Prediction 3612

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in SP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 761.82 428.59 462.37 502.39 607.35 994.57 1352.22 1637.26 1910.60
2023-10-15 808.25 443.79 475.57 518.30 639.50 1030.10 1314.20 1568.94 1944.46
2023-10-22 817.16 469.71 505.02 547.70 654.78 1029.91 1362.58 1618.25 2069.61
2023-10-29 726.97 424.47 455.47 498.35 596.16 892.72 1142.95 1321.02 1646.90
2023-11-05 902.31 504.25 539.61 587.22 723.08 1203.24 1586.98 2119.88 2507.01
2023-11-12 801.11 469.45 510.68 566.67 664.29 1019.61 1258.54 1423.89 1720.56
2023-11-19 996.82 593.36 636.07 675.29 814.49 1284.09 1603.48 1848.29 2113.55
2023-11-26 1053.33 618.70 670.58 751.48 884.35 1326.14 1712.46 1978.13 2373.22
2023-12-03 1306.60 724.69 810.35 905.00 1058.72 1594.23 2024.42 2287.38 2784.07
2023-12-10 1516.59 847.62 935.36 1027.90 1239.41 1897.00 2509.73 2902.53 3172.15
2023-12-17 1380.45 710.92 763.35 850.96 1061.59 1756.35 2301.86 2730.56 2953.27
2023-12-24 1353.91 654.48 732.23 825.26 1029.53 1877.97 2410.74 2763.70 3620.75
2023-12-31 3315.41 1812.11 1927.21 2153.68 2654.36 4312.07 5459.25 6596.47 8138.92
2024-01-07 4441.27 2131.37 2434.67 2788.21 3534.41 5792.07 7345.81 8861.26 12118.93
2024-01-14 5053.18 2924.09 3086.33 3400.01 4038.21 6669.70 8958.69 11723.00 13897.65
2024-01-21 6535.00 3746.25 3968.51 4413.05 5187.40 8291.70 10961.15 13402.06 14825.45
2024-01-28 8427.92 4304.25 4822.07 5512.61 6541.38 11177.96 15253.87 17171.12 20162.07
2024-02-04 10938.51 5740.16 6135.29 6913.44 8603.69 14475.99 19366.61 23758.55 27495.88
2024-02-11 12784.89 6962.64 7349.71 8242.30 9830.13 16280.04 21578.46 25549.96 32841.14
2024-02-18 12539.20 6848.06 7484.90 8705.44 10560.89 15163.58 19251.40 21953.48 24979.35
2024-02-25 15384.74 8695.17 9728.60 10607.13 12462.62 19323.90 23387.84 25948.95 31388.16
2024-03-03 15845.82 9502.06 10700.68 11600.17 13504.60 19339.20 24195.96 28239.32 33469.40
2024-03-10 17913.43 11755.93 12805.89 13353.54 15281.58 21242.86 25456.51 28748.21 32352.37
2024-03-17 21341.59 13854.40 14682.33 15922.86 18291.36 25739.99 30923.64 33585.00 39107.47
2024-03-24 22499.58 15098.57 16091.26 17491.87 19547.72 27178.62 31708.24 36897.03 39947.95
2024-03-31 24943.64 16075.97 17049.13 18567.40 22060.67 29982.79 35138.43 39585.00 45957.10
2024-04-07 25906.72 16923.34 18807.59 20282.22 22684.70 30413.16 35617.16 39551.47 41999.52
2024-04-14 26743.20 17692.63 18808.53 20178.07 23115.50 30812.33 36615.84 40563.97 44945.05
2024-04-21 27192.05 18016.83 19075.44 20043.49 23181.81 32413.21 38451.70 41386.60 47258.10
2024-04-28 27865.74 18805.51 19762.27 20915.36 23451.23 32271.71 39165.06 45425.63 48403.43
2024-05-05 26165.25 16754.25 18265.72 19682.39 22208.99 31229.14 38194.20 42045.43 45666.11
2024-05-12 23052.32 14661.78 15343.87 16559.20 19185.58 27675.93 32298.86 36703.59 42235.33
2024-05-19 18596.17 11383.58 12082.39 12935.58 15310.42 22597.31 27361.18 31671.80 37500.18
2024-05-26 13574.25 8424.43 9112.97 9831.02 11498.00 16899.82 20382.85 23468.11 25517.32
2024-06-02 10006.23 6368.87 6673.60 7379.27 8433.16 12211.13 14110.36 15467.96 16821.00
2024-06-09 8614.83 5334.62 5734.94 6241.58 7202.53 10217.32 12169.76 13568.03 14812.45
2024-06-16 6525.94 3783.20 4086.29 4400.00 5285.19 7975.41 9827.47 10823.65 12759.42
2024-06-23 5203.50 2934.33 3198.87 3491.01 4144.78 6365.08 8309.99 9647.19 10974.28
2024-06-30 4235.12 2214.05 2420.21 2700.98 3312.80 5376.51 6986.44 8158.14 9855.06
2024-07-07 2931.37 1647.71 1793.19 1952.16 2317.64 3544.19 4266.46 5120.96 5760.12
2024-07-14 2364.36 1360.12 1454.08 1627.89 1902.42 3101.59 3845.98 4535.17 5282.24
2024-07-21 2061.37 1102.76 1210.61 1363.46 1662.24 2737.80 3855.02 5103.41 6160.93
2024-07-28 1730.31 912.36 1007.01 1140.09 1387.92 2251.46 2759.48 3528.82 4082.19
2024-08-04 1490.04 779.68 885.56 995.42 1197.34 1932.90 2440.51 3030.36 3699.20
2024-08-11 1385.95 722.59 775.85 860.31 1056.39 1850.73 2682.53 3130.80 3612.38
2024-08-18 1119.92 613.85 662.57 749.04 901.39 1527.28 1955.14 2367.18 2639.08
2024-08-25 1043.76 567.04 614.40 693.81 846.37 1370.42 1763.79 2137.23 2370.09
2024-09-01 1038.30 553.87 594.42 662.37 818.31 1332.84 1743.38 2091.31 2482.29
2024-09-08 1161.85 589.13 680.19 769.99 909.83 1516.28 2104.18 2539.37 3146.92
2024-09-15 1072.78 622.64 655.27 717.12 844.75 1421.44 1892.09 2308.26 2928.30
2024-09-22 1051.30 561.58 600.62 665.63 853.27 1413.48 1913.28 2239.18 2831.97
2024-09-29 1143.10 576.72 616.81 710.10 891.75 1436.99 1805.40 2042.60 2455.39
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