Prediction 3612
Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
---|---|
Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in SP
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 761.82 | 428.59 | 462.37 | 502.39 | 607.35 | 994.57 | 1352.22 | 1637.26 | 1910.60 |
2023-10-15 | 808.25 | 443.79 | 475.57 | 518.30 | 639.50 | 1030.10 | 1314.20 | 1568.94 | 1944.46 |
2023-10-22 | 817.16 | 469.71 | 505.02 | 547.70 | 654.78 | 1029.91 | 1362.58 | 1618.25 | 2069.61 |
2023-10-29 | 726.97 | 424.47 | 455.47 | 498.35 | 596.16 | 892.72 | 1142.95 | 1321.02 | 1646.90 |
2023-11-05 | 902.31 | 504.25 | 539.61 | 587.22 | 723.08 | 1203.24 | 1586.98 | 2119.88 | 2507.01 |
2023-11-12 | 801.11 | 469.45 | 510.68 | 566.67 | 664.29 | 1019.61 | 1258.54 | 1423.89 | 1720.56 |
2023-11-19 | 996.82 | 593.36 | 636.07 | 675.29 | 814.49 | 1284.09 | 1603.48 | 1848.29 | 2113.55 |
2023-11-26 | 1053.33 | 618.70 | 670.58 | 751.48 | 884.35 | 1326.14 | 1712.46 | 1978.13 | 2373.22 |
2023-12-03 | 1306.60 | 724.69 | 810.35 | 905.00 | 1058.72 | 1594.23 | 2024.42 | 2287.38 | 2784.07 |
2023-12-10 | 1516.59 | 847.62 | 935.36 | 1027.90 | 1239.41 | 1897.00 | 2509.73 | 2902.53 | 3172.15 |
2023-12-17 | 1380.45 | 710.92 | 763.35 | 850.96 | 1061.59 | 1756.35 | 2301.86 | 2730.56 | 2953.27 |
2023-12-24 | 1353.91 | 654.48 | 732.23 | 825.26 | 1029.53 | 1877.97 | 2410.74 | 2763.70 | 3620.75 |
2023-12-31 | 3315.41 | 1812.11 | 1927.21 | 2153.68 | 2654.36 | 4312.07 | 5459.25 | 6596.47 | 8138.92 |
2024-01-07 | 4441.27 | 2131.37 | 2434.67 | 2788.21 | 3534.41 | 5792.07 | 7345.81 | 8861.26 | 12118.93 |
2024-01-14 | 5053.18 | 2924.09 | 3086.33 | 3400.01 | 4038.21 | 6669.70 | 8958.69 | 11723.00 | 13897.65 |
2024-01-21 | 6535.00 | 3746.25 | 3968.51 | 4413.05 | 5187.40 | 8291.70 | 10961.15 | 13402.06 | 14825.45 |
2024-01-28 | 8427.92 | 4304.25 | 4822.07 | 5512.61 | 6541.38 | 11177.96 | 15253.87 | 17171.12 | 20162.07 |
2024-02-04 | 10938.51 | 5740.16 | 6135.29 | 6913.44 | 8603.69 | 14475.99 | 19366.61 | 23758.55 | 27495.88 |
2024-02-11 | 12784.89 | 6962.64 | 7349.71 | 8242.30 | 9830.13 | 16280.04 | 21578.46 | 25549.96 | 32841.14 |
2024-02-18 | 12539.20 | 6848.06 | 7484.90 | 8705.44 | 10560.89 | 15163.58 | 19251.40 | 21953.48 | 24979.35 |
2024-02-25 | 15384.74 | 8695.17 | 9728.60 | 10607.13 | 12462.62 | 19323.90 | 23387.84 | 25948.95 | 31388.16 |
2024-03-03 | 15845.82 | 9502.06 | 10700.68 | 11600.17 | 13504.60 | 19339.20 | 24195.96 | 28239.32 | 33469.40 |
2024-03-10 | 17913.43 | 11755.93 | 12805.89 | 13353.54 | 15281.58 | 21242.86 | 25456.51 | 28748.21 | 32352.37 |
2024-03-17 | 21341.59 | 13854.40 | 14682.33 | 15922.86 | 18291.36 | 25739.99 | 30923.64 | 33585.00 | 39107.47 |
2024-03-24 | 22499.58 | 15098.57 | 16091.26 | 17491.87 | 19547.72 | 27178.62 | 31708.24 | 36897.03 | 39947.95 |
2024-03-31 | 24943.64 | 16075.97 | 17049.13 | 18567.40 | 22060.67 | 29982.79 | 35138.43 | 39585.00 | 45957.10 |
2024-04-07 | 25906.72 | 16923.34 | 18807.59 | 20282.22 | 22684.70 | 30413.16 | 35617.16 | 39551.47 | 41999.52 |
2024-04-14 | 26743.20 | 17692.63 | 18808.53 | 20178.07 | 23115.50 | 30812.33 | 36615.84 | 40563.97 | 44945.05 |
2024-04-21 | 27192.05 | 18016.83 | 19075.44 | 20043.49 | 23181.81 | 32413.21 | 38451.70 | 41386.60 | 47258.10 |
2024-04-28 | 27865.74 | 18805.51 | 19762.27 | 20915.36 | 23451.23 | 32271.71 | 39165.06 | 45425.63 | 48403.43 |
2024-05-05 | 26165.25 | 16754.25 | 18265.72 | 19682.39 | 22208.99 | 31229.14 | 38194.20 | 42045.43 | 45666.11 |
2024-05-12 | 23052.32 | 14661.78 | 15343.87 | 16559.20 | 19185.58 | 27675.93 | 32298.86 | 36703.59 | 42235.33 |
2024-05-19 | 18596.17 | 11383.58 | 12082.39 | 12935.58 | 15310.42 | 22597.31 | 27361.18 | 31671.80 | 37500.18 |
2024-05-26 | 13574.25 | 8424.43 | 9112.97 | 9831.02 | 11498.00 | 16899.82 | 20382.85 | 23468.11 | 25517.32 |
2024-06-02 | 10006.23 | 6368.87 | 6673.60 | 7379.27 | 8433.16 | 12211.13 | 14110.36 | 15467.96 | 16821.00 |
2024-06-09 | 8614.83 | 5334.62 | 5734.94 | 6241.58 | 7202.53 | 10217.32 | 12169.76 | 13568.03 | 14812.45 |
2024-06-16 | 6525.94 | 3783.20 | 4086.29 | 4400.00 | 5285.19 | 7975.41 | 9827.47 | 10823.65 | 12759.42 |
2024-06-23 | 5203.50 | 2934.33 | 3198.87 | 3491.01 | 4144.78 | 6365.08 | 8309.99 | 9647.19 | 10974.28 |
2024-06-30 | 4235.12 | 2214.05 | 2420.21 | 2700.98 | 3312.80 | 5376.51 | 6986.44 | 8158.14 | 9855.06 |
2024-07-07 | 2931.37 | 1647.71 | 1793.19 | 1952.16 | 2317.64 | 3544.19 | 4266.46 | 5120.96 | 5760.12 |
2024-07-14 | 2364.36 | 1360.12 | 1454.08 | 1627.89 | 1902.42 | 3101.59 | 3845.98 | 4535.17 | 5282.24 |
2024-07-21 | 2061.37 | 1102.76 | 1210.61 | 1363.46 | 1662.24 | 2737.80 | 3855.02 | 5103.41 | 6160.93 |
2024-07-28 | 1730.31 | 912.36 | 1007.01 | 1140.09 | 1387.92 | 2251.46 | 2759.48 | 3528.82 | 4082.19 |
2024-08-04 | 1490.04 | 779.68 | 885.56 | 995.42 | 1197.34 | 1932.90 | 2440.51 | 3030.36 | 3699.20 |
2024-08-11 | 1385.95 | 722.59 | 775.85 | 860.31 | 1056.39 | 1850.73 | 2682.53 | 3130.80 | 3612.38 |
2024-08-18 | 1119.92 | 613.85 | 662.57 | 749.04 | 901.39 | 1527.28 | 1955.14 | 2367.18 | 2639.08 |
2024-08-25 | 1043.76 | 567.04 | 614.40 | 693.81 | 846.37 | 1370.42 | 1763.79 | 2137.23 | 2370.09 |
2024-09-01 | 1038.30 | 553.87 | 594.42 | 662.37 | 818.31 | 1332.84 | 1743.38 | 2091.31 | 2482.29 |
2024-09-08 | 1161.85 | 589.13 | 680.19 | 769.99 | 909.83 | 1516.28 | 2104.18 | 2539.37 | 3146.92 |
2024-09-15 | 1072.78 | 622.64 | 655.27 | 717.12 | 844.75 | 1421.44 | 1892.09 | 2308.26 | 2928.30 |
2024-09-22 | 1051.30 | 561.58 | 600.62 | 665.63 | 853.27 | 1413.48 | 1913.28 | 2239.18 | 2831.97 |
2024-09-29 | 1143.10 | 576.72 | 616.81 | 710.10 | 891.75 | 1436.99 | 1805.40 | 2042.60 | 2455.39 |