Prediction 3611

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in SP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 487.88 242.21 264.42 303.09 381.70 671.47 966.14 1352.24 1630.78
2022-10-16 552.37 260.90 296.60 336.37 431.37 717.05 931.22 1191.84 1431.50
2022-10-23 585.02 290.55 312.27 353.44 432.45 770.88 1097.12 1416.64 1973.10
2022-10-30 670.85 329.98 367.38 424.31 518.06 895.17 1204.83 1412.45 1798.71
2022-11-06 557.86 295.88 312.99 363.56 445.80 725.40 998.09 1254.81 1513.73
2022-11-13 633.75 340.74 364.91 411.42 495.96 814.67 1114.97 1336.04 1608.44
2022-11-20 888.32 423.30 466.98 545.96 694.90 1230.28 1605.15 2134.58 2686.89
2022-11-27 944.28 465.36 503.44 569.90 715.16 1236.42 1700.78 1990.14 2405.98
2022-12-04 970.97 520.63 574.28 639.45 756.11 1282.27 1664.92 1940.63 2266.83
2022-12-11 1598.98 738.82 807.27 943.22 1193.16 2402.36 3525.38 4735.00 5844.23
2022-12-18 1109.44 552.80 617.35 676.81 841.20 1495.81 2102.38 2651.18 3371.57
2022-12-25 1220.41 450.20 483.99 623.57 837.58 1866.00 2700.49 3811.55 5487.49
2023-01-01 2006.95 1022.71 1099.24 1235.64 1461.37 2907.08 4241.03 5359.63 8312.72
2023-01-08 3222.71 1311.30 1557.80 1835.43 2341.19 4341.35 6394.96 9083.98 12399.57
2023-01-15 3438.17 1604.91 1715.83 2023.51 2570.73 4761.23 7049.17 9794.66 13052.39
2023-01-22 4761.37 2278.28 2473.28 2778.83 3483.15 6943.68 10286.62 14369.37 21458.30
2023-01-29 5852.87 2666.41 2957.91 3287.09 4220.90 8470.32 12087.50 15587.16 19108.05
2023-02-05 8370.93 3248.59 3919.36 4485.21 6047.74 11808.13 18908.35 26714.42 35108.04
2023-02-12 9504.20 4153.51 4700.34 5377.06 6934.08 13913.86 20018.20 25545.36 34516.97
2023-02-19 9286.46 4125.30 4569.39 5384.51 6856.20 13195.91 19684.67 26940.44 35939.91
2023-02-26 10196.30 4908.02 5292.00 5841.17 7725.83 13946.07 17584.29 21751.55 25398.23
2023-03-05 11977.57 6080.00 6756.77 7447.50 9149.32 15718.78 21150.51 27490.24 32630.01
2023-03-12 12166.36 6311.90 6824.12 7695.16 9497.36 16917.23 22859.01 30229.61 37200.50
2023-03-19 13909.18 7354.22 8102.55 8853.70 11170.78 18562.70 26479.61 33119.10 42172.92
2023-03-26 15883.32 8795.86 9497.05 10502.89 12791.50 21261.22 31098.55 39585.21 50835.24
2023-04-02 17305.13 8607.97 9937.88 11220.42 13555.38 22356.03 30115.21 36483.89 41953.18
2023-04-09 19407.10 10511.53 11504.30 12512.26 14933.17 25220.59 36662.92 42835.43 49753.07
2023-04-16 19572.12 10643.90 11687.74 13115.80 15812.94 24866.84 31992.00 39834.71 51604.14
2023-04-23 20539.86 11301.93 11881.97 13454.12 16283.41 26868.24 35581.59 41597.36 51146.39
2023-04-30 20110.29 10964.26 11746.50 13339.85 16270.92 26164.03 36998.00 45273.85 55712.07
2023-05-07 21027.60 11864.54 12392.03 13678.45 16352.98 28004.55 36657.77 48004.61 57568.37
2023-05-14 13538.48 7600.11 8437.94 8996.92 10502.84 17072.15 22594.04 26883.71 30132.70
2023-05-21 11396.78 5796.34 6507.92 7292.69 9013.43 14962.58 20935.47 28051.64 33501.75
2023-05-28 7963.11 4379.56 4756.86 5250.52 6336.80 10663.99 14345.02 17463.99 20333.80
2023-06-04 6853.36 3476.14 3755.31 4283.82 5281.95 8756.44 11922.90 14580.84 17999.72
2023-06-11 4919.99 2707.82 2996.56 3301.50 3952.31 6540.74 8640.93 10370.78 11622.18
2023-06-18 3497.44 1979.95 2144.84 2340.23 2815.35 4502.49 5627.58 7158.61 9055.01
2023-06-25 2625.25 1427.22 1544.07 1716.37 2112.05 3592.94 4761.68 5807.55 6436.92
2023-07-02 2313.78 1191.20 1300.68 1525.78 1866.60 3073.42 4176.60 5475.64 7527.18
2023-07-09 1513.29 784.42 831.26 980.49 1200.92 1985.96 2672.77 3421.14 4494.22
2023-07-16 948.53 551.77 608.42 638.76 773.34 1233.10 1619.40 1954.12 2351.53
2023-07-23 857.19 481.34 508.44 566.98 697.51 1125.40 1494.29 1811.92 2277.95
2023-07-30 748.74 379.39 442.17 508.66 611.70 985.00 1325.84 1533.53 1877.32
2023-08-06 577.29 318.45 335.50 376.65 447.83 717.45 921.09 1128.69 1302.15
2023-08-13 499.77 242.65 259.45 317.12 388.88 668.26 917.50 1073.30 1460.15
2023-08-20 495.07 263.50 290.68 316.19 390.25 659.49 948.74 1149.54 1369.29
2023-08-27 390.71 201.92 215.81 248.23 303.83 513.20 720.43 861.16 1021.15
2023-09-03 482.70 233.39 261.82 292.90 367.99 628.81 827.97 1064.63 1363.22
2023-09-10 443.50 239.06 259.72 300.08 362.96 579.76 743.62 893.05 1061.96
2023-09-17 469.59 250.95 271.47 300.83 375.50 593.16 830.17 997.58 1366.97
2023-09-24 525.81 272.55 290.08 336.67 408.43 693.64 911.24 1097.91 1265.15
2023-10-01 445.51 230.68 251.16 281.96 352.68 584.50 743.40 969.34 1252.43
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