Prediction 3614

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Dengue oracle - M1
Author Eduardo Correa Araujo
ADM 1 Minas Gerais

Description:

Validation test 1 for sprint 2025 preds in MG


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 236.96 117.48 130.95 144.95 178.22 333.15 491.93 680.66 930.73
2022-10-16 264.58 136.56 152.79 167.70 203.90 379.66 572.21 712.72 987.92
2022-10-23 303.34 131.04 144.60 169.31 223.05 413.98 612.02 744.83 971.29
2022-10-30 312.87 153.88 174.26 195.35 236.22 453.15 631.25 777.00 977.45
2022-11-06 286.50 147.33 168.41 186.84 227.75 394.29 570.45 713.20 964.72
2022-11-13 323.01 160.46 171.27 200.49 245.31 434.05 614.04 771.13 910.84
2022-11-20 461.64 229.95 256.61 282.21 345.71 649.98 942.85 1341.69 1711.06
2022-11-27 429.26 227.15 248.87 270.99 332.48 587.84 861.60 1083.12 1350.85
2022-12-04 481.90 239.33 260.88 308.77 374.41 629.67 860.69 1216.51 1641.27
2022-12-11 863.25 385.67 445.84 506.07 668.08 1250.02 1782.90 2326.36 3779.66
2022-12-18 529.16 272.65 292.56 331.07 396.30 741.55 1081.14 1417.69 1664.72
2022-12-25 628.00 238.77 262.58 317.20 438.84 904.03 1633.94 2367.24 3010.64
2023-01-01 1018.26 489.43 550.98 617.12 770.58 1414.80 2087.87 2567.41 2949.95
2023-01-08 1559.31 675.84 747.67 884.72 1152.92 2199.63 3108.63 3906.32 5546.08
2023-01-15 1749.97 815.06 904.58 1000.51 1283.44 2463.13 3632.74 4705.14 6256.43
2023-01-22 2270.11 1069.47 1176.05 1307.29 1671.19 3355.20 5418.03 8194.72 11462.81
2023-01-29 2960.77 1346.86 1502.71 1740.62 2174.05 4397.97 6713.34 9223.67 14552.90
2023-02-05 3975.93 1749.90 2034.90 2319.99 2917.81 5938.21 9217.40 12343.46 16693.42
2023-02-12 4886.50 2308.42 2426.21 2796.67 3605.35 7037.33 9996.45 14766.50 19424.83
2023-02-19 4957.64 2186.39 2447.45 2838.04 3690.83 7064.45 10417.59 13293.11 22177.77
2023-02-26 5638.43 2751.41 3018.05 3314.81 4175.50 7822.56 12044.81 16492.23 24317.00
2023-03-05 6652.22 3205.73 3574.26 4017.38 5107.02 9273.52 13500.32 16853.89 19624.01
2023-03-12 7611.79 3901.82 4111.92 4686.81 5851.11 10599.94 16083.04 23816.36 34321.60
2023-03-19 9710.75 4459.76 5062.61 5900.13 7233.72 13843.13 19834.72 28863.98 37683.76
2023-03-26 11282.80 4926.14 5928.58 7079.34 8430.16 16198.81 23140.27 30184.31 42830.31
2023-04-02 11732.32 6086.72 6463.86 7007.45 8411.87 15869.07 21577.65 27753.51 35173.12
2023-04-09 13267.60 6655.31 7145.65 8226.25 10387.67 17692.22 25105.41 32379.23 48853.18
2023-04-16 13738.81 6992.39 7670.53 8294.76 10275.26 18716.48 27666.18 34349.49 37629.88
2023-04-23 15210.96 7356.80 7951.30 9232.91 11235.62 20561.53 29549.54 40971.06 48310.77
2023-04-30 15351.19 7892.66 8401.12 9260.57 11516.98 19918.81 31330.62 39361.91 55626.81
2023-05-07 16432.18 7930.56 9002.09 10069.33 12991.34 23314.33 34339.47 43857.48 58875.93
2023-05-14 10101.64 5197.02 5698.87 6363.21 7723.13 14018.47 19124.62 25850.91 35114.36
2023-05-21 8380.46 4335.71 4698.26 5376.63 6560.30 11856.51 17361.14 23157.85 32673.83
2023-05-28 6040.87 2850.94 3311.40 3619.86 4555.93 8474.12 12542.68 18555.89 22057.66
2023-06-04 4898.32 2375.08 2714.48 3059.48 3627.40 6783.63 9868.60 12495.62 23288.24
2023-06-11 3484.38 1756.80 1896.45 2117.99 2594.69 4749.10 7253.04 9160.56 11434.62
2023-06-18 2411.37 1201.76 1311.20 1512.99 1873.73 3294.58 4788.25 5956.51 7684.89
2023-06-25 1915.38 908.88 985.89 1098.23 1388.35 2651.67 3842.42 4852.49 6257.78
2023-07-02 1485.52 699.94 778.56 862.98 1126.08 2087.50 3417.86 4269.30 6562.69
2023-07-09 967.86 524.54 559.51 613.99 751.52 1300.94 1996.58 2348.56 3179.71
2023-07-16 580.04 295.59 329.72 378.20 461.23 769.56 1135.83 1541.21 1980.76
2023-07-23 521.67 265.78 294.05 330.48 399.54 714.48 1107.12 1364.05 1643.54
2023-07-30 439.90 221.00 245.72 273.43 338.14 604.45 896.37 1126.66 1334.81
2023-08-06 327.53 170.93 183.41 205.72 254.83 452.42 614.15 734.87 904.88
2023-08-13 305.74 156.46 168.86 188.39 233.18 409.43 597.09 720.55 1010.43
2023-08-20 289.24 145.98 154.80 177.02 219.64 413.71 636.50 823.76 1041.75
2023-08-27 219.19 115.72 127.29 137.67 167.23 293.95 389.09 462.41 788.42
2023-09-03 269.07 118.62 135.33 156.13 196.37 401.60 586.33 837.06 1101.90
2023-09-10 269.54 137.51 148.81 164.20 204.10 366.72 543.85 687.82 1016.05
2023-09-17 265.15 140.73 155.10 175.00 210.45 370.46 526.35 699.71 901.99
2023-09-24 326.48 155.10 168.59 187.35 236.79 464.37 673.33 913.02 1263.76
2023-10-01 253.52 126.80 140.58 157.33 190.57 355.03 519.31 701.37 847.68
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