Prediction 3615
| Model | Dengue oracle - M1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation test 2 for sprint 2025 preds in MG
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 674.22 | 413.06 | 439.54 | 479.77 | 547.49 | 886.44 | 1189.25 | 1475.44 | 1807.57 |
| 2023-10-15 | 675.23 | 412.28 | 445.46 | 503.30 | 584.35 | 826.75 | 1038.77 | 1212.56 | 1338.93 |
| 2023-10-22 | 696.93 | 421.95 | 447.34 | 488.89 | 577.23 | 917.67 | 1129.31 | 1410.58 | 1630.94 |
| 2023-10-29 | 687.15 | 428.40 | 451.83 | 482.84 | 563.28 | 837.69 | 1053.15 | 1292.10 | 1611.87 |
| 2023-11-05 | 785.00 | 450.57 | 496.80 | 530.30 | 635.54 | 1030.04 | 1323.81 | 1631.82 | 2273.72 |
| 2023-11-12 | 721.72 | 454.37 | 484.53 | 522.60 | 602.09 | 868.19 | 1038.47 | 1205.77 | 1382.78 |
| 2023-11-19 | 887.18 | 561.79 | 596.88 | 637.43 | 759.88 | 1069.24 | 1391.65 | 1662.41 | 2085.47 |
| 2023-11-26 | 997.97 | 604.93 | 645.08 | 706.12 | 821.94 | 1267.96 | 1668.79 | 2106.35 | 2504.94 |
| 2023-12-03 | 1264.57 | 778.92 | 859.38 | 918.26 | 1073.49 | 1557.38 | 1901.06 | 2154.48 | 2493.22 |
| 2023-12-10 | 1391.65 | 851.97 | 881.66 | 1005.76 | 1146.07 | 1748.04 | 2242.02 | 2592.72 | 3030.25 |
| 2023-12-17 | 1348.01 | 772.92 | 823.94 | 892.34 | 1081.94 | 1657.77 | 2131.34 | 2545.85 | 3207.73 |
| 2023-12-24 | 1180.85 | 696.18 | 743.18 | 815.73 | 973.80 | 1540.24 | 2081.48 | 2818.00 | 3421.89 |
| 2023-12-31 | 3403.17 | 1846.47 | 2026.49 | 2299.39 | 2679.40 | 4483.80 | 5646.28 | 7003.25 | 8366.48 |
| 2024-01-07 | 4662.39 | 2636.51 | 2859.15 | 3126.77 | 3687.16 | 6073.77 | 8106.80 | 10479.60 | 11924.86 |
| 2024-01-14 | 5934.09 | 3183.06 | 3467.15 | 3898.32 | 4561.60 | 7879.32 | 9577.16 | 11623.84 | 13650.04 |
| 2024-01-21 | 6924.98 | 4136.10 | 4466.37 | 4866.25 | 5654.44 | 8900.62 | 11542.91 | 14306.86 | 17564.99 |
| 2024-01-28 | 8626.93 | 4789.78 | 5464.86 | 5902.18 | 7016.18 | 10766.04 | 14750.19 | 17236.28 | 22006.97 |
| 2024-02-04 | 10656.55 | 6147.24 | 6512.70 | 7038.37 | 8282.13 | 13558.96 | 18437.29 | 23455.06 | 28823.48 |
| 2024-02-11 | 11106.85 | 6631.35 | 7142.06 | 7770.34 | 9063.75 | 13775.91 | 18254.75 | 23112.76 | 28811.66 |
| 2024-02-18 | 10684.94 | 6365.07 | 6893.00 | 7657.88 | 8911.98 | 13567.82 | 17057.49 | 20779.32 | 24745.25 |
| 2024-02-25 | 12681.04 | 7691.26 | 8159.58 | 8616.20 | 10276.23 | 16024.11 | 20606.55 | 25609.23 | 30117.98 |
| 2024-03-03 | 13231.33 | 8403.65 | 8932.78 | 9709.81 | 10966.53 | 16767.01 | 21715.28 | 25474.70 | 34603.91 |
| 2024-03-10 | 14466.51 | 8870.81 | 9607.99 | 10379.11 | 12343.71 | 17574.59 | 22666.28 | 26918.15 | 32755.31 |
| 2024-03-17 | 15174.49 | 9323.25 | 9979.92 | 10727.87 | 12531.60 | 18838.95 | 23656.65 | 28029.76 | 31696.90 |
| 2024-03-24 | 16348.79 | 10522.91 | 10937.63 | 11880.72 | 13650.87 | 19982.97 | 24985.43 | 28540.57 | 32190.60 |
| 2024-03-31 | 17427.32 | 11026.95 | 11987.13 | 13221.45 | 14674.11 | 21497.36 | 26397.49 | 30995.17 | 38053.42 |
| 2024-04-07 | 17695.82 | 11725.24 | 12183.81 | 13213.12 | 15001.18 | 22438.64 | 27556.14 | 31173.85 | 36168.27 |
| 2024-04-14 | 17730.83 | 11058.43 | 11655.11 | 12733.33 | 14968.11 | 21437.84 | 27968.12 | 30528.20 | 35370.59 |
| 2024-04-21 | 18188.73 | 11176.11 | 11795.79 | 13081.58 | 15035.60 | 22360.72 | 27175.10 | 32203.30 | 38031.08 |
| 2024-04-28 | 16622.97 | 10053.85 | 10911.82 | 12080.19 | 14262.44 | 20401.96 | 26056.25 | 31533.19 | 37116.73 |
| 2024-05-05 | 16061.43 | 9778.70 | 10317.95 | 11182.18 | 13172.07 | 19445.72 | 24583.36 | 28686.60 | 34059.19 |
| 2024-05-12 | 13706.27 | 8284.93 | 8694.72 | 9671.99 | 11136.64 | 16909.28 | 21623.47 | 25307.28 | 31746.68 |
| 2024-05-19 | 10305.80 | 6282.07 | 6629.59 | 7316.73 | 8509.51 | 13249.93 | 16997.18 | 22197.11 | 27897.24 |
| 2024-05-26 | 7531.45 | 4598.12 | 4910.94 | 5238.15 | 6178.25 | 9525.78 | 12123.22 | 13937.25 | 15843.70 |
| 2024-06-02 | 5970.67 | 3630.36 | 3838.96 | 4169.03 | 4860.69 | 7346.32 | 9859.58 | 11795.52 | 13402.35 |
| 2024-06-09 | 4885.10 | 2920.72 | 3163.80 | 3424.65 | 4013.02 | 6308.53 | 8715.62 | 10133.25 | 11907.45 |
| 2024-06-16 | 3549.46 | 2124.83 | 2263.94 | 2483.72 | 2911.74 | 4583.07 | 6021.50 | 7598.30 | 8899.85 |
| 2024-06-23 | 2862.09 | 1685.81 | 1770.91 | 1970.12 | 2273.01 | 3746.53 | 5112.21 | 6561.61 | 7852.86 |
| 2024-06-30 | 2203.47 | 1203.10 | 1290.72 | 1438.61 | 1733.88 | 3018.35 | 3935.63 | 4960.37 | 6308.78 |
| 2024-07-07 | 1701.74 | 977.05 | 1048.44 | 1150.46 | 1365.98 | 2231.12 | 2954.43 | 3412.09 | 4232.99 |
| 2024-07-14 | 1344.39 | 813.96 | 861.40 | 937.75 | 1100.56 | 1770.82 | 2375.95 | 3012.10 | 3683.65 |
| 2024-07-21 | 1230.43 | 686.82 | 746.32 | 819.64 | 981.04 | 1609.02 | 2171.63 | 2806.56 | 3963.60 |
| 2024-07-28 | 1019.17 | 609.63 | 634.06 | 694.77 | 820.09 | 1368.71 | 1903.14 | 2570.95 | 3283.41 |
| 2024-08-04 | 913.66 | 484.22 | 520.03 | 581.73 | 714.94 | 1195.53 | 1678.49 | 2196.07 | 2720.92 |
| 2024-08-11 | 880.09 | 458.96 | 511.31 | 563.11 | 676.98 | 1173.75 | 1699.04 | 1988.02 | 2606.59 |
| 2024-08-18 | 711.88 | 382.25 | 406.03 | 461.14 | 574.58 | 923.61 | 1233.28 | 1519.18 | 1821.43 |
| 2024-08-25 | 663.96 | 365.89 | 385.65 | 439.42 | 517.01 | 868.88 | 1127.92 | 1356.47 | 1718.89 |
| 2024-09-01 | 686.39 | 344.86 | 387.08 | 432.02 | 532.99 | 868.92 | 1162.13 | 1501.73 | 1863.79 |
| 2024-09-08 | 695.86 | 379.12 | 410.22 | 449.80 | 555.04 | 967.83 | 1357.92 | 1818.67 | 2401.85 |
| 2024-09-15 | 642.41 | 366.53 | 396.24 | 431.43 | 519.95 | 833.13 | 1045.45 | 1277.20 | 1544.72 |
| 2024-09-22 | 657.24 | 377.02 | 398.21 | 436.93 | 530.17 | 866.94 | 1161.98 | 1367.59 | 1677.11 |
| 2024-09-29 | 714.28 | 388.88 | 416.32 | 463.57 | 538.77 | 923.22 | 1238.79 | 1402.69 | 1793.78 |
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