Prediction 3608

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Sul

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in RS


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 7.71 1.68 2.38 3.04 4.63 13.94 26.37 40.56 70.11
2022-10-16 12.88 1.91 2.43 3.87 6.69 29.95 67.19 113.40 207.20
2022-10-23 15.45 3.06 3.86 4.73 7.87 30.50 58.83 99.66 148.95
2022-10-30 9.63 2.20 2.49 3.46 5.58 20.19 37.66 56.57 103.81
2022-11-06 18.20 3.69 4.83 5.76 9.38 42.44 86.05 186.55 378.53
2022-11-13 19.32 3.49 4.47 6.33 10.93 38.19 78.44 123.24 186.57
2022-11-20 18.26 4.26 5.17 6.16 10.05 35.33 76.76 119.80 164.65
2022-11-27 17.79 3.71 4.93 6.35 10.25 34.03 71.07 116.48 244.52
2022-12-04 72.83 13.69 16.24 21.96 36.79 155.30 303.97 538.34 1030.76
2022-12-11 30.27 7.19 8.39 10.73 17.51 56.10 96.73 173.03 357.59
2022-12-18 65.84 10.23 13.66 19.46 33.27 134.08 226.46 404.02 680.08
2022-12-25 23.37 3.76 4.81 7.04 11.70 43.39 89.79 175.26 332.27
2023-01-01 65.81 17.02 20.85 26.94 39.77 131.31 273.01 460.75 598.17
2023-01-08 153.58 23.37 32.33 44.19 70.96 340.18 734.21 1186.39 2099.97
2023-01-15 120.29 18.95 25.67 33.02 58.94 252.53 618.16 914.14 2756.27
2023-01-22 214.38 38.72 47.98 63.16 103.86 518.54 1091.77 1796.97 2689.26
2023-01-29 231.89 43.69 53.71 70.57 119.36 418.44 937.16 1410.27 2688.15
2023-02-05 349.74 57.41 71.59 97.30 182.34 766.55 1666.87 3088.60 4372.07
2023-02-12 277.63 61.25 72.13 97.01 149.94 547.74 1141.74 1999.39 3046.70
2023-02-19 438.35 77.77 98.65 145.37 230.34 971.27 2212.95 3295.72 5354.57
2023-02-26 672.03 141.80 180.82 238.27 355.17 1391.91 2820.20 4569.69 7829.59
2023-03-05 642.93 192.24 239.63 287.79 423.53 1157.69 1955.41 2646.24 4307.09
2023-03-12 787.60 249.80 280.10 338.73 488.17 1332.10 2410.68 3427.20 4549.19
2023-03-19 728.47 249.94 276.19 350.06 486.59 1099.38 1852.44 2434.52 3086.42
2023-03-26 837.47 295.44 364.80 417.35 594.22 1291.96 1907.93 2665.34 3542.45
2023-04-02 943.45 349.78 401.45 487.49 661.39 1457.37 2304.81 2887.69 3515.48
2023-04-09 1061.34 390.29 448.88 561.18 777.69 1457.20 2144.63 2623.06 3453.36
2023-04-16 1175.84 452.25 528.13 640.51 830.27 1664.64 2452.08 3263.82 3940.86
2023-04-23 938.37 384.94 438.72 500.88 678.38 1393.25 1917.98 2339.37 3237.31
2023-04-30 918.25 370.28 414.11 488.58 669.97 1302.16 1877.71 2885.75 3589.59
2023-05-07 619.32 248.58 288.24 325.55 443.87 934.84 1463.27 1872.63 2518.15
2023-05-14 556.66 184.29 209.03 262.87 357.70 938.40 1414.20 2128.19 3017.93
2023-05-21 344.85 116.46 138.44 166.51 241.58 601.09 1023.14 1492.64 1936.63
2023-05-28 203.02 72.15 79.15 98.25 134.38 335.14 582.08 809.55 1051.31
2023-06-04 137.74 39.11 48.31 59.08 84.52 244.84 401.51 517.26 708.16
2023-06-11 122.50 35.17 42.01 51.89 77.51 211.00 368.07 542.05 881.78
2023-06-18 93.14 23.83 28.12 39.17 59.48 173.19 336.27 563.35 889.19
2023-06-25 81.70 19.44 24.93 33.88 48.40 135.10 253.20 379.37 660.49
2023-07-02 61.55 16.22 19.58 24.41 36.15 103.66 228.92 356.58 517.53
2023-07-09 127.09 20.67 26.81 34.13 67.49 271.57 637.04 912.39 1727.25
2023-07-16 70.70 11.50 15.75 21.53 36.85 177.66 509.34 808.80 1297.64
2023-07-23 32.11 7.43 8.68 10.99 17.03 59.93 117.48 173.25 231.53
2023-07-30 22.06 6.76 8.21 9.58 14.58 37.64 65.13 84.95 131.43
2023-08-06 15.19 3.59 4.50 5.54 8.84 25.97 49.79 70.13 113.97
2023-08-13 18.81 4.23 5.09 6.71 10.68 36.62 73.50 115.69 159.87
2023-08-20 16.91 3.84 4.87 6.23 9.23 33.10 66.68 98.02 163.42
2023-08-27 10.52 2.61 3.21 4.06 6.46 19.69 33.06 48.92 88.72
2023-09-03 6.35 1.60 1.86 2.36 3.69 12.60 25.58 41.85 56.21
2023-09-10 14.02 3.08 3.76 4.61 7.14 30.31 61.19 99.26 173.36
2023-09-17 10.15 2.87 3.29 4.15 6.22 17.38 31.94 40.39 73.76
2023-09-24 8.36 2.20 2.62 3.14 4.87 15.82 30.04 50.13 66.20
2023-10-01 8.29 2.08 2.59 3.30 5.23 14.38 27.60 40.23 77.56
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