Prediction 3610

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Sul

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in RS


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 13.39 2.64 3.16 4.29 7.22 26.45 51.36 74.27 136.20
2024-10-13 25.15 4.44 6.06 8.04 13.35 51.54 114.19 167.66 322.27
2024-10-20 26.42 6.23 8.08 9.74 14.33 50.47 109.56 149.42 215.70
2024-10-27 31.00 5.94 7.83 9.86 15.01 64.79 137.92 222.70 343.76
2024-11-03 53.66 9.88 12.53 16.51 27.85 102.08 194.10 340.79 552.75
2024-11-10 56.48 11.51 13.47 18.00 32.33 104.93 240.24 424.97 612.60
2024-11-17 54.27 10.73 14.71 18.65 27.95 104.40 202.18 279.34 487.51
2024-11-24 67.71 15.55 20.29 25.28 37.29 133.64 261.08 478.29 599.57
2024-12-01 68.37 17.83 22.49 29.39 42.09 139.92 255.16 396.00 546.56
2024-12-08 107.62 23.08 32.30 41.82 65.41 220.19 495.56 891.19 1370.04
2024-12-15 107.51 24.75 33.53 42.92 66.72 188.98 363.89 572.01 856.37
2024-12-22 84.14 18.28 25.11 30.65 46.96 164.33 393.85 600.62 905.14
2024-12-29 139.61 33.51 36.98 50.38 79.44 275.00 504.31 714.45 997.09
2025-01-05 150.83 35.64 45.91 58.05 92.48 285.73 547.90 822.05 1360.73
2025-01-12 248.99 63.62 77.67 95.46 147.24 438.71 1001.14 1676.05 2572.47
2025-01-19 278.71 62.73 82.28 100.64 153.60 500.83 985.35 2047.92 2858.53
2025-01-26 371.85 102.71 113.55 142.96 217.14 630.60 1159.33 1799.87 2609.23
2025-02-02 548.87 126.52 167.59 206.08 313.09 902.81 1684.69 2487.26 3729.78
2025-02-09 791.29 187.14 239.71 305.50 461.56 1414.72 2308.41 3828.09 5527.09
2025-02-16 1193.68 286.72 355.48 469.99 722.49 2177.55 4121.63 7033.27 10442.44
2025-02-23 1389.37 374.35 441.70 573.40 855.81 2548.87 5362.03 7707.29 14125.76
2025-03-02 1900.37 551.83 644.36 820.96 1222.33 3115.03 5364.35 7981.75 10591.05
2025-03-09 2245.29 607.59 747.46 936.66 1380.36 3706.85 5620.15 9514.66 13042.50
2025-03-16 2625.01 835.17 964.07 1300.90 1815.04 4174.23 6668.77 9659.72 11996.01
2025-03-23 3180.44 1048.04 1226.00 1453.89 2013.57 4989.47 8792.35 12337.14 18067.18
2025-03-30 3565.63 1274.50 1440.40 1809.21 2335.51 5834.39 9965.36 13849.56 19832.73
2025-04-06 3697.94 1315.20 1551.04 1898.01 2629.04 5593.87 8402.17 11240.69 14462.99
2025-04-13 3589.56 1288.91 1510.07 1836.52 2525.05 5367.05 8043.81 11081.81 15158.16
2025-04-20 3311.22 1256.24 1424.15 1718.20 2354.49 5243.68 7467.50 11210.88 15716.29
2025-04-27 3664.98 1295.48 1486.87 1717.72 2548.18 5635.44 8635.35 11445.89 15864.27
2025-05-04 2992.42 977.03 1109.86 1366.85 1884.61 4773.00 7899.58 10374.87 13207.55
2025-05-11 2772.48 795.88 919.20 1152.86 1797.05 4335.76 7431.07 9426.51 14418.71
2025-05-18 1651.52 545.51 659.68 755.97 1004.51 2883.78 4632.17 6934.17 9580.91
2025-05-25 1141.56 319.74 391.85 488.71 685.53 1917.55 3313.84 4657.89 5992.80
2025-06-01 691.26 183.62 211.19 272.60 432.96 1239.87 1949.04 2976.43 4001.07
2025-06-08 617.37 183.56 218.93 267.31 388.94 1032.00 1754.39 2485.72 2965.70
2025-06-15 469.71 117.40 144.20 183.15 272.71 822.95 1448.81 1912.53 2959.25
2025-06-22 295.17 85.92 94.36 124.23 183.06 537.95 864.82 1391.69 1770.26
2025-06-29 212.76 56.68 70.38 84.47 128.69 389.27 675.58 1029.76 1527.82
2025-07-06 179.15 34.17 43.95 62.07 105.10 357.00 731.42 1262.79 2209.81
2025-07-13 76.67 18.39 22.01 31.65 46.09 149.99 322.38 542.85 692.94
2025-07-20 98.91 22.20 28.30 35.78 57.90 201.50 394.00 584.08 986.08
2025-07-27 91.39 16.87 21.70 31.01 48.20 184.42 400.34 662.02 888.46
2025-08-03 60.73 13.82 15.79 21.81 35.44 116.20 274.88 417.77 602.58
2025-08-10 42.68 8.24 11.54 15.35 24.89 82.66 149.38 227.41 288.14
2025-08-17 71.19 12.43 15.15 19.03 34.62 168.27 366.87 631.95 961.83
2025-08-24 36.58 6.82 7.98 10.79 17.95 80.79 167.47 393.68 639.85
2025-08-31 24.68 4.56 6.07 8.10 13.01 51.07 121.56 193.60 300.27
2025-09-07 41.73 9.08 10.63 14.57 24.00 90.83 232.66 428.91 885.20
2025-09-14 40.40 8.10 10.82 14.50 23.58 81.26 146.50 214.58 268.49
2025-09-21 35.74 7.08 8.61 11.86 18.75 69.53 127.71 204.36 277.24
2025-09-28 32.80 7.17 9.03 11.36 17.72 60.37 106.80 199.18 338.30
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