 1280.34 3379.46 6456.16 9430.97 14067.78
2025-02-16 3510.96 762.53 910.64 1165.92 1942.56 6280.34 12629.04 20866.89 31231.22
2025-02-23 4073.28 1287.60 1484.32 1726.77 2478.78 7177.85 13097.99 18655.76 27454.39
2025-03-02 5076.68 1563.65 1858.49 2316.80 3298.10 7958.85 12542.60 19344.48 25969.23
2025-03-09 5553.38 1822.52 2036.96 2582.30 3696.22 8684.79 14632.72 18316.06 24175.94
2025-03-16 7631.03 2608.05 2905.22 3473.91 4949.76 11606.86 19020.28 24312.83 34950.64
2025-03-23 8828.47 2770.12 3398.79 4114.48 5682.08 14285.07 21451.40 27472.98 36341.83
2025-03-30 10026.65 3719.93 4315.53 5153.00 7024.91 15645.25 25316.05 31441.59 38729.05
2025-04-06 8926.74 3655.35 4028.88 4720.59 6439.43 13533.50 19476.56 24627.93 32135.13
2025-04-13 8925.95 3865.16 4338.40 5022.26 6399.72 13417.86 21127.13 27949.06 34087.90
2025-04-20 8500.30 3218.39 3807.83 4627.68 6321.32 12398.45 20015.72 27900.64 36599.78
2025-04-27 9260.82 3673.28 4240.78 4890.61 6735.25 13583.57 19788.85 26144.21 34774.94
2025-05-04 8377.74 2829.53 3297.79 3922.96 5337.01 12685.80 19920.39 29144.82 38911.17
2025-05-11 7038.54 2393.37 2708.58 3301.04 4704.64 10915.68 18288.46 26198.82 35390.48
2025-05-18 4134.57 1289.77 1532.84 1935.71 2790.39 6353.36 9934.72 12968.19 16410.25
2025-05-25 2983.30 1041.30 1206.46 1457.09 1974.46 5011.87 7658.09 9378.12 12011.36
2025-06-01 1776.14 611.26 708.92 844.99 1177.99 2987.90 5327.54 7845.12 13818.77
2025-06-08 1679.25 460.33 559.84 729.60 1075.41 2882.40 4612.52 7288.56 9544.33
2025-06-15 1240.06 326.68 395.82 480.42 730.96 2031.94 3435.94 4722.45 7847.08
2025-06-22 734.21 257.75 300.78 350.12 492.87 1253.15 2183.77 3089.04 4500.00
2025-06-29 603.97 150.93 176.60 225.74 338.36 1015.52 1760.21 2478.60 3715.76
2025-07-06 458.92 117.23 137.68 168.76 258.48 762.07 1386.68 2178.25 3064.32
2025-07-13 224.51 57.70 69.69 86.75 142.68 414.56 664.19 967.84 1427.25
2025-07-20 266.35 64.83 77.83 104.57 159.28 499.62 847.84 1349.91 2434.37
2025-07-27 246.29 50.25 58.90 85.02 134.83 486.89 904.85 1337.37 2072.91
2025-08-03 171.50 35.75 43.94 58.39 96.92 328.66 638.29 939.15 1335.01
2025-08-10 107.66 24.51 32.30 40.70 65.66 198.51 366.81 476.13 658.16
2025-08-17 195.30 34.45 43.29 58.18 102.73 396.84 838.69 1687.01 2500.96
2025-08-24 96.56 15.66 19.17 28.13 46.63 210.43 457.50 625.14 1138.78
2025-08-31 63.67 13.67 15.86 20.74 33.63 128.33 265.37 335.17 573.66
2025-09-07 127.17 24.58 28.10 35.99 62.40 234.58 503.86 856.83 1594.20
2025-09-14 116.73 28.36 34.22 41.11 67.56 235.54 449.04 624.69 1085.01
2025-09-21 98.04 22.71 26.36 33.04 55.01 185.45 370.71 524.73 948.25
2025-09-28 83.25 21.37 26.14 31.40 49.10 146.53 304.83 480.19 699.08
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