Prediction 3609

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Sul

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in RS


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 53.35 21.77 26.63 30.30 38.85 76.56 109.36 138.75 176.01
2023-10-15 131.16 48.16 56.97 65.56 86.97 196.43 332.80 406.34 495.68
2023-10-22 71.85 27.77 32.59 39.11 52.45 102.81 138.35 189.51 245.83
2023-10-29 91.60 34.83 41.18 49.75 63.95 134.56 204.30 278.23 353.22
2023-11-05 151.58 53.09 65.47 76.91 102.84 226.55 313.04 383.10 482.35
2023-11-12 231.24 75.38 91.21 108.86 152.28 407.70 634.79 763.61 987.16
2023-11-19 135.19 54.71 62.68 72.51 94.95 188.76 260.57 346.82 446.10
2023-11-26 162.78 63.95 70.68 86.83 116.59 223.79 327.99 426.96 541.08
2023-12-03 332.34 130.41 143.63 171.01 241.03 491.18 690.53 912.41 1075.78
2023-12-10 295.61 114.09 128.52 151.95 211.74 414.13 608.81 778.91 929.40
2023-12-17 292.14 116.55 127.43 160.67 207.47 448.86 682.49 954.84 1335.42
2023-12-24 224.35 77.71 97.58 116.14 155.08 318.12 493.23 731.17 976.22
2023-12-31 429.67 133.78 171.14 210.62 284.58 672.58 1002.73 1366.14 1757.94
2024-01-07 680.41 219.72 245.85 328.18 464.63 1123.28 1680.51 2105.53 3263.28
2024-01-14 663.48 236.66 268.56 329.96 431.74 948.37 1700.56 2075.53 2702.20
2024-01-21 773.75 260.01 331.08 403.96 541.92 1183.13 1705.71 2332.32 2719.27
2024-01-28 816.52 318.93 350.64 412.95 578.62 1238.68 1847.34 2420.23 2923.61
2024-02-04 1210.67 437.85 515.96 650.33 865.23 1874.62 2770.84 3641.39 4187.94
2024-02-11 1521.73 566.57 656.29 752.55 1048.42 2136.60 3166.33 4050.96 5498.86
2024-02-18 1526.46 571.01 660.55 806.72 1104.77 2244.16 3321.43 4377.30 5420.37
2024-02-25 1702.29 799.85 859.69 985.71 1282.91 2361.40 3297.01 4291.09 4947.19
2024-03-03 2487.71 1189.82 1288.28 1447.25 1880.56 3216.98 4309.33 5732.74 7011.83
2024-03-10 2613.79 1187.03 1418.14 1611.53 1984.65 3472.07 4533.17 5768.30 6602.28
2024-03-17 2512.21 1306.64 1444.85 1606.15 1940.92 3387.62 4222.46 4968.01 5704.38
2024-03-24 3602.07 1921.35 2138.37 2363.98 2873.67 4526.69 5739.26 6442.47 7582.14
2024-03-31 3531.56 2042.30 2159.68 2467.85 2840.95 4486.31 5627.41 6673.91 7428.95
2024-04-07 4020.20 2240.08 2397.68 2733.20 3251.04 5215.44 6506.07 7523.86 8459.30
2024-04-14 3820.08 2179.68 2348.06 2583.32 3031.53 4847.20 5997.55 7026.12 8044.26
2024-04-21 3960.39 2387.10 2542.54 2799.22 3200.54 4990.06 6220.50 7035.21 8101.43
2024-04-28 3856.27 2205.67 2324.49 2577.36 3099.28 4862.08 6233.73 7470.99 8480.98
2024-05-05 3647.29 2008.24 2162.43 2341.58 2915.01 4678.83 5848.59 6642.36 8306.53
2024-05-12 3154.26 1613.56 1835.99 2005.88 2443.47 3897.86 4831.75 5453.18 6180.59
2024-05-19 2202.13 1131.10 1243.37 1400.12 1767.88 2927.17 3925.22 4692.00 5517.52
2024-05-26 1928.66 975.48 1109.92 1241.96 1517.22 2541.06 3426.96 4147.11 5398.03
2024-06-02 1207.01 657.94 714.13 798.65 971.39 1624.68 2053.37 2400.70 2727.89
2024-06-09 1123.21 581.84 657.84 720.98 882.59 1511.49 2076.65 2391.89 2845.81
2024-06-16 698.34 330.00 367.64 425.32 525.94 916.14 1185.47 1467.71 1860.10
2024-06-23 553.67 226.91 261.45 311.79 410.14 771.64 1094.44 1282.14 1637.14
2024-06-30 466.94 205.82 234.20 261.62 339.65 656.55 925.72 1146.23 1323.21
2024-07-07 270.88 119.36 138.64 158.73 202.74 378.21 519.16 587.00 772.56
2024-07-14 290.34 116.65 130.06 150.97 201.86 445.44 636.79 850.64 1022.52
2024-07-21 237.79 92.98 101.33 120.76 167.39 386.48 525.83 670.48 841.31
2024-07-28 180.27 83.26 93.52 106.47 132.36 244.68 325.80 466.58 568.54
2024-08-04 116.92 50.25 56.75 67.65 86.91 174.00 236.64 320.92 372.71
2024-08-11 126.05 47.57 58.26 67.34 90.83 191.26 274.78 395.64 516.27
2024-08-18 101.68 40.09 45.33 52.79 70.70 151.27 220.89 308.82 394.67
2024-08-25 82.75 32.34 38.72 46.16 61.29 121.52 170.31 239.46 291.14
2024-09-01 129.98 45.76 55.68 62.43 87.55 193.16 290.42 352.55 445.37
2024-09-08 112.00 45.50 50.92 61.48 82.00 160.79 223.21 267.74 332.78
2024-09-15 111.75 46.30 52.75 62.80 79.01 162.73 230.43 290.17 403.53
2024-09-22 112.31 39.28 46.86 57.55 77.47 162.60 256.56 336.92 500.29
2024-09-29 121.86 51.40 59.90 68.15 88.01 181.99 256.69 338.44 402.46
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