Prediction 3613

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

Validation test 3 for sprint 2025 preds in SP


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 641.54 295.67 332.74 366.97 463.52 931.01 1525.03 2073.25 2927.36
2024-10-13 777.64 357.63 394.82 463.76 567.12 1149.98 1783.81 2647.21 3449.83
2024-10-20 653.57 327.37 356.68 395.85 485.35 923.44 1303.82 1708.69 2289.19
2024-10-27 630.72 283.75 321.82 369.21 458.26 849.11 1263.78 1841.69 2606.78
2024-11-03 703.21 340.74 367.53 410.81 536.80 975.66 1571.23 2226.14 2803.61
2024-11-10 709.06 353.78 390.38 429.28 534.70 988.97 1408.02 1724.85 2646.87
2024-11-17 1043.33 486.46 553.35 613.48 775.92 1478.26 2248.35 3288.42 4349.55
2024-11-24 1199.78 563.98 631.87 709.89 902.92 1761.51 2647.11 3608.51 4648.51
2024-12-01 1335.22 606.71 682.36 768.75 970.59 1841.64 3009.79 4326.56 5997.83
2024-12-08 1607.85 745.44 791.91 932.32 1150.59 2354.77 3461.68 4773.44 6111.43
2024-12-15 1403.50 650.33 701.25 778.72 1026.39 2017.88 3003.81 4525.26 5770.05
2024-12-22 2220.68 865.56 992.02 1147.06 1594.50 3508.14 5252.04 8703.99 11130.11
2024-12-29 5774.83 2144.67 2363.53 2865.33 3963.65 8919.04 13640.71 21142.73 31343.93
2025-01-05 6764.21 2741.53 3033.92 3523.76 4734.80 10319.42 16442.25 23552.09 29516.92
2025-01-12 10100.52 3768.89 4319.09 5300.88 7069.88 15520.83 24524.02 32287.95 45558.29
2025-01-19 12140.63 4722.29 5428.10 6272.50 8238.57 17820.56 32006.96 43758.32 62439.54
2025-01-26 15079.12 6601.12 7299.26 8476.81 10863.33 23422.11 37313.08 59893.33 79368.80
2025-02-02 18966.45 7516.09 9038.33 10376.46 13552.97 26866.30 42995.14 57373.59 73433.00
2025-02-09 20205.25 8892.99 9799.05 11257.94 14480.74 30494.76 46541.12 63789.25 84811.97
2025-02-16 23524.07 10898.69 11740.41 13367.66 16940.06 32860.07 49442.02 62492.64 81669.50
2025-02-23 26200.40 12775.28 14548.03 16489.14 20080.16 39282.03 59527.74 88348.47 125365.11
2025-03-02 26457.22 12912.92 14179.51 15637.65 20034.12 38862.23 59599.13 83674.58 124468.81
2025-03-09 30745.99 13981.20 16232.38 18497.36 22694.37 46048.06 64786.18 83589.37 107736.78
2025-03-16 31576.98 15586.41 16660.86 18525.36 23712.54 43647.93 61723.85 96447.63 132343.03
2025-03-23 32724.53 15428.07 17008.29 19419.20 24848.79 44839.63 62645.84 79483.84 107942.77
2025-03-30 35996.23 17928.45 20099.83 22528.00 27579.90 48789.44 78604.05 101991.04 141517.59
2025-04-06 33288.39 16586.04 17886.31 20271.62 25635.31 45769.03 72120.32 86029.13 106435.66
2025-04-13 33358.29 15978.33 18055.26 20816.34 25315.14 44714.13 72256.68 91323.27 105253.20
2025-04-20 29792.49 15408.57 16913.33 18914.59 23384.41 40537.82 54145.68 74389.25 101828.64
2025-04-27 31277.74 16080.04 17069.48 19006.98 24128.27 43722.02 66035.88 85568.12 113456.00
2025-05-04 29424.63 14382.08 15971.51 17256.47 22256.08 39843.38 58411.51 77484.33 92263.45
2025-05-11 25032.10 12145.25 14305.86 15260.51 19033.58 36594.66 58400.57 89571.63 131514.46
2025-05-18 18544.20 8490.70 9604.45 10670.12 13717.95 26488.38 38151.27 49837.58 73554.58
2025-05-25 13546.22 6756.77 7249.89 8345.30 10362.04 20010.54 30816.13 45047.70 53453.47
2025-06-01 10445.03 4815.86 5381.83 6255.49 8037.10 15089.99 23283.12 32416.46 39755.84
2025-06-08 8066.12 3836.86 4202.06 4725.99 6159.65 11324.53 18186.02 22822.16 33426.34
2025-06-15 6367.54 2649.29 3213.13 3589.73 4747.49 9263.63 13766.78 18235.93 23867.42
2025-06-22 4844.02 2276.84 2541.56 2856.98 3509.87 6869.54 10194.14 12432.19 16413.83
2025-06-29 3454.31 1605.28 1709.95 2010.42 2640.48 4949.96 7804.14 11003.03 16235.92
2025-07-06 2386.62 1049.92 1224.92 1402.50 1767.76 3552.67 4976.16 6344.12 8781.46
2025-07-13 2205.53 1011.76 1103.38 1220.15 1579.18 3380.66 4794.71 6907.17 11408.47
2025-07-20 2002.21 830.68 932.52 1153.24 1502.12 2970.69 4416.85 6454.11 9798.50
2025-07-27 1716.41 713.37 863.89 947.44 1217.08 2475.65 4090.19 5046.47 8111.59
2025-08-03 1190.77 601.17 637.57 699.08 856.93 1823.87 2847.61 4512.37 6234.23
2025-08-10 1119.55 509.08 566.11 641.87 863.69 1710.44 2623.34 3804.86 5306.60
2025-08-17 1074.36 462.60 509.51 606.63 787.67 1606.39 2423.46 3347.98 5290.20
2025-08-24 834.90 339.29 371.72 429.25 596.59 1190.38 1795.31 2361.22 3062.80
2025-08-31 907.67 373.76 433.07 488.82 629.50 1289.67 2262.54 3008.78 4089.90
2025-09-07 961.76 437.22 479.96 568.17 715.76 1482.06 2333.31 3106.48 4193.98
2025-09-14 1063.67 441.70 493.95 582.85 732.24 1545.43 2650.10 4505.77 5734.44
2025-09-21 994.90 439.41 501.46 560.26 726.99 1405.24 2276.51 3258.07 4073.83
2025-09-28 1356.41 517.25 572.69 678.95 946.04 2027.12 3187.98 4528.53 6576.77
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